Candid-Combine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$7.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$112

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-05 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

68% 100% +$24

Other

24% 0% $-10

Sports

5% 50% +$9

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+118	$100	96¢	$112	+$12	07-05 15:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$1.3K	847	847	+0	open	—	04-08 15:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	1	$500	526	0	+526	open	—	03-11 11:51
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	2	$453	340	170	+170	open	—	03-23 15:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$320	427	0	+427	open	—	04-04 12:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$300	330	0	+330	open	—	04-07 07:47
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$230	365	0	+365	Yes	+$135	01-07 23:30
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	3	$210	236	0	+236	open	—	03-18 14:09
will andr ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$210	288	0	+288	open	—	01-09 15:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$200	226	0	+226	open	—	04-07 07:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	03-31 17:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$160	180	0	+180	open	—	03-23 15:16
military action against iran ends by march 28 2026	5	$146	155	0	+155	open	—	03-23 15:04
military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	2	$130	157	0	+157	open	—	03-23 15:05
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$126	361	0	+361	No	$-126	01-07 23:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$111	1,975	0	+1,975	open	—	04-08 22:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$110	266	0	+266	open	—	04-08 15:42
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	3	$110	119	0	+119	open	—	04-07 07:43
military action against iran ends by march 25 2026	3	$110	117	0	+117	open	—	03-23 15:03
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$100	149	0	+149	open	—	07-05 15:45
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	03-11 11:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-11 11:51
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	07-05 15:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	03-11 11:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	07-05 15:55
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	01-07 23:40
military action against iran ends by march 30 2026	4	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	03-20 07:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$90	113	0	+113	open	—	04-07 17:58
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$90	52	52	+0	open	—	03-20 07:29
military action against iran ends by march 29 2026	3	$80	85	0	+85	open	—	03-20 07:39
Nothing Ever Happens: May	3	$70	105	0	+105	open	—	05-08 17:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 15:57:38	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xb7a17a…
07-05 15:55:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x3abdf8…
07-05 15:55:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5886c1…
07-05 15:47:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xf3b70c…
07-05 15:45:58	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xb7834c…
05-08 17:12:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	571	3¢	$20	0x2df766…
05-08 17:12:34	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x228bd2…
05-08 17:12:23	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf449cb…
05-08 17:12:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	429	3¢	$15	0x3addce…
05-08 17:11:47	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf3777f…
04-08 22:53:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xac89ae…
04-08 22:53:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x7ca0f7…
04-08 15:51:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,071	3¢	$30	0xa325c4…
04-08 15:48:27	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0cffc8…
04-08 15:47:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe13cc8…
04-08 15:42:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	253	39¢	$100	0xae16ec…
04-08 15:42:35	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	847	100¢	$846	0x531162…
04-07 17:58:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	99	81¢	$80	0x86fce5…
04-07 07:50:43	btc updown 5m 1775548200	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4b68a4…
04-07 07:47:55	Will Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) hit (HIGH) $600 in April?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x03e267…
04-07 07:47:51	Will Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) hit (LOW) $570 in April?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe0cf0a…
04-07 07:47:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xf35a60…
04-07 07:43:23	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xe2839c…
04-07 07:43:15	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x67ee1a…
04-07 07:41:19	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x511de8…
04-04 12:52:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xea9502…
04-04 12:52:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x7dfe05…
04-04 12:52:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x183509…
04-03 10:35:15	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	161	2¢	$4	0x6fb58a…
04-03 10:34:23	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x3cc926…
04-03 09:14:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x0a8da3…
04-03 09:13:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x5c63c4…
04-02 07:02:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x937d23…
04-02 06:49:17	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31ae43…
04-02 06:47:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xea4a87…
04-02 06:44:37	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1437a8…
04-02 06:44:33	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9dd2b1…
04-02 06:44:29	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x789430…
04-02 06:44:25	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe44cc4…
