Staid-Reply — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,045

lifetime

Volume

$7.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-20 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 50% $-89

Other

36% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	12	$680	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-27 11:36
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 6am et	113	$677	524	515	+9	open	—	03-24 10:59
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 7am et	90	$523	528	498	+30	open	—	03-24 11:47
cs2 vit mglz 2026 02 21	5	$411	588	588	+0	open	—	02-21 19:16
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	1	$330	413	0	+413	open	—	05-14 21:37
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 5am et	82	$259	285	286	-1	open	—	03-24 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$254	207	207	+0	open	—	05-14 21:06
bitcoin up or down january 7 5am et	13	$225	137	137	+0	open	—	01-07 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$217	118	118	+0	open	—	05-14 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$211	189	189	+0	Up	+$11	05-11 10:05
cs2 vit mglz 2026 02 21 game1	3	$207	169	144	+25	open	—	02-21 18:54
will praggnanandhaa r win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 06:09
bnb updown 15m 1774718100	46	$172	141	85	+56	open	—	03-28 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$170	339	0	+339	open	—	05-14 21:09
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 4am et	42	$167	211	132	+79	open	—	03-25 08:45
bkcba sic gua 2026 03 29	4	$160	84	84	+0	open	—	03-28 13:39
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 9am et	37	$139	150	146	+4	open	—	03-25 13:56
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 6am et	23	$127	100	85	+15	open	—	03-25 10:46
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 3am et	25	$116	90	82	+8	open	—	03-26 07:56
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 3am et	37	$114	152	103	+49	open	—	03-25 07:49
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$113	65	65	+0	open	—	03-24 06:09
bnb updown 15m 1774719000	48	$110	167	70	+97	open	—	03-28 17:43
bkarg uni obr 2026 03 29	4	$109	140	140	+0	open	—	03-28 13:21
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 9am et	30	$102	115	90	+25	open	—	03-24 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$100	204	0	+204	Down	$-100	05-12 18:57
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	26	$93	218	149	+69	open	—	03-25 11:55
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 10am et	27	$84	89	80	+9	open	—	03-26 14:44
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 8am et	21	$80	105	60	+45	open	—	03-26 12:50
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 8am et	23	$71	63	53	+10	open	—	03-24 12:45
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 7am et	20	$67	75	39	+36	open	—	03-26 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf27d68…
05-20 17:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x117b09…
05-14 21:37:02	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	413	80¢	$330	0xfc0ea8…
05-14 21:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa02299…
05-14 21:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xad85bf…
05-14 21:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa2b835…
05-14 21:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1fa515…
05-14 21:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x3e68d1…
05-14 21:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x87dffe…
05-14 21:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7f2d48…
05-14 21:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	207	74¢	$154	0x05a370…
05-14 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x0024de…
05-14 21:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x3aa71a…
05-14 21:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x0d227b…
05-12 18:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x07901b…
05-11 10:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	189	59¢	$111	0xb91c72…
05-11 10:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xc0244b…
04-11 18:30:39	highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe08936…
04-11 18:27:45	highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 28c	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x70f854…
04-10 07:26:01	highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 28c	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x99b1cd…
04-10 05:59:21	highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x37b95e…
04-10 05:59:07	highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x84663b…
04-10 05:58:57	highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 28c	No	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xf69129…
04-10 05:58:43	highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x3c3bc6…
04-10 05:58:19	highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x03106f…
04-10 05:58:03	highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 28c	No	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xef6a03…
03-29 06:03:28	bkfr1 mon le 2026 03 29	Le Mans	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x7bc3c8…
03-28 17:54:05	bnb updown 15m 1774719900	Down	SELL	35	90¢	$31	0x30b312…
03-28 17:46:37	bnb updown 15m 1774719900	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3fae88…
03-28 17:46:27	bnb updown 15m 1774719900	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x64cbb4…
03-28 17:46:25	bnb updown 15m 1774719900	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd6aaa8…
03-28 17:46:23	bnb updown 15m 1774719900	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfb726b…
03-28 17:46:21	bnb updown 15m 1774719900	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc66d37…
03-28 17:46:19	bnb updown 15m 1774719900	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3ab4bc…
03-28 17:46:17	bnb updown 15m 1774719900	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4ff9bc…
03-28 17:43:07	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xf8628b…
03-28 17:41:53	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x766ae7…
03-28 17:40:45	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x54438b…
03-28 17:40:43	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6a2138…
03-28 17:40:41	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x72edbf…
03-28 17:39:55	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x9aa9cc…
03-28 17:39:39	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x2074ab…
03-28 17:39:29	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x361e46…
03-28 17:39:11	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0821b1…
03-28 17:37:59	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x1d949d…
03-28 17:37:53	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xfc348b…
03-28 17:37:53	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xdca4c7…
03-28 17:37:45	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7f2c2e…
03-28 17:37:21	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcd09e7…
03-28 17:37:19	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x90a1f3…
03-28 17:36:25	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x320edf…
03-28 17:34:21	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdc9637…
03-28 17:34:17	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x641373…
03-28 17:33:33	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x804c30…
03-28 17:33:19	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xa826e0…
03-28 17:33:17	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x94ec83…
03-28 17:32:53	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0xfcc513…
03-28 17:32:49	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x9a5512…
03-28 17:32:47	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x6cd8ba…
03-28 17:32:45	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x5ae385…
03-28 17:32:43	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x366265…
03-28 17:32:39	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x29eea5…
03-28 17:32:37	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x782037…
03-28 17:32:35	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x88d169…
03-28 17:32:25	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xc8fb0f…
03-28 17:31:59	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4fe864…
03-28 17:31:57	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6e0c8b…
03-28 17:31:53	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x277c2c…
03-28 17:31:49	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3db418…
03-28 17:31:47	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc797eb…
03-28 17:31:45	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2fe21b…
03-28 17:31:43	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x80e2aa…
03-28 17:31:39	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x459728…
03-28 17:31:37	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x926fe2…
03-28 17:31:33	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x12fed1…
03-28 17:31:31	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x272934…
03-28 17:31:25	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x687696…
03-28 17:31:21	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7b5353…
03-28 17:31:21	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x01aca7…
03-28 17:31:19	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x93a711…
03-28 17:31:17	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x581ed7…
03-28 17:30:57	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd01042…
03-28 17:30:55	bnb updown 15m 1774719000	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa0b087…
03-28 17:28:49	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xad8487…
03-28 17:25:43	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9715c0…
03-28 17:25:13	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x60e280…
03-28 17:24:21	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x2befbf…
03-28 17:22:21	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf29a82…
03-28 17:20:49	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9e44ff…
03-28 17:20:17	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbfbd92…
03-28 17:20:17	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x45c4b0…
03-28 17:20:15	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbb623b…
03-28 17:20:13	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x567b95…
03-28 17:20:07	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xcad898…
03-28 17:19:53	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1e67e9…
03-28 17:19:49	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x6786ca…
03-28 17:19:43	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xbd5fa8…
03-28 17:19:31	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xded3d2…
03-28 17:19:31	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x6caf72…
03-28 17:18:27	bnb updown 15m 1774718100	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfed050…