Minor-Probability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,818

lifetime

Volume

$8.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-11 22:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775976300	5	$26	38	0	+38	open	—	04-12 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	05-15 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$19	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 04:24
btc updown 5m 1775939100	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-11 20:31
btc updown 5m 1781199900	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	06-11 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	06-02 06:52
btc updown 5m 1781216100	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	06-11 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 05:24
btc updown 5m 1781216400	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-11 22:22
btc updown 5m 1781241900	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-12 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 16:39
btc updown 5m 1781200500	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-11 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 12:09
btc updown 5m 1781233500	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-12 03:10
btc updown 5m 1781216700	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	06-11 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 18:19
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	2	$11	56	52	+4	open	—	04-15 19:37
btc updown 5m 1781199300	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-11 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-30 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-27 15:14
btc updown 5m 1781200800	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	06-11 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-28 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-28 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-25 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 05:43:24	btc updown 5m 1781242800	Down	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x9b4564…
06-12 05:43:15	btc updown 5m 1781242800	Down	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x020fc2…
06-12 05:42:22	btc updown 5m 1781242800	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0xfb389e…
06-12 05:34:49	btc updown 5m 1781242200	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd095ff…
06-12 05:29:10	btc updown 5m 1781241900	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x7fb0ba…
06-12 05:27:13	btc updown 5m 1781241900	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xdda066…
06-12 05:22:04	btc updown 5m 1781241600	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x6c3f8d…
06-12 03:10:00	btc updown 5m 1781233500	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x0473bb…
06-12 03:06:36	btc updown 5m 1781233500	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x061a50…
06-12 00:53:57	btc updown 5m 1781225400	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0x39102d…
06-11 22:42:51	btc updown 5m 1781217600	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x729329…
06-11 22:39:12	btc updown 5m 1781217300	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf87db8…
06-11 22:28:00	btc updown 5m 1781216700	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x49523a…
06-11 22:27:15	btc updown 5m 1781216700	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x6d820f…
06-11 22:22:21	btc updown 5m 1781216400	Down	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x25126c…
06-11 22:21:52	btc updown 5m 1781216400	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xb636a9…
06-11 22:19:58	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x3fd3d4…
06-11 22:19:03	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xeaa50f…
06-11 22:14:10	btc updown 5m 1781215800	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x049522…
06-11 22:02:15	btc updown 5m 1781215200	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x6f270e…
06-11 22:02:03	btc updown 5m 1781215200	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1f0e6d…
06-11 20:59:54	btc updown 5m 1781211300	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x0d7a3e…
06-11 20:57:25	btc updown 5m 1781211300	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x48d1d7…
06-11 18:49:09	btc updown 5m 1781203500	Up	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xbc3d87…
06-11 18:47:40	btc updown 5m 1781203500	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xbbe456…
06-11 18:43:09	btc updown 5m 1781203200	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$5	0x565e63…
06-11 18:42:22	btc updown 5m 1781203200	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0xa6948b…
06-11 18:36:04	btc updown 5m 1781202900	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x2b2abd…
06-11 18:31:03	btc updown 5m 1781202600	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x75724d…
06-11 18:29:28	btc updown 5m 1781202300	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x8b303d…
06-11 18:26:43	btc updown 5m 1781202300	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd94c7a…
06-11 18:16:34	btc updown 5m 1781201700	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5cc79e…
06-11 18:06:06	btc updown 5m 1781201100	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x62e7f6…
06-11 18:03:27	btc updown 5m 1781200800	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xe75101…
06-11 18:01:27	btc updown 5m 1781200800	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xfc0d29…
06-11 17:57:40	btc updown 5m 1781200500	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xf375a3…
06-11 17:56:21	btc updown 5m 1781200500	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x0272de…
06-11 17:52:40	btc updown 5m 1781200200	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x5f6b2f…
06-11 17:49:28	btc updown 5m 1781199900	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xffac2f…
06-11 17:46:39	btc updown 5m 1781199900	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xed53e4…
