Gray-Promotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$956

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-10 00:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 31% $-43

Other

3% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	6	$98	127	114	+13	Up	+$34	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$49	545	45	+500	Up	$-15	05-04 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$40	66	40	+26	open	—	05-04 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$38	73	66	+6	Up	+$4	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$37	178	20	+158	Up	$-7	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$36	65	25	+40	Down	$-4	05-04 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$31	59	28	+31	Up	$-3	05-04 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	05-04 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$28	128	0	+128	open	—	05-17 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$25	36	28	+8	open	—	05-17 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$25	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$25	129	12	+118	open	—	05-04 19:43
btc updown 5m 1781049300	4	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-09 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$22	21	21	+0	open	—	05-17 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$22	247	0	+247	Down	$-22	05-04 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$21	34	12	+21	Up	$-3	05-04 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$20	143	0	+143	Down	$-20	05-04 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$20	30	30	+0	open	—	05-04 19:49
btc updown 5m 1781047800	5	$18	17	14	+2	open	—	06-09 23:34
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$18	28	28	+0	No	$-2	05-04 19:50
btc updown 5m 1781048700	3	$16	32	25	+7	open	—	06-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$14	20	15	+5	open	—	05-17 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	9	$12	35	35	+0	open	—	06-01 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	5	$12	20	4	+15	open	—	05-30 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-17 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$12	22	0	+22	open	—	05-17 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$11	47	46	+1	open	—	05-17 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$10	14	10	+3	open	—	05-17 15:55
btc updown 5m 1781049000	2	$10	81	0	+81	open	—	06-09 23:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:13:15	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcf7d43…
06-10 00:12:31	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xfdc4b6…
06-10 00:10:18	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0cdabc…
06-10 00:08:42	btc updown 5m 1781049900	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0xd9d390…
06-10 00:06:22	btc updown 5m 1781049900	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x006162…
06-10 00:02:54	btc updown 5m 1781049600	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x175628…
06-10 00:02:25	btc updown 5m 1781049600	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2a5eb7…
06-09 23:59:57	btc updown 5m 1781049300	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x024f5e…
06-09 23:59:42	btc updown 5m 1781049300	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc1212a…
06-09 23:58:15	btc updown 5m 1781049300	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x00d03c…
06-09 23:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781049300	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x4bdc67…
06-09 23:52:18	btc updown 5m 1781049000	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xef780c…
06-09 23:50:48	btc updown 5m 1781049000	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x80ca2b…
06-09 23:49:31	btc updown 5m 1781048700	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x7e13e5…
06-09 23:47:40	btc updown 5m 1781048700	Down	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0xaa7d82…
06-09 23:47:15	btc updown 5m 1781048700	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x33e9d3…
06-09 23:44:04	btc updown 5m 1781048400	Down	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x456fa8…
06-09 23:43:46	btc updown 5m 1781048400	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd8a45b…
06-09 23:36:52	btc updown 5m 1781048100	Up	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x5c66b8…
06-09 23:36:12	btc updown 5m 1781048100	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xfafd15…
06-09 23:34:52	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9e33a2…
06-09 23:34:48	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Down	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x252ff3…
06-09 23:32:36	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x76c840…
06-09 23:32:09	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x223a79…
06-09 23:31:10	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x081f2a…
06-01 22:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe983eb…
06-01 22:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc86242…
06-01 22:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xed88e7…
06-01 22:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9caf02…
06-01 22:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x022b2a…
06-01 22:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6645ac…
06-01 22:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1413c9…
06-01 22:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb52d8c…
06-01 22:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x14fe99…
06-01 22:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb99cfe…
06-01 22:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xeb57fe…
06-01 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xdbb68a…
06-01 22:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x73199c…
06-01 22:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x88a2d3…
06-01 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x30278c…
06-01 22:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x945adc…
06-01 22:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb81932…
05-31 00:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xd9a2e4…
05-31 00:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4cd27a…
05-31 00:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd215be…
05-31 00:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3ce76c…
05-31 00:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xdcdaaa…
05-31 00:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x817f62…
05-31 00:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x8c8117…
05-31 00:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9ada53…
05-30 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x4780e4…
05-30 23:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x87bd80…
05-30 23:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9a165e…
05-30 23:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x92f794…
05-30 23:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe144d5…
05-30 23:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xec490b…
05-30 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8010d5…
05-30 23:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x824e6a…
05-30 23:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x86fbf6…
05-30 23:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x6ac4da…
05-30 23:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x65a653…
05-30 23:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x11c4cb…
05-30 23:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4d523b…
05-30 23:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x576559…
05-30 23:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1f1f18…
05-30 23:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d7b7b…
05-30 23:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8c9cfe…
05-30 23:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x665f3a…
05-30 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xff8ba2…
05-30 23:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xc804f5…
05-30 23:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdfd165…
05-30 23:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x9a668d…
05-30 23:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x734427…
05-30 23:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdea016…
05-17 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2e9647…
05-17 16:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0dbfbf…
05-17 16:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcfa6c0…
05-17 16:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x0c97f8…
05-17 16:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x12cd94…
05-17 16:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdfc74b…
05-17 16:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x72bbe5…
05-17 16:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7efbe7…
05-17 16:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xca0252…
05-17 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa00618…
05-17 15:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x16b718…
05-17 15:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd491a7…
05-17 15:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa0add9…
05-17 15:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x4a22a9…
05-17 15:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x128cc1…
05-17 15:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x09a7e6…
05-17 15:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x7e3a12…
05-17 15:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x197017…
05-17 15:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xc7df6a…
05-17 15:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x6085a5…
05-17 15:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x096b4d…
05-17 15:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe85f33…
05-17 15:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6add24…
05-17 15:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xeb8ed7…
05-17 15:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb9386c…
05-17 15:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7140bf…