Cloudy-Sunbonnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

176

Trades

340

lifetime

Volume

$929

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-17 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 47% $-13

Politics

9% 50% +$1

Other

2% 20% +$1

Activity

No trades on file.

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$30	34	33	+1	Down	+$2	04-25 08:19
btc updown 5m 1776970800	5	$28	34	26	+8	Down	+$3	04-23 19:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$26	29	29	+0	No	+$6	04-20 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$25	34	20	+14	Down	$-3	04-25 08:39
btc updown 5m 1776892200	3	$23	25	20	+5	Up	$-1	04-22 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$20	28	14	+14	Up	$-6	04-30 17:54
btc updown 5m 1776889800	3	$19	34	17	+17	Down	$-3	04-22 20:34
btc updown 5m 1776844500	3	$18	23	22	+2	Up	+$14	04-22 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$17	19	18	+1	Up	+$3	04-25 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$16	21	20	+1	Up	+$3	04-25 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$16	21	10	+10	Up	$-4	04-25 14:13
btc updown 5m 1776964800	4	$15	16	15	+0	Up	+$3	04-23 17:24
btc updown 5m 1776890100	2	$13	11	10	+0	Down	+$3	04-22 20:39
btc updown 5m 1776972900	2	$12	15	14	+1	Down	+$2	04-23 19:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$12	11	11	+0	No	+$8	04-21 19:15
btc updown 5m 1776972000	4	$12	12	12	+1	Down	+$2	04-23 19:24
btc updown 5m 1776972300	2	$11	14	13	+1	Up	+$1	04-23 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$11	13	13	+1	Down	+$2	04-25 14:17
btc updown 5m 1776970200	2	$11	17	16	+1	Up	+$2	04-23 18:50
btc updown 5m 1776458400	3	$11	16	8	+9	Up	+$1	04-17 20:44
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	$-10	04-30 20:17
btc updown 5m 1776887400	4	$10	20	19	+1	Up	+$5	04-22 19:54
btc updown 5m 1776974100	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	04-23 19:59
will trump post sleepy joe this week on truth social	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	$-0	04-14 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$9	11	10	+1	Down	+$4	04-26 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$9	12	12	+0	Down	$-1	04-30 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$9	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	04-30 15:34
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	04-12 17:51
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 20	2	$9	11	10	+0	No	$-1	04-20 20:19
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	2	$8	20	19	+1	No	$-2	04-17 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 06:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x06d9e9…
05-17 06:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x8dd2de…
05-17 06:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0034fb…
05-16 22:29:32	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0x2b1535…
05-15 07:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0985f6…
05-15 06:56:04	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xfcfde2…
05-06 14:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x937455…
05-06 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x7e5a68…
05-06 14:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4ac625…
05-06 14:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4beff1…
05-06 14:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xae853b…
05-06 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x4779e3…
05-06 14:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x046393…
05-06 14:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0xb2881c…
05-06 14:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xda4027…
05-06 14:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x387d50…
05-06 14:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcb89d1…
05-06 13:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6f59d0…
05-02 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x675c5d…
05-01 17:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x737d07…
05-01 17:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xd595d9…
05-01 17:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x41d528…
05-01 05:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1f33bb…
04-30 20:17:30	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd7eae4…
04-30 17:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xf811c1…
04-30 17:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5e650f…
04-30 17:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x79274b…
04-30 17:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x2634cc…
04-30 17:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa5f2f0…
04-30 17:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x69e83c…
04-30 17:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x422742…
04-30 17:43:06	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x016d67…
04-30 17:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x7284fe…
04-30 17:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdda3aa…
04-30 15:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xecc2ac…
04-30 15:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3c1aee…
04-30 15:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x38b8b2…
04-30 15:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc3574b…
04-30 15:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8c761c…
04-30 15:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x15a3a1…
04-30 15:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe29942…
04-28 19:15:26	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xef0264…
04-28 19:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xafbc32…
04-28 15:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xe8ec11…
04-28 15:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x903136…
04-27 18:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xb85d8b…
04-27 18:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4b3ec9…
04-27 17:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xd7f3c8…
04-27 17:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x510247…
04-27 17:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x92e5f2…
04-27 17:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x2acb04…
04-27 17:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xde31b0…
04-27 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xd34659…
04-27 17:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe68a66…
04-27 17:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xd28bb1…
04-27 17:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x97ecc2…
04-27 17:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x09f14c…
04-27 17:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd5ebf9…
04-27 15:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x503ac2…
04-27 15:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf6839e…
04-27 15:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xe48cff…
04-27 15:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe93138…
04-26 18:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa63b01…
04-26 18:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4adeed…
04-26 18:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe8c500…
04-26 18:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8b52bd…
04-26 18:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x387a72…
04-26 18:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x20aac6…
04-26 18:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3b64f4…
04-26 18:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x5bb233…
04-26 18:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb0d0c0…
04-26 18:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xfbe009…
04-26 18:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf37a12…
04-26 18:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0xeb22ad…
04-26 18:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x173027…
04-26 17:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa266de…
04-26 17:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x122eaa…
04-26 17:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2bb978…
04-25 15:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x77755b…
04-25 15:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x036de8…
04-25 15:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xd87500…
04-25 15:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x905c55…
04-25 15:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaf4c23…
04-25 15:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x479e83…
04-25 15:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6815ce…
04-25 15:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x744386…
04-25 15:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5c3ea2…
04-25 15:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x4c6d18…
04-25 15:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x29f3d2…
04-25 15:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x4495c3…
04-25 15:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfa174b…
04-25 14:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x8e57be…
04-25 14:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xec5df4…
04-25 14:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x0b8644…
04-25 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x197ae5…
04-25 14:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x03b0f8…
04-25 14:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$6	0x1c6087…
04-25 14:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xadce52…
04-25 10:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x3136b4…
04-25 10:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x849a66…