04-02 06:44:21	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcc49de…
04-02 06:44:13	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xae9fa5…
04-02 06:44:11	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5bebd3…
04-02 06:38:13	will the dhs shutdown last 52 days or more 416	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc0b4d5…
04-01 23:29:31	will trump say maga or make america great again during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xaa35b2…
04-01 23:27:57	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during address to the nation	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3ea3bb…
04-01 23:27:35	will trump say fake news during address to the nation	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x246471…
04-01 23:27:13	will trump say mission accomplished during address to the nation	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd29cbb…
04-01 23:26:55	will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfa51ea…
04-01 23:26:35	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xada635…
04-01 23:26:09	will trump say obliterated or obliteration during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0f8406…
04-01 23:25:37	will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2cac20…
04-01 23:25:19	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf91708…
04-01 23:24:49	will trump say nuclear during address to the nation 726	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf6fbb7…
04-01 23:20:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x05895a…
04-01 06:07:05	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x603d7a…
04-01 06:04:39	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa847cb…
04-01 06:04:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x30e6a1…
03-31 17:02:59	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xd4ea4f…
03-31 17:01:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6a8682…
03-31 17:01:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x16ee2e…
03-27 21:46:25	will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2d0669…
03-27 21:44:03	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xeb0dab…
03-27 21:32:45	fif usa prt 2026 03 31 prt	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xf0ed14…
03-27 21:32:39	fif mex prt 2026 03 28 prt	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x02beb5…
03-27 21:31:49	fif mex prt 2026 03 28 prt	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x5811b6…
03-27 21:31:27	fif usa prt 2026 03 31 prt	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x9c2fc6…
03-23 17:09:51	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x13febc…
03-23 15:16:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xcffd83…
03-23 15:05:27	military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	No	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0x8abef3…
03-23 15:04:59	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	SELL	170	90¢	$153	0xcc05d1…
03-23 15:04:15	military action against iran ends by march 28 2026	No	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0x5be5c8…
03-23 15:03:53	military action against iran ends by march 25 2026	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x5c4757…
03-20 07:52:59	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	340	88¢	$300	0x244102…
03-20 07:48:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x48bfa8…
03-20 07:43:15	will any country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x8d9a86…
03-20 07:40:21	military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x2802e7…
03-20 07:39:47	military action against iran ends by march 28 2026	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xb1f53c…
03-20 07:39:41	military action against iran ends by march 30 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xcc01aa…
03-20 07:39:35	military action against iran ends by march 30 2026	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x39e333…
03-20 07:39:27	military action against iran ends by march 29 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd15aa4…
03-20 07:39:21	military action against iran ends by march 28 2026	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xe5b7bb…
03-20 07:39:13	military action against iran ends by march 25 2026	No	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x3b5d94…
03-20 07:38:51	military action against iran ends by march 24 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x67013f…
03-20 07:38:09	military action against iran ends by march 25 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1b4aba…
03-20 07:38:03	military action against iran ends by march 24 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x904492…
03-20 07:37:47	military action against iran ends by march 29 2026	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x2d7384…
03-20 07:37:43	military action against iran ends by march 28 2026	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x8925ae…
03-20 07:37:37	military action against iran ends by march 30 2026	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xf6b3b3…
03-20 07:37:21	military action against iran ends by march 29 2026	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3ab9ad…
03-20 07:37:17	military action against iran ends by march 30 2026	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x05ade1…
03-20 07:37:09	military action against iran ends by march 28 2026	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5cd298…
03-20 07:35:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x73d2d1…
03-20 07:31:37	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x20b496…
03-20 07:29:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xf8424b…
03-18 14:29:47	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbf8180…
03-18 14:29:35	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3ad7a5…
03-18 14:09:33	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0x1b7fb1…
03-18 14:09:27	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x06564f…
03-18 14:09:17	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$4	0x55cb8e…
03-18 14:09:11	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xdf6bc5…