Complex-Tiara — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

203

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$927

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-17 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% +$68

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$13	16	8	+8	Down	+$4	05-10 08:37
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-11 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$8	16	0	+16	Down	+$8	05-09 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$8	16	0	+16	Down	+$8	05-09 03:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-10 03:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-10 09:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-10 08:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-10 08:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-10 05:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-10 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	05-08 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	+$4	05-09 17:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-6	05-06 14:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 18:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 23:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 19:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-09 01:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-09 14:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 23:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-10 00:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 01:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 23:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-09 15:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 14:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 14:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 04:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 09:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-09 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 12:21:26	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x095171…
05-17 13:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9ca239…
05-16 10:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe3b368…
05-16 10:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c1253…
05-16 08:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc5cea3…
05-11 07:41:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x60d9ae…
05-10 09:06:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x1909d7…
05-10 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x54f08a…
05-10 08:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xc945ab…
05-10 08:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xa60915…
05-10 08:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x65caf1…
05-10 08:09:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x103cc6…
05-10 08:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x0c1cc5…
05-10 07:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xe8aec6…
05-10 05:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x7e4d53…
05-10 05:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x9314b2…
05-10 03:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xefc865…
05-10 03:41:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x7b8c20…
05-10 03:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x629d9e…
05-10 02:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8b514a…
05-10 02:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa36e3a…
05-10 01:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0fff58…
05-10 00:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x889a34…
05-09 23:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1aed98…
05-09 23:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb6875c…
05-09 23:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc18bd3…
05-09 23:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x693821…
05-09 23:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc82623…
05-09 23:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x17978b…
05-09 22:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0bb600…
05-09 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x761c9e…
05-09 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xda06ed…
05-09 21:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa78bb5…
05-09 21:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb405dc…
05-09 20:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0b7201…
05-09 19:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x31a05f…
05-09 18:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc20d3f…
05-09 18:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x8c69a4…
05-09 18:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcf6b50…
05-09 18:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x344aea…
05-09 18:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x23daaa…
05-09 18:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3a45c7…
05-09 17:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd69fd4…
05-09 17:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0xf49b77…
05-09 17:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xcf1e49…
05-09 17:11:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbbd390…
05-09 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x978e03…
05-09 15:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xe3c20c…
05-09 15:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3ce3f6…
05-09 15:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xaed167…
05-09 15:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa3c01d…
05-09 15:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd6a8d5…
05-09 14:41:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x97643c…
05-09 14:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x54cc94…
05-09 14:35:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x210cb1…
05-09 14:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x49e57e…
05-09 14:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xdd4e73…
05-09 14:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xceefbc…
05-09 13:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfcd638…
05-09 12:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x37940c…
05-09 12:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe28a1d…
05-09 12:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd76d4a…
05-09 12:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2665fa…
05-09 12:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd10477…
05-09 10:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x428c36…
05-09 10:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x97df30…
05-09 09:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc76e81…
05-09 09:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd483e1…
05-09 09:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb4b1b2…
05-09 09:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x12b2b6…
05-09 09:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfb9551…
05-09 08:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9507e4…
05-09 08:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x39eac9…
05-09 08:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x70a104…
05-09 08:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x309143…
05-09 04:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8c8e73…
05-09 04:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc448e1…
05-09 03:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x28253a…
05-09 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x13af35…
05-09 03:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5d4dc8…
05-09 03:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x661f90…
05-09 03:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xcbec3a…
05-09 03:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xdf7700…
05-09 03:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2ccd90…
05-09 03:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d0584…
05-09 02:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbd80ee…
05-09 01:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7469c1…
05-09 01:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x65f795…
05-09 01:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x71918a…
05-09 01:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xb10861…
05-09 01:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc4ce4d…
05-09 01:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc46e25…
05-09 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6fa948…
05-09 00:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x049c12…
05-09 00:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd1ae20…
05-09 00:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xed6bad…
05-08 23:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x499d09…
05-08 23:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x9c4751…
05-08 23:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6a3c3d…
05-08 22:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x96d951…