Juvenile-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 04-26 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-0

Sports

42% — —

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	04-18 08:46
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	04-24 07:11
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$251	126	126	+0	open	—	03-25 19:21
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-26 21:50
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$214	107	107	+0	No	$-0	03-27 02:31
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	03-23 03:22
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	04-17 00:35
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$174	87	87	+0	open	—	02-11 18:01
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	02-13 06:52
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	02-24 21:04
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-01 21:43
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	02-11 11:39
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	03-25 12:45
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	03-04 22:09
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	03-03 11:40
will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-22 08:18
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-01 15:04
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	04-22 16:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	04-21 07:35
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	03-22 14:37
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	03-18 04:29
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	04-26 20:09
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	04-20 09:02
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$104	52	52	+0	open	—	04-19 00:14
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	03-16 01:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	2	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	04-22 08:55
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$-0	03-26 08:02
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	04-07 01:06
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	03-12 03:47
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$88	44	44	+0	No	$-0	04-20 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-26 21:50:22	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x7989e3…
04-26 21:50:06	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x4ffd7f…
04-26 20:09:40	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xc10f0c…
04-26 17:32:24	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x1c3291…
04-24 07:11:28	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf473da…
04-24 05:10:04	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xdc6688…
04-22 16:12:18	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x6f6948…
04-22 11:51:18	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x996a2e…
04-22 08:55:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xe86176…
04-22 07:34:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x5161a9…
04-21 11:51:50	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x2b7827…
04-21 07:35:36	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x151f02…
04-21 07:35:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x71616d…
04-21 04:34:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9adb68…
04-20 14:18:54	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf679a2…
04-20 09:02:42	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xea5b2e…
04-20 04:04:50	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xb32b81…
04-20 04:04:34	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x155d8c…
04-20 01:58:54	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xcaa8df…
04-19 00:14:04	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x566049…
04-18 22:56:58	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x794e89…
04-18 08:46:38	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xec7ce2…
04-18 02:17:34	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x3d73f7…
04-17 00:35:56	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xd1d8aa…
04-16 22:49:02	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x01e09c…
04-16 16:18:28	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x990130…
04-16 11:58:42	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x04efc9…
04-13 23:43:15	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xb9f75e…
04-13 19:49:21	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x08b4ea…
04-13 01:15:19	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6bfa3e…
04-07 01:06:09	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x137e9b…
04-06 22:32:05	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xca3f30…
04-01 21:05:55	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xbff7a4…
04-01 16:36:13	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x76c1c6…
03-31 13:25:57	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80819c…
03-31 08:59:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1ff567…
03-30 17:55:05	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb8d92…
03-27 02:31:25	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x20e87e…
03-26 20:07:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x2b4199…
03-26 08:02:07	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x640cb2…
03-26 01:45:25	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdbe0aa…
03-25 19:21:07	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0xf44dd0…
03-25 14:42:45	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xa20644…
03-25 12:45:17	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x63a41e…
03-25 06:23:45	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xa66a95…
03-23 03:22:23	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x94c112…
03-22 14:37:31	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x6d5863…
03-22 14:37:15	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xfba920…
03-22 08:18:23	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x777e73…
03-22 08:18:03	will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x087e00…
03-22 01:58:07	will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xbe2236…
03-18 17:26:41	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xd5052d…
03-18 10:54:41	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x4b3034…
03-18 04:29:19	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x916b2b…
03-17 22:01:57	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9b30a1…
03-17 02:58:53	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x446838…
03-16 20:36:51	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x1df578…
03-16 01:22:17	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xe6af96…
03-15 18:58:51	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7f67b1…
03-14 11:38:41	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x8162df…
03-14 05:19:35	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x476a51…
03-12 03:47:37	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x8212ce…
03-11 21:23:43	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xd94461…
03-10 19:40:21	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Pistons	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0xe8c51e…
03-10 19:39:51	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Trail Blazers	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x7b52f5…
03-10 19:39:21	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Rockets	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x446e56…
03-05 13:07:39	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b8fcc…
03-04 22:09:31	nba cha bos 2026 03 04	Celtics	BUY	54	69¢	$37	0xef3e1e…
03-04 22:09:07	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x01da67…
03-04 14:56:49	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x7d1db9…
03-03 20:56:43	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x5b138f…
03-03 20:56:11	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xa58490…
03-03 11:40:51	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	76ers	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0xc5c14d…
03-03 11:40:29	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xb313cc…
03-03 03:12:31	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x607df8…
03-02 11:41:41	nba bos mil 2026 03 02	Bucks	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0xff8ce2…
03-01 21:43:09	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7471ef…
03-01 15:04:53	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x13071f…
03-01 15:04:37	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x9ef332…
03-01 03:02:39	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc8c182…
02-28 08:21:37	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x778587…
02-28 08:21:17	Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0047b5…
02-28 08:20:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9cd449…
02-27 08:58:19	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xc32401…
02-27 01:16:48	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x5c80e5…
02-25 06:00:58	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2ba3ba…
02-25 06:00:34	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6b4229…
02-24 21:04:08	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x56e4d2…
02-24 20:22:50	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x343684…
02-22 13:55:10	nba por phx 2026 02 22	Suns	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9ff96c…
02-22 13:54:46	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x21c655…
02-21 01:04:10	nba ind was 2026 02 20	Wizards	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb33e01…
02-13 06:52:45	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x1d5290…
02-12 21:45:49	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xa9ba78…
02-11 18:01:31	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x1ed45e…
02-11 11:39:41	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xabd549…
02-11 11:39:23	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x8c6ed0…
02-10 19:50:17	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xccd019…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	40	$12.3K	7,189	04-27 02:25
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	37	$45.1K	629	04-27 23:41
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	32	$216.5K	3,446	03-11 04:27
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	31	$109.8K	2,248	04-28 12:55
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	30	$719.4K	43,418	04-09 19:47
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	30	$360.5K	7,258	04-27 18:23
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	30	$338.0K	4,247	04-28 05:36
(anonymous) 0x9be9…c030	30	$86.0K	1,244	03-26 23:55