Fumbling-Aluminum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-24 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 89% +$8

Other

44% 97% +$5

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$2.5K	1,271	1,271	+0	No	$-1	03-08 11:43
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.3K	1,151	1,151	+0	No	$-1	03-07 08:38
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	1	$161	162	0	+162	No	+$1	02-26 10:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9?	1	$109	109	0	+109	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:46
btc updown 5m 1772853900	1	$100	102	0	+102	Down	+$2	03-07 03:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	1	$80	80	0	+80	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:47
btc updown 5m 1772698200	3	$80	114	0	+114	Down	$-2	03-05 08:15
will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	1	$74	74	0	+74	No	+$0	02-26 10:32
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	06-24 07:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 15?	1	$55	55	0	+55	Yes	+$0	05-13 07:41
btc updown 5m 1772699400	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	03-05 08:33
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	03-05 08:29
will iran strike bahrain in march	1	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	03-05 08:31
will israel strike gaza on march 4 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	03-05 08:28
btc updown 5m 1772699700	2	$30	67	0	+67	Down	+$1	03-05 08:37
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-05 08:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	03-05 08:30
will solana reach 140 february 23 march 1	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$0	02-26 10:32
trump out as president by march 31	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-13 09:38
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	03-13 09:37
btc updown 5m 1772855100	2	$21	55	0	+55	Up	+$1	03-07 03:49
btc updown 5m 1772700300	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-05 08:49
will crude oil cl settle at 60 65 in march 449	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	03-13 09:39
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	03-13 09:40
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-13 09:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$15	17	0	+17	Yes	+$1	03-13 09:38
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-13 09:39
highest temperature in ankara on april 17 2026 18c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-17 08:58
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	03-13 09:41
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 28c	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	04-17 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 07:28:20	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x80da3a…
05-13 07:41:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x8dbcd4…
05-07 06:47:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x07eab3…
05-07 06:46:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xb7216b…
04-17 08:59:58	highest temperature in milan on april 18 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x841c94…
04-17 08:59:34	highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 28corhigher	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe3508f…
04-17 08:59:18	highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 21c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9d7e61…
04-17 08:58:46	highest temperature in ankara on april 18 2026 20c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf7ef6c…
04-17 08:58:34	highest temperature in ankara on april 18 2026 21c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa8c316…
04-17 08:58:22	highest temperature in ankara on april 18 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x40ff3a…
04-17 08:58:10	highest temperature in ankara on april 17 2026 18c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x625350…
04-17 08:57:20	highest temperature in miami on april 17 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x840371…
04-17 08:56:54	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 18 2026 35c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5aeaea…
04-17 08:56:42	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 18 2026 36c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8625ca…
04-17 08:56:22	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 28c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4ed9af…
04-08 08:43:41	highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x75e8ea…
04-08 08:43:23	highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8c869a…
04-08 08:42:57	highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbb7ed8…
04-08 08:42:31	highest temperature in san francisco on april 8 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xdd9be7…
04-08 08:42:15	highest temperature in san francisco on april 8 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x15d7cd…
04-08 08:41:23	highest temperature in lucknow on april 8 2026 30c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0a11a7…
04-08 08:40:55	highest temperature in panama city on april 8 2026 29c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0081d2…
04-08 08:40:39	highest temperature in panama city on april 8 2026 30c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x977fcc…
04-08 08:39:29	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 8 2026 19c	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x2cc686…
04-08 08:38:55	highest temperature in busan on april 8 2026 20c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x66b569…
04-08 08:38:39	highest temperature in busan on april 8 2026 18c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe9af67…
04-08 08:38:07	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 8 2026 26c	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5c2e7a…
04-08 08:37:49	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 8 2026 25c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0dfe34…
04-08 08:37:09	highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8fd5d2…
04-08 08:36:47	highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 11c	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x7e1387…
04-08 08:36:19	highest temperature in helsinki on april 8 2026 5c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfaded5…
04-08 08:35:59	highest temperature in helsinki on april 8 2026 4c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x915e99…
04-08 08:35:05	highest temperature in istanbul on april 8 2026 18c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdaff4f…
03-13 09:41:05	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf6c4d1…
03-13 09:40:47	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xca5c9f…
03-13 09:40:15	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x00b3ce…
03-13 09:39:57	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x710e89…
03-13 09:39:03	will crude oil cl settle at 60 65 in march 449	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x4de8c3…
03-13 09:38:35	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xc0aea5…
03-13 09:38:09	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0xe9da05…
03-13 09:37:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x121735…
03-08 11:53:15	btc updown 5m 1772970600	Up	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0x2fad4d…
03-08 11:51:49	btc updown 5m 1772970600	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x892f98…
03-08 11:43:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,271	100¢	$1,265	0x057b88…
03-07 08:40:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,271	100¢	$1,266	0x034074…
03-07 08:38:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,151	100¢	$1,149	0xee4b80…
03-07 03:59:19	btc updown 5m 1772855700	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x11e7e3…
03-07 03:57:09	btc updown 5m 1772855700	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x85015d…
03-07 03:49:29	btc updown 5m 1772855100	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5cdb9e…
03-07 03:49:11	btc updown 5m 1772855100	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x5ffd45…
03-07 03:36:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,151	100¢	$1,150	0xe09021…
03-07 03:29:37	btc updown 5m 1772853900	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1a3271…
03-05 08:49:43	btc updown 5m 1772700300	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x54e765…
03-05 08:37:17	btc updown 5m 1772699700	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x4d893c…
03-05 08:37:07	btc updown 5m 1772699700	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x1c6bf1…
03-05 08:33:47	btc updown 5m 1772699400	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xbab318…
03-05 08:31:25	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x25a6b2…
03-05 08:30:43	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x86bf3b…
03-05 08:30:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x2f3e04…
03-05 08:29:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xa24a37…
03-05 08:28:59	will israel strike gaza on march 4 2026	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xd12be4…
03-05 08:15:01	btc updown 5m 1772698200	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x36c785…
03-05 08:14:03	btc updown 5m 1772698200	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x4fff0b…
03-05 08:11:35	btc updown 5m 1772698200	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xcb4d7f…
02-26 10:32:44	will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x3b36e2…
02-26 10:32:18	will solana reach 140 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xd08aa3…
02-26 10:31:44	will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0x285a4b…