Fat-Prejudice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,069

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-28 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 72% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$148	83	83	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$106	72	72	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$105	95	95	+0	open	—	05-20 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$105	57	57	+0	open	—	05-19 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$81	87	13	+75	Down	+$16	05-13 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$60	72	16	+56	open	—	05-20 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$58	43	43	+0	open	—	05-21 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$55	75	0	+75	open	—	05-19 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$55	40	40	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$53	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$52	36	36	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$52	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$51	32	32	+0	open	—	05-21 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-21 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	05-21 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$36	36	32	+4	open	—	05-19 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	9	$34	34	33	+1	Up	+$7	05-14 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$32	33	18	+16	open	—	05-28 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$31	40	10	+30	Down	+$1	05-13 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$30	49	16	+33	open	—	05-19 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	05-21 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Down	$-25	05-13 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$25	66	0	+66	Down	+$41	05-13 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$25	34	0	+34	Down	+$9	05-13 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	open	—	05-21 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$25	41	0	+41	open	—	05-21 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Down	$-25	05-13 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Down	+$3	05-13 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	05-21 03:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 03:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x6ae12f…
05-28 02:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xc3b2b1…
05-28 02:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x004fc9…
05-28 02:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xd33c36…
05-28 02:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd548b4…
05-28 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf21f20…
05-28 02:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcbf271…
05-28 02:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xa72f0d…
05-28 02:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x6d9852…
05-28 02:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x0817fb…
05-28 02:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6dbab3…
05-28 02:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x55413b…
05-28 02:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0273a3…
05-28 02:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x05f30c…
05-28 02:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xeec91b…
05-28 02:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xb2c489…
05-28 02:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe8ddae…
05-27 09:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5525ca…
05-27 09:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2fa3ea…
05-27 09:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x77ef79…
05-27 09:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x72fc9d…
05-27 09:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x51c50c…
05-27 09:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4bc83f…
05-27 08:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x584243…
05-27 08:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xfc25bd…
05-27 08:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x774d3a…
05-27 08:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xcc2b64…
05-27 08:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x610154…
05-27 08:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5ee601…
05-27 08:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x8f5e51…
05-27 08:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x561505…
05-27 08:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa3ebd7…
05-27 08:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf92b85…
05-27 07:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3e44c6…
05-27 07:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1dcb0c…
05-27 07:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x04cbe5…
05-27 07:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc69f02…
05-27 06:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7e2cc9…
05-27 06:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1e0b44…
05-25 09:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xaaae79…
05-25 09:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf6f69c…
05-25 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x720fb9…
05-25 08:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfc8e5e…
05-25 08:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xbe3c45…
05-25 08:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x76eb06…
05-25 08:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb6fdcd…
05-25 07:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0a914e…
05-25 07:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9315a5…
05-25 07:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x424541…
05-25 06:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2bb02e…
05-25 06:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xcc0c2d…
05-25 06:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6aef9f…
05-25 06:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xae1ca4…
05-25 06:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0c446c…
05-25 05:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1b65ae…
05-25 05:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb92f89…
05-25 05:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5c7980…
05-25 05:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x078c9c…
05-25 05:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xefd3d4…
05-25 05:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x864547…
05-25 05:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd896f0…
05-25 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x403daa…
05-25 04:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x7636b7…
05-25 04:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd24542…
05-25 04:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6d3dbf…
05-25 04:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x88586b…
05-25 04:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8529d5…
05-25 04:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe8985c…
05-25 03:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x61d28b…
05-25 03:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x02eaac…
05-25 03:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x95bd13…
05-25 03:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5c571e…
05-25 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5662a6…
05-25 03:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x54bc08…
05-25 02:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x9356b5…
05-25 02:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd4c6d8…
05-25 02:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5517df…
05-22 12:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x198722…
05-22 12:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x631c04…
05-22 12:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5ddfe9…
05-22 12:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5fde4b…
05-22 12:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6f03df…
05-22 12:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x683796…
05-22 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x351612…
05-22 11:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xc7b2e9…
05-22 11:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x11c421…
05-22 11:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x808c2a…
05-22 11:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x470941…
05-22 11:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1a0419…
05-22 11:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x3d5310…
05-22 11:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x25bd2c…
05-22 11:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xef0374…
05-22 11:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x448d50…
05-22 11:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x880c03…
05-22 11:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x632b7e…
05-22 11:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc93885…
05-22 10:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb408ac…
05-22 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa7be20…
05-22 10:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xe2530c…
05-22 10:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x27bf16…