United-Volcano — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

449

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-15 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

74% 38% +$2

Crypto

25% 58% +$2

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$74	99	99	+0	open	—	03-19 14:16
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$52	31	31	+0	open	—	03-13 09:09
highest temperature in austin on march 26 2026 90 91f	11	$50	68	55	+13	open	—	03-26 19:41
highest temperature in miami on april 7 2026 78 79f	5	$50	35	34	+0	open	—	04-07 17:44
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	2	$49	47	46	+1	open	—	03-19 11:38
highest temperature in miami on april 6 2026 84 85f	3	$48	44	42	+2	open	—	04-06 16:57
highest temperature in houston on april 17 2026 84 85f	9	$44	69	45	+24	open	—	04-17 19:37
highest temperature in san francisco on april 7 2026 62 63f	3	$42	30	29	+1	open	—	04-07 07:26
highest temperature in austin on march 25 2026 90 91f	11	$40	60	70	-10	open	—	03-25 16:32
highest temperature in miami on april 11 2026 78 79f	2	$39	25	24	+1	open	—	04-11 19:27
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	03-02 20:08
highest temperature in austin on april 13 2026 82 83f	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	04-13 21:07
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 74 75f	2	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	04-13 21:07
highest temperature in austin on april 8 2026 78 79f	3	$35	23	23	+0	open	—	04-08 15:52
another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	3	$35	58	58	-0	open	—	03-04 19:10
highest temperature in atlanta on april 14 2026 86 87f	8	$34	61	26	+35	open	—	04-14 15:34
highest temperature in san francisco on april 8 2026 66 67f	3	$34	22	22	+0	open	—	04-08 15:52
highest temperature in dallas on april 19 2026 71forbelow	4	$33	27	26	+1	open	—	04-19 16:16
highest temperature in nyc on march 24 2026 46 47f	2	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	03-24 21:02
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 2PM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 19:04
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 70 71f	11	$29	56	56	+0	open	—	03-28 20:56
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 48 49f	2	$28	25	24	+1	open	—	04-08 17:56
highest temperature in dallas on april 6 2026 70 71f	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 20:50
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 40 41f	3	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 17:47
highest temperature in atlanta on march 23 2026 76 77f	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	03-23 16:27
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11AM ET	5	$23	38	36	+2	open	—	04-26 15:57
highest temperature in miami on april 17 2026 82 83f	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	04-17 15:31
highest temperature in seattle on march 29 2026 44 45f	2	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	03-29 04:34
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 38 39f	3	$21	23	22	+1	open	—	04-07 18:06
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$21	27	27	+0	open	—	03-16 10:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 21:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa0e450…
05-15 19:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x4d56d0…
05-15 19:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc03eee…
05-15 19:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xa96a33…
05-15 19:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x54d8e2…
05-15 18:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa24e50…
05-15 18:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x9a48ad…
05-15 18:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x0c7c58…
05-15 18:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x58b2cf…
05-15 18:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x082bfc…
05-15 17:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1aa488…
05-15 17:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xd6624f…
05-15 17:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x28d06f…
05-15 17:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x670467…
05-15 16:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x8eecd0…
05-15 16:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x6b87a2…
05-15 13:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x77d6f2…
05-15 13:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x37c810…
05-15 13:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x082fd0…
05-15 13:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfe9ff5…
05-15 10:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x0d73fc…
05-14 16:22:53	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x62ce3e…
05-14 14:21:03	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x416f10…
05-14 08:37:21	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x32c9e2…
05-13 23:38:51	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x59b018…
05-13 12:44:47	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x1992b5…
05-13 12:30:14	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa35baf…
05-13 12:30:10	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x1b0126…
05-13 09:30:11	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x05c4e0…
05-13 06:45:06	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x17e1bd…
05-13 06:07:58	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x53c4fb…
05-13 05:44:05	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x0bbddb…
05-12 23:31:13	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x308ab6…
05-12 21:56:13	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x7e7ce7…
05-12 15:24:41	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x674b17…
05-11 23:11:29	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x313617…
05-11 22:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbaa0d3…
05-11 21:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x0697c1…
05-11 13:38:27	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x634144…
05-11 11:16:33	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf3266c…
05-11 09:58:23	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x631619…
05-11 09:05:13	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x250a79…
05-10 20:17:43	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x9e9fff…
05-10 20:16:17	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x6d15de…
05-10 18:43:43	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x3a6473…
05-09 19:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcb8a16…
05-09 06:05:13	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xc96eab…
05-08 20:00:01	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xda05ca…
05-08 15:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xff2dba…
05-08 14:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7af414…
05-08 14:11:32	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcdbabc…
05-08 13:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe01073…
05-08 12:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x7ff40c…
05-08 11:31:18	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x88ef99…
05-08 09:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x175f64…
05-07 22:05:13	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xd7ea17…
05-07 21:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xbe28db…
05-07 20:56:55	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6cbd72…
05-06 16:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0a6840…
05-06 15:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x7189a4…
05-06 12:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x74d158…
05-06 12:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe1ab1e…
05-06 12:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x26e1cc…
05-06 11:41:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xedba46…
05-06 11:04:16	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x02c496…
05-06 11:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xab6cf3…
05-06 10:49:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x332abd…
05-06 10:46:08	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd0ed2f…
05-06 10:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x181ef7…
05-05 21:17:48	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc2ab7e…
05-05 19:23:04	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x2c6b0c…
05-02 16:29:26	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x0ad65f…
05-02 16:26:04	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xac7f76…
05-02 15:47:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb2d5ca…
05-02 15:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7b48d9…
05-02 14:53:32	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x9544ac…
05-02 14:51:38	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x52bd59…
05-02 14:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0xcad3ad…
05-02 14:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xe67096…
05-01 19:04:08	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb21d9c…
05-01 18:32:00	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3b7caf…
05-01 18:20:54	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x58a467…
05-01 18:01:08	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbaaaed…
05-01 17:29:26	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x66c003…
05-01 17:13:02	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x93c3f5…
05-01 16:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xf181f3…
05-01 16:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5da357…
05-01 16:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x28c22f…
05-01 16:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0548d7…
05-01 15:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	14	62¢	$8	0x2f752c…
05-01 10:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd482fb…
04-30 22:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x7deebb…
04-30 20:37:26	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xde4b43…
04-30 20:36:34	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xbd4d86…
04-30 20:30:16	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7ab7a8…
04-30 17:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbbc022…
04-30 14:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7ce83e…
04-30 13:32:08	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x7afb74…
04-30 11:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0eb42c…
04-30 11:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa9c86e…