Overlooked-Realm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$220

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-19 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$5

Politics

12% 0% $-25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	1	$57	60	+60	No	+$3	01-25 12:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	05-23 07:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$49	50	+50	No	+$1	03-17 14:16
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	1	$29	30	+30	No	+$1	01-06 13:04
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	1	$22	200	+200	No	$-22	02-23 11:04
will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	08-19 12:50
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	1	$3	30	+30	No	$-3	07-02 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 12:50:42	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x966297…
07-02 12:18:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x6c8cff…
05-23 07:26:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9e9d9d…
03-17 14:16:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x173b6d…
02-23 11:04:48	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x764c01…
01-25 12:37:32	gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x5f3cd2…
01-06 13:04:31	us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xf26f1e…