Thrifty-Rubber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$283

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-03 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 40% $-1

Politics

14% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+17	$3	38¢	$6	+$3	07-03 08:04
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	-6	$-5	90¢	$-5	$-0	06-25 12:28
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	-3	$-0	10¢	$-0	+$0	06-25 12:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	3	$45	30	30	+0	open	—	03-19 12:36
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$38	41	0	+41	open	—	07-03 08:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$30	70	0	+70	open	—	03-24 14:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-23 12:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	04-29 13:17
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	03-24 14:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-13 09:07
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-05 07:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$5	0	9	-9	open	—	06-25 12:28
will trump say too big to rig this week march 22	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-16 14:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-17 08:20
will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 22	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	03-16 14:05
will trump say sleepy joe this week march 22	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-16 14:04
will powell say gold or oil during march press conference 257 974	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-13 08:05
will trump say kennedy this week march 15	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-13 07:56
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	04-23 09:07
will powell say inflation 40 times during march press conference	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	03-13 08:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	07-03 08:03
atp sinner kecmano 2026 06 29	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	06-29 15:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	07-03 08:04
wimbledon 2026 any player to break a racket 20260620155754557	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-26 11:24
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	1	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	03-13 08:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$3	17	0	+17	open	—	07-03 08:04
wimbledon 2026 any player to violate dress code 20260620160431642	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-26 11:21
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 08:46
will powell say dollar 2 times during march press conference	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-13 08:05
cbb geows stlou 2026 03 13	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-13 15:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 17:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 09:55
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 08:06:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x58df4f…
07-03 08:04:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x939cc1…
07-03 08:04:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x562718…
07-03 08:03:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2eaf5d…
06-29 15:05:56	atp sinner kecmano 2026 06 29	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xab9f53…
06-26 11:24:37	wimbledon 2026 any player to break a racket 20260620155754557	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x4c3b23…
06-26 11:21:25	wimbledon 2026 any player to violate dress code 20260620160431642	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x0322b6…
06-25 12:28:44	btc updown 5m 1782390300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x00e8e6…
06-25 12:28:23	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x0f6b98…
06-25 12:28:20	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x1c0208…
05-22 09:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6cc854…
05-22 09:55:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xddc180…
05-05 09:38:52	Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Jay Clarke	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa8b10e…
05-05 09:38:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandre Muller vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Alexandre Muller	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x122699…
05-05 09:38:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6fb4ff…
05-05 09:38:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa843b3…
05-05 07:00:58	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x0f4f65…
04-30 12:14:40	Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	Casper Ruud	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x078b63…
04-29 13:17:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xad886a…
04-23 12:53:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x571763…
04-23 12:53:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xecbe51…
04-23 12:52:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xafaca5…
04-23 09:07:06	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd55a2d…
04-17 08:20:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x92617a…
04-15 07:10:28	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf65c7…
04-13 09:07:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd3fcf5…
04-13 09:07:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x536f1b…
03-24 17:29:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0789c3…
03-24 14:31:25	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x5d616c…
03-24 14:31:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xbfca36…
03-19 12:36:03	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0xa8b233…
03-16 14:05:33	will trump say president xi this week march 22	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb2c8a3…
03-16 14:05:25	will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 22	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb8f31e…
03-16 14:05:21	will trump say hillary or clinton this week march 22	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x220a15…
03-16 14:05:11	will trump say ufc this week march 22	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0f155c…
03-16 14:05:05	will trump say roadside bomb this week march 22	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5dd8c1…
03-16 14:04:27	will trump say too big to rig this week march 22	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe47a23…
03-16 14:04:17	will trump say sleepy joe this week march 22	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8b2f4f…
03-16 08:46:31	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xac398f…
03-13 15:59:03	atp bertola gojo 2026 03 13	Remy Bertola	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x533cf9…
03-13 15:58:49	cbb geows stlou 2026 03 13	George Washington Revolutionaries	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe197ac…
03-13 15:50:17	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x747595…
03-13 13:44:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 13	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xea12d0…
03-13 13:04:47	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x84ebef…
03-13 13:03:27	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa0ca61…
03-13 13:03:23	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x44fe02…
03-13 13:03:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb236f0…
03-13 13:02:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x013127…
03-13 08:36:41	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x1d69c4…
03-13 08:36:29	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa8aa35…
03-13 08:05:55	will powell say inflation 40 times during march press conference	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xac1737…
03-13 08:05:47	will powell say dollar 2 times during march press conference	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6be6da…
03-13 08:05:19	will powell say gold or oil during march press conference 257 974	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaabd03…
03-13 07:56:43	will trump say kennedy this week march 15	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6cef64…
03-13 07:54:49	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x96ef79…
03-11 12:40:43	btc updown 5m 1773232800	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9475b2…
03-11 12:07:19	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x87b0c2…
03-11 12:05:45	rusixnat ire sco 2026 03 14 sco	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa5bd92…
03-11 12:05:33	rusixnat fra eng 2026 03 14 eng	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7dfda6…
03-11 11:58:49	will project hail mary score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xcd3724…