Lumbering-Deviation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$57

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-15 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 54% $-7

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	6	$7	121	4	+117	Down	$-1	05-06 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$5	4	5	-2	Down	$-0	05-07 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	+$0	05-06 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$3	101	1	+100	Up	$-1	05-06 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 19:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 14:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 19:16
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-06 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$2	101	0	+101	Down	$-2	05-07 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-06 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-0	05-07 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-06 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-06 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-06 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 18:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc54398…
05-07 19:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x88759e…
05-07 19:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x44fdd1…
05-07 18:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb42403…
05-07 18:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc08b0a…
05-07 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x475cc2…
05-07 16:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda1570…
05-07 15:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd07f99…
05-07 14:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf1362a…
05-07 14:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8d0646…
05-07 14:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xaf4e83…
05-07 14:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb18a42…
05-07 13:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x7c8b4f…
05-07 13:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1a5997…
05-07 13:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x065406…
05-07 13:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb54c0b…
05-07 13:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4cb8a5…
05-07 13:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x46e3c3…
05-07 13:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa0a339…
05-07 13:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xb426da…
05-07 13:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x985361…
05-07 13:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x4abbd9…
05-06 19:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xab5adc…
05-06 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7e4a41…
05-06 19:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5cd9ca…
05-06 19:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbb7a12…
05-06 19:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x782f1c…
05-06 19:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb71953…
05-06 19:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x917547…
05-06 19:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe8bf0c…
05-06 19:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x47e5ad…
05-06 19:00:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0536d0…
05-06 18:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x77a43b…
05-06 18:58:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x090aba…
05-06 18:56:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x11ef18…
05-06 18:50:31	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xa7fcab…
05-06 18:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf64afc…
05-06 18:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdddafc…
05-06 18:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8a5368…
05-06 18:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1f33ba…
05-06 18:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe9c6f…
05-06 18:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb9e96c…
05-06 18:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xf2bd55…
05-06 18:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0e86b1…
05-06 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0x7f31a9…
05-06 18:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5e2125…
05-06 18:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc73861…
05-06 18:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfcb05b…
05-06 18:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa9c0ec…
05-06 18:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb5f494…
05-06 17:53:17	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa2200d…