06-11 17:42:18	btc updown 5m 1781199600	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe31cca…
06-11 17:37:27	btc updown 5m 1781199300	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x251ec8…
06-11 17:36:28	btc updown 5m 1781199300	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x66a983…
06-10 14:57:42	btc updown 5m 1781103300	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe6feb6…
06-10 14:47:48	btc updown 5m 1781102700	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x028e0b…
06-10 14:27:58	btc updown 5m 1781101500	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0d69dd…
06-10 14:18:07	btc updown 5m 1781100900	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x363018…
06-10 13:58:13	btc updown 5m 1781099700	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x66c5d1…
06-10 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1781099100	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3343ec…
06-10 13:28:09	btc updown 5m 1781097900	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x286658…
06-10 13:17:49	btc updown 5m 1781097300	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf54a99…
06-10 13:08:45	btc updown 5m 1781096700	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb31409…
06-10 12:58:49	btc updown 5m 1781096100	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd0aa3b…
06-10 12:47:36	btc updown 5m 1781095500	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x379377…
06-10 12:28:42	btc updown 5m 1781094300	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2aa127…
06-10 12:12:36	btc updown 5m 1781093400	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x37dc82…
06-10 11:47:39	btc updown 5m 1781091900	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x95dc1c…
06-10 11:38:43	btc updown 5m 1781091300	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x25d697…
06-10 11:18:04	btc updown 5m 1781090100	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2dd07f…
06-10 11:08:18	btc updown 5m 1781089500	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xec08f2…
06-10 10:43:21	btc updown 5m 1781088000	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xab1f50…
06-10 10:14:27	btc updown 5m 1781086200	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbc761e…
06-10 09:32:37	btc updown 5m 1781083800	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdfc338…
06-10 09:14:15	btc updown 5m 1781082600	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x77607e…
06-10 09:02:37	btc updown 5m 1781082000	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xcc354f…
06-10 08:48:22	btc updown 5m 1781081100	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc865d7…
06-10 08:32:54	btc updown 5m 1781080200	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x166257…
06-10 08:03:30	btc updown 5m 1781078400	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x590412…
06-10 07:53:07	btc updown 5m 1781077800	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1555b2…
06-10 07:32:33	btc updown 5m 1781076600	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4a8499…
06-10 06:47:42	btc updown 5m 1781073900	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd124ad…
06-10 06:08:52	btc updown 5m 1781071500	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xeba29b…
06-10 05:44:10	btc updown 5m 1781070000	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0321e1…
06-10 05:34:12	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd6b058…
06-10 05:23:43	btc updown 5m 1781068800	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa245e0…
06-10 04:58:54	btc updown 5m 1781067300	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xab9f30…
06-10 04:43:01	btc updown 5m 1781066400	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xab50d9…
06-10 03:13:01	btc updown 5m 1781061000	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x21b0fb…
06-10 02:38:18	btc updown 5m 1781058900	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x895a33…
06-10 02:22:33	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0df7f4…
06-10 02:12:40	btc updown 5m 1781057400	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x351ef0…
06-10 01:03:22	btc updown 5m 1781053200	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x27b5c4…
06-10 00:37:43	btc updown 5m 1781051700	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd8d05a…
06-10 00:18:16	btc updown 5m 1781050500	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x04dbda…
06-09 23:03:10	btc updown 5m 1781046000	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x861a34…
06-09 20:09:10	btc updown 5m 1781035500	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcde7ec…
06-09 19:57:54	btc updown 5m 1781034900	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x453fd5…
06-09 19:37:42	btc updown 5m 1781033700	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9a7b42…
06-09 19:27:45	btc updown 5m 1781033100	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x06cf0a…
06-09 19:19:33	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x23d016…
06-09 19:08:18	btc updown 5m 1781031900	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8e6377…
06-09 18:47:49	btc updown 5m 1781030700	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9c42fc…
06-09 18:39:30	btc updown 5m 1781030100	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbde991…
06-09 18:33:54	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc34593…
06-09 18:17:49	btc updown 5m 1781028900	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa1638a…
06-09 18:03:31	btc updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x79569d…
06-09 17:43:18	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x47f730…
06-09 17:33:15	btc updown 5m 1781026200	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1eb91c…
06-09 17:22:49	btc updown 5m 1781025600	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1ca3e9…
06-09 17:13:42	btc updown 5m 1781025000	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x51446e…