Thick-Progress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-25 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

78% — —

Crypto

22% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$1.3K	649	649	+0	open	—	01-12 07:35
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 120 139	2	$1.3K	648	648	+0	open	—	01-12 08:32
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	2	$1.3K	647	647	+0	open	—	01-12 08:53
will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$680	340	340	+0	open	—	01-05 08:18
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 420 439	2	$678	340	340	+0	open	—	01-05 08:36
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 680 699	2	$660	330	330	+0	open	—	01-05 09:00
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$660	330	330	+0	open	—	01-05 09:27
eth updown 5m 1774502100	3	$39	45	29	+17	open	—	03-26 05:18
eth updown 5m 1774501200	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	03-26 05:05
eth updown 5m 1774497600	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	03-26 04:05
eth updown 5m 1774497300	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-26 04:00
eth updown 5m 1774496700	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-26 03:50
eth updown 15m 1767600900	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	01-05 08:30
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 02:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 05:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 04:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 06:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 05:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 03:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-13 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 03:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-25 04:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-13 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-14 03:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-14 04:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-18 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 04:51:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa0edb5…
05-18 03:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x278ba7…
05-18 03:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf9d4c4…
05-18 02:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c19b3…
05-18 02:45:47	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2f7d51…
05-18 02:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0e4bd1…
05-18 02:12:13	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2d717b…
05-18 02:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2f12c…
05-14 04:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x068cc5…
05-14 04:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1707e9…
05-14 04:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4f582a…
05-14 03:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35bdc5…
05-13 05:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8980b7…
05-13 05:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x409501…
05-13 03:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdc1c3c…
05-13 02:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc4351…
05-12 06:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10e92a…
05-12 05:59:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x70140a…
05-11 10:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf869ee…
05-11 10:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x340be1…
05-11 05:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x85681d…
05-11 04:59:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x02e26e…
05-11 02:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4d6047…
05-11 02:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf730e6…
03-26 05:18:47	eth updown 5m 1774502100	Down	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x743a19…
03-26 05:18:01	eth updown 5m 1774502100	Down	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0x0ee775…
03-26 05:17:25	eth updown 5m 1774502100	Down	BUY	29	53¢	$16	0x987fe2…
03-26 05:05:15	eth updown 5m 1774501200	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb24336…
03-26 05:04:15	eth updown 5m 1774501200	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xaeae0e…
03-26 04:05:23	eth updown 5m 1774497600	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x84dc5f…
03-26 04:03:53	eth updown 5m 1774497600	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xeeaac6…
03-26 04:00:45	eth updown 5m 1774497300	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0a044c…
03-26 03:59:31	eth updown 5m 1774497300	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc1ca50…
03-26 03:50:59	eth updown 5m 1774496700	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb64fec…
03-26 03:48:51	eth updown 5m 1774496700	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5187f4…
01-12 08:53:44	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	No	SELL	647	100¢	$646	0x79ab9b…
01-12 08:34:50	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in january 2026	No	BUY	647	100¢	$647	0xaed8bf…
01-12 08:32:50	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 120 139	No	SELL	648	100¢	$647	0xcad1bd…
01-12 08:16:40	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 120 139	No	BUY	648	100¢	$647	0x9129d0…
01-12 07:35:52	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	SELL	649	100¢	$648	0x3278bb…
01-12 07:09:48	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	649	100¢	$649	0xfe9b28…
01-05 09:27:47	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	SELL	330	100¢	$330	0x4b6f75…
01-05 09:12:03	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0xaec2b1…
01-05 09:00:51	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 680 699	No	SELL	330	100¢	$330	0xfb5d66…
01-05 08:39:07	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 680 699	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x19f0c9…
01-05 08:36:29	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 420 439	No	SELL	340	99¢	$338	0x2dd87f…
01-05 08:30:39	eth updown 15m 1767600900	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5460b6…
01-05 08:27:01	eth updown 15m 1767600900	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x2da6dc…
01-05 08:21:57	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 420 439	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0x4d1768…
01-05 08:18:31	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	340	100¢	$340	0xf88a99…
01-05 08:03:55	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0x2a9302…