Simplistic-Ascent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$91

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 07-18 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

68% 25% $-25

Other

29% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$19	28	0	+28	open	—	05-09 13:48
FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 19:52
Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$12	20	0	+20	No	$-12	05-06 19:55
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	$-10	05-05 20:37
Will Trump say "Television" or "TV" this week?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 17:03
will people be said 200 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012848	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-18 10:48
will trump be said 5 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715172625709	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	07-18 10:48
will elon post texas on x this week 20260717142325184	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	07-18 10:48
Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	$-4	05-06 19:55
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	05-05 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 10:48:46	will trump be said 5 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715172625709	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3c4244…
07-18 10:48:46	will elon post texas on x this week 20260717142325184	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0b6f97…
07-18 10:48:45	will people be said 200 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012848	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x10190f…
05-09 13:48:04	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0x071433…
05-06 19:55:53	Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x57232a…
05-06 19:55:40	Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x05c883…
05-06 19:55:25	Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x32b7f0…
05-06 19:52:19	FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x4b3c0d…
05-05 20:37:54	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe7f666…
05-05 20:37:44	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4a7430…
05-03 17:03:32	FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xd0f76a…
05-03 17:03:26	Will Trump say "Television" or "TV" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x8a61f3…
05-03 16:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6186fb…