Rigid-Homeland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

158

Trades

1,289

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 39% $-9

Other

1% 25% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	42	$52	41	41	+0	Down	+$10	05-11 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	64	$51	60	60	+0	Up	$-11	05-11 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	40	$46	41	24	+17	Down	+$9	05-11 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	34	$44	36	36	+0	Up	+$10	05-11 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	44	$42	45	45	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	38	$39	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	30	$35	31	31	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	36	$34	44	44	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 17:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	18	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	05-12 14:29
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	44	$32	39	39	+0	Down	$-9	05-11 18:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	34	$32	58	35	+23	Up	+$11	05-11 17:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	44	$30	51	51	+0	Up	$-14	05-11 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	24	$28	18	18	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	20	$22	21	21	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	26	$22	29	25	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	23	$21	17	17	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 19:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	13	$21	19	19	+0	Yes	$-1	05-12 14:29
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	20	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 18:46
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	20	$19	44	44	+0	No	$-1	05-12 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	26	$19	24	24	+0	Up	$-7	05-11 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	20	$19	18	18	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	16	$18	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	14	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	16	$18	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	14	$16	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 18:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	9	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-12 14:29
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 11?	14	$13	16	16	+0	Yes	$-1	05-11 17:17
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-12 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	12	$12	15	15	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	12	$11	18	18	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 15:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xb91f72…
05-12 15:36:04	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xe3660f…
05-12 15:35:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5884f7…
05-12 15:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf1c530…
05-12 15:33:28	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x22a0ad…
05-12 15:33:23	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x19f0ff…
05-12 15:32:02	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xf24384…
05-12 15:32:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xb01caf…
05-12 15:32:02	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x5781be…
05-12 15:31:43	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfd0155…
05-12 15:31:41	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xdc01d4…
05-12 15:31:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xea96d0…
05-12 15:31:39	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x0e5b16…
05-12 15:31:27	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcbcf96…
05-12 15:31:18	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfeef7d…
05-12 15:31:15	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xddc496…
05-12 15:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xd710db…
05-12 15:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x71bf80…
05-12 15:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x028722…
05-12 15:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3d57cd…
05-12 15:26:47	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x968757…
05-12 15:26:21	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3a3eb6…
05-12 15:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xda3a84…
05-12 15:21:29	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x9df47f…
05-12 15:21:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xb91456…
05-12 15:21:23	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xbc00ff…
05-12 15:20:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1227d6…
05-12 15:20:48	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x657176…
05-12 15:20:47	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb8a298…
05-12 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8d5042…
05-12 15:16:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xbce4b2…
05-12 15:16:24	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x05c15d…
05-12 15:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x527db3…
05-12 15:16:14	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x2058b2…
05-12 15:15:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1d6713…
05-12 15:15:35	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x277053…
05-12 15:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x300a52…
05-12 15:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8dbff7…
05-12 15:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaccefa…
05-12 15:15:26	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x347fa7…
05-12 15:15:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x827da0…
05-12 15:15:25	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x7e4b47…
05-12 15:15:19	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5e295a…
05-12 15:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x318aba…
05-12 15:13:15	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x031b97…
05-12 15:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x9cf1a0…
05-12 15:11:06	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf0aa4b…
05-12 15:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x54b97b…
05-12 15:07:20	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x5a6df1…
05-12 15:07:18	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x362f92…
05-12 15:07:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x1ae851…
05-12 15:07:11	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x891f8e…
05-12 15:06:33	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa19c20…
05-12 15:06:33	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x3d5f4c…
05-12 15:06:29	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb5303e…
05-12 15:06:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xf6cb35…
05-12 15:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf022da…
05-12 15:06:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x493a82…
05-12 15:06:20	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xc94f9e…
05-12 15:05:59	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x8a6d20…
05-12 15:05:56	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x95be4d…
05-12 15:05:10	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc4e4cd…
05-12 15:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x87dcf6…
05-12 15:02:19	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x8a79df…
05-12 15:02:17	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x5d5ef1…
05-12 15:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7a5ac0…
05-12 15:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xc34b76…
05-12 15:01:46	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x2d4060…
05-12 15:01:40	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x063d82…
05-12 15:01:30	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x336185…
05-12 15:01:25	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa0881d…
05-12 15:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x18b2c5…
05-12 15:00:58	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdc8b97…
05-12 15:00:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4a06a2…
05-12 15:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x548fea…
05-12 15:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x40cee0…
05-12 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x13b322…
05-12 15:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x016dc6…
05-12 14:58:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x04fac0…
05-12 14:57:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc7a126…
05-12 14:56:36	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xe4bd6a…
05-12 14:56:03	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x93830c…
05-12 14:52:03	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x86891c…
05-12 14:52:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x6ae357…
05-12 14:51:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9f23ab…
05-12 14:51:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8e75f1…
05-12 14:51:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xd05c40…
05-12 14:51:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa8a7de…
05-12 14:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x634bc2…
05-12 14:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x96cd61…
05-12 14:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6243d6…
05-12 14:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9e7547…
05-12 14:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe993ad…
05-12 14:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xd49139…
05-12 14:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa9e9fe…
05-12 14:29:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x2170a4…
05-12 14:29:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xf5fc54…
05-12 14:29:16	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x552212…
05-12 14:29:16	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3bd4dc…
05-12 14:29:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0x36ed46…