Focused-Riser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$138

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-31 13:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% $-5

Other

46% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	05-24 14:17
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 14:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$10	423	0	+423	open	—	07-12 14:29
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	1	$10	117	0	+117	open	—	07-19 17:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	07-31 13:25
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	07-07 16:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$10	60	0	+60	open	—	06-11 12:25
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	05-02 12:05
israel closes its airspace by august 31	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	07-07 16:58
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	07-31 13:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	05-15 10:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$5	36	0	+36	No	$-5	05-03 15:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-15 10:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$5	104	0	+104	open	—	07-12 14:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	05-15 10:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-24 14:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$3	120	0	+120	open	—	05-03 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 13:26:00	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf9a806…
07-31 13:25:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x396277…
07-19 17:49:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0x6cf8fc…
07-12 14:29:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	423	2¢	$10	0x34b8cf…
07-12 14:27:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xcd6120…
07-07 16:59:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3bfb94…
07-07 16:58:40	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xefe937…
06-11 12:25:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xd7d4dd…
05-24 14:17:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2a509d…
05-24 14:17:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xdf0833…
05-15 10:39:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x193569…
05-15 10:39:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x467bba…
05-15 10:39:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x809fc9…
05-15 10:39:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x07f331…
05-14 14:42:57	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x37d379…
05-03 15:25:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa6575f…
05-03 02:51:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x212e92…
05-02 12:17:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x398948…
05-02 12:05:54	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4c2014…
05-02 05:34:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x615f97…