Earnest-Geology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-06 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 100% +$0

Politics

15% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$88	528	1,128	-600	open	—	02-28 12:38
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	5	$46	600	600	+0	open	—	02-09 18:04
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-12 11:55
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-11 10:34
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-09 07:49
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-07 13:01
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-05 21:19
ethereum above 2200 on april 4	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-04 07:29
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-03 13:26
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-01 13:09
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	2	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-31 08:51
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-29 09:10
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-28 08:48
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-26 04:19
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 12:11
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-25 03:21
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-23 08:58
ethereum above 1900 on march 22	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-22 13:31
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-21 14:30
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-20 14:11
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-19 14:21
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-16 09:28
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-11 12:22
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-03 08:08
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	03-01 15:18
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-28 18:40
bitcoin above 62k on march 13	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-12 16:32
ethereum above 1900 on june 25 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	06-25 15:30
bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	06-11 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 13:08:17	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2db06b…
07-05 14:26:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd954b0…
07-02 03:06:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9406c4…
06-28 15:01:29	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x891900…
06-28 15:01:29	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4c8eb8…
06-25 15:30:13	ethereum above 1900 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x988c16…
06-12 09:51:45	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbccecc…
06-11 06:12:36	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf2bd5d…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c9942…
06-04 13:52:13	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x84cc80…
05-27 13:59:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43c3a3…
05-22 13:18:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x12794b…
05-21 10:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbb3964…
05-20 14:10:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fb0af…
05-15 12:41:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x699e5a…
05-14 10:33:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1858cd…
05-11 12:38:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd8bc9a…
05-10 13:47:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd7f477…
05-07 18:27:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x129468…
05-05 14:16:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9b7866…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x678ba0…
05-02 14:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3598f5…
04-23 09:43:12	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x204dc4…
04-22 13:28:18	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e6dd1…
04-21 10:30:28	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x90c616…
04-20 14:01:26	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe57bea…
04-19 12:41:18	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a46b2…
04-16 12:45:00	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6d05f4…
04-15 08:54:52	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b8c23…
04-14 13:32:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcee92e…
04-13 13:12:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc3faf5…
04-12 11:55:01	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0c9f79…
04-11 10:34:35	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7b6652…
04-10 15:05:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4de6a2…
04-09 07:49:13	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xe6f995…
04-07 13:01:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe82910…
04-05 21:19:41	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x400e09…
04-04 07:29:35	ethereum above 2200 on april 4	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa5b7f2…
04-03 13:26:17	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x851004…
04-01 13:09:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc3f88c…
03-31 08:51:37	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6747e7…
03-31 08:50:49	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5bfcd1…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xff7116…
03-29 09:10:16	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcf5bb0…
03-28 08:48:41	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf4fbbf…
03-26 04:19:25	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6ad9ef…
03-25 03:21:05	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1c5dab…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 08:58:41	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xaa3a01…
03-22 13:31:07	ethereum above 1900 on march 22	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x79cd07…
03-21 14:30:43	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xe4c3d3…
03-20 14:11:55	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2479d5…
03-19 14:21:37	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0028d5…
03-18 02:39:47	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3da71e…
03-17 09:58:43	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc4def9…
03-16 09:28:35	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x49bfe5…
03-15 18:37:27	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x19f5e4…
03-12 16:32:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x421f94…
03-11 12:22:51	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1ea318…
03-03 08:08:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6c6d46…
03-01 15:18:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x92c8fa…
02-28 18:40:43	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf7e0a9…
02-28 12:38:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xf94544…
02-28 03:29:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xecc8dd…
02-22 03:25:54	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$22	0xd5fc02…
02-18 19:42:24	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,509	0¢	$5	0x1070cf…
02-18 16:44:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,509	0¢	$5	0xdd1097…
02-16 08:51:15	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	3,060	0¢	$6	0xed942d…
02-15 12:25:11	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,196	0¢	$4	0x018b20…
02-15 12:24:17	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	864	0¢	$2	0x03e263…
02-09 18:04:05	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	SELL	87	4¢	$3	0x3e606c…
02-09 18:03:51	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	SELL	513	4¢	$20	0x469a92…
02-09 18:03:05	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xda7e34…
02-09 18:03:05	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x356c8c…
02-09 18:03:01	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	367	4¢	$14	0x3cede4…
02-09 17:50:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	509	3¢	$15	0x95901c…
02-09 17:50:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	509	3¢	$15	0x3df37d…