Frequent-Stool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 01:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Crypto

37% 100% +$9

Politics

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$400	400	+400	open	—	06-03 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$300	300	+300	open	—	04-20 03:43
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	1	$300	300	+300	open	—	03-17 03:21
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	1	$280	280	+280	open	—	04-16 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	open	—	06-02 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$200	208	+208	Down	+$8	05-06 09:13
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	1	$200	201	+201	open	—	04-06 02:32
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	1	$200	201	+201	open	—	04-02 03:23
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 520 539	1	$200	200	+200	open	—	04-02 03:23
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 500 519	1	$160	160	+160	open	—	03-28 02:50
aapl above 305 on march 6 2026	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	03-05 13:44
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	04-16 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$110	111	+111	Down	+$1	05-13 04:13
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-20 03:43
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$100	103	+103	open	—	02-24 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$100	103	+103	open	—	06-02 03:44
will bitcoin reach 81000 on march 5	1	$100	101	+101	open	—	03-05 13:37
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	03-05 13:40
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	02-24 05:34
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	02-24 05:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$77	79	+79	open	—	02-18 06:42
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	1	$70	70	+70	open	—	03-28 02:49
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	1	$70	71	+71	open	—	03-28 02:49
btc updown 15m 1773990900	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	03-20 07:27
ethereum above 1700 on february 12	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	02-12 06:46
btc updown 15m 1771139700	1	$51	51	+51	open	—	02-15 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$51	51	+51	open	—	05-04 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-04 07:29
btc updown 15m 1773310500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-12 10:28
btc updown 15m 1773911700	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-19 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 01:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x04c8cf…
06-02 04:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x49193e…
06-02 03:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xcec8fd…
05-13 04:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x5554f1…
05-06 09:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf1f136…
05-06 09:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0f90e6…
05-04 07:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xe681cf…
05-04 07:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x656e53…
04-20 03:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x85187a…
04-20 03:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x4c2ffb…
04-16 02:54:24	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0xdbabcb…
04-16 02:54:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x92d507…
04-06 02:32:47	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x226ae5…
04-02 03:23:51	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 520 539	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8d2cf6…
04-02 03:23:29	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xdbaa76…
03-28 02:50:09	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 500 519	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xbef11f…
03-28 02:49:33	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4b6f0a…
03-28 02:49:01	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x93e1cf…
03-20 07:27:13	btc updown 15m 1773990900	Up	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xff19dd…
03-19 09:29:11	btc updown 15m 1773911700	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x46de9e…
03-17 03:21:15	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x4d77a4…
03-14 09:29:55	btc updown 15m 1773479700	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x42f242…
03-12 10:28:23	btc updown 15m 1773310500	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe99c98…
03-12 09:56:29	btc updown 15m 1773308700	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5ea6b4…
03-05 13:44:09	aapl above 305 on march 6 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x76d5f2…
03-05 13:40:59	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb63f3b…
03-05 13:37:51	will bitcoin reach 81000 on march 5	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7480cd…
02-24 05:34:36	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x975f1d…
02-24 05:33:04	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xcaa650…
02-24 05:32:26	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6e377a…
02-18 06:42:26	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x7aeec5…
02-15 07:29:35	btc updown 15m 1771139700	Up	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xd80e45…
02-12 06:46:29	ethereum above 1700 on february 12	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x93a8c2…
02-06 03:04:29	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x539721…
01-28 08:41:23	Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x791226…
01-28 08:40:13	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd30cd5…
01-01 03:56:09	nba hou bkn 2026 01 01	Rockets	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xa1785d…