Wary-Nightlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$192

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-08 03:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	11	$39	166	45	+121	Down	$-11	05-07 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$13	23	23	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	6	$10	11	11	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	7	$7	13	0	+13	Down	$-7	05-08 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$7	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$7	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$5	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$4	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$4	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	$-1	05-07 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-1	05-07 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Up	$-1	05-07 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-08 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 03:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xa00aba…
05-08 03:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0a3b64…
05-08 03:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x6c0958…
05-08 03:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x57e215…
05-08 02:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbf7eee…
05-08 02:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x0824e9…
05-08 02:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x150cea…
05-08 02:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c1d49…
05-08 02:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd70c9d…
05-08 02:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5a16bf…
05-08 02:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x185727…
05-08 02:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5cae0f…
05-08 02:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1d68f9…
05-08 02:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x245225…
05-08 02:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x45bbae…
05-08 02:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x50b17d…
05-08 02:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x90953f…
05-08 02:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7b4b34…
05-08 02:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x2143da…
05-08 02:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb847ab…
05-08 02:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe399e7…
05-08 02:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7ff6d7…
05-08 02:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x28f20b…
05-07 06:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x1e797c…
05-07 06:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x62d03f…
05-07 06:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x104ebe…
05-07 06:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfdb407…
05-07 06:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x13c787…
05-07 06:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdf128f…
05-07 06:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x000530…
05-07 06:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x81f9f7…
05-07 06:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8deb5b…
05-07 06:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6e5aeb…
05-07 06:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x633d8b…
05-07 06:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x836d6a…
05-07 06:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xce532e…
05-07 06:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x8a27e1…
05-07 06:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0f6055…
05-07 06:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8f3f0e…
05-07 06:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaafbd2…
05-07 06:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x2a9c56…
05-07 06:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xc0dc8e…
05-07 06:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x125fc4…
05-07 06:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6e7b40…
05-07 06:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xe8b13b…
05-07 06:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0x781446…
05-07 06:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x08ec3a…
05-07 06:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xbeef4a…
05-07 06:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x8f1f0f…
05-07 06:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x890a80…
05-07 06:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xe020fb…
05-07 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0xb5e8ba…
05-07 05:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8a2450…
05-07 05:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe44f85…
05-07 05:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x539cf0…
05-07 05:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc7edeb…
05-07 05:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x656af6…
05-07 05:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4462c8…
05-07 05:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0xe4d7da…
05-07 05:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x96496c…
05-07 05:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xfdf2ff…
05-07 05:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x1644a5…
05-07 05:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x245e22…
05-07 04:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x1584f2…
05-07 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xf56254…
05-07 04:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xc81993…
05-07 04:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd92bd5…
05-07 04:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22bc49…
05-07 04:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x864d18…
05-07 04:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4c47ed…
05-07 01:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x28976c…
05-07 01:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x76925a…
05-07 01:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x990cf9…
05-07 01:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x92016d…
05-07 01:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3afab8…
05-07 01:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x1df92f…
05-07 01:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x324326…
05-07 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc6e26a…
05-07 01:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x3c3ace…
05-07 01:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6d7357…
05-07 01:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd4d969…
05-07 01:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2c828e…
05-07 01:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x7971d3…
05-07 01:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4a1c37…
05-07 01:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb28f2a…
05-07 01:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc8a0db…
05-07 01:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x04516a…
05-07 01:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef70c8…
05-07 01:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1a4bb3…
05-07 01:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x80f678…
05-07 01:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xfa1af3…
05-07 01:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xeffe05…
05-07 01:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1c71b2…
05-07 01:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe742c9…
05-07 01:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7eb98b…
05-07 01:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x2bd2e0…
05-07 01:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdcd09e…
05-07 01:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x3cf104…
05-07 01:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe94254…
05-07 00:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7e77de…