Minor-Probability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down		-5	$-0	1¢	$-0	+$0	05-06 07:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x80dda5…
05-06 04:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x68693c…
05-06 04:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x2ae1a2…
05-04 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x300929…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	4	$746	50	05-06 07:50
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	4	$609	39	05-06 07:50
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$562	19	05-06 07:46
Shocked-Acetate 0x2a9c…c8cf	3	$6.84K	5	05-06 07:50
Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30	3	$518	4	05-06 07:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	7	-7	Down	+$1	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$0	5	-5	Down	+$0	05-06 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$0	9	-9	Up	+$0	05-06 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$0	5	-5	open	—	05-06 07:50