Worn-Invite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$197.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.30K

Open exposure

$8.71K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-25 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$8

Other

38% 100% +$86

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No		+8,717	$8,682	100¢	$8.7K	+$26	06-25 15:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$8.7K	8,717	0	+8,717	open	—	06-25 15:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	13	$8.7K	8,682	0	+8,682	open	—	06-21 21:09
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	8	$8.7K	8,665	0	+8,665	open	—	06-17 21:28
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$8.6K	8,569	0	+8,569	open	—	06-04 03:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$8.5K	8,548	0	+8,548	open	—	06-02 18:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$8.5K	8,483	0	+8,483	open	—	06-01 18:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$8.4K	8,475	0	+8,475	open	—	05-23 21:18
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$8.4K	8,449	0	+8,449	open	—	05-21 18:19
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$8.3K	8,337	0	+8,337	No	+$8	05-06 22:15
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	7	$8.3K	8,329	0	+8,329	Yes	+$75	05-02 11:34
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$8.2K	8,254	0	+8,254	open	—	04-29 21:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$8.2K	8,237	0	+8,237	open	—	04-25 02:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$8.2K	8,196	0	+8,196	open	—	04-21 18:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	2	$8.2K	8,163	0	+8,163	open	—	04-17 16:32
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$8.1K	8,155	0	+8,155	open	—	04-14 19:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$8.1K	8,147	0	+8,147	open	—	04-09 17:52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$8.1K	8,139	0	+8,139	open	—	04-06 04:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$7.9K	7,902	0	+7,902	open	—	03-18 06:21
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	4	$7.3K	3,801	3,719	+83	open	—	05-14 14:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	6	$6.6K	6,626	0	+6,626	open	—	03-27 03:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$6.5K	6,574	0	+6,574	open	—	03-22 01:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$4.6K	4,691	0	+4,691	open	—	05-10 22:08
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	1	$3.7K	3,733	0	+3,733	open	—	05-17 11:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$3.7K	3,729	0	+3,729	open	—	05-15 20:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$3.7K	3,703	0	+3,703	No	+$11	05-11 05:59
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$3.6K	3,641	0	+3,641	open	—	05-14 17:26
will iran strike israel on march 3	1	$2.2K	2,175	0	+2,175	open	—	03-05 21:22
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$2.1K	2,170	0	+2,170	open	—	02-14 05:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$1.4K	1,488	0	+1,488	open	—	03-19 05:31
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$678	680	0	+680	open	—	03-15 02:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 15:38:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	8,717	100¢	$8,682	0x7b8e7f…
06-21 21:09:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	6,514	100¢	$6,501	0x500f4c…
06-21 21:06:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf9e4f2…
06-21 21:06:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdb7d0a…
06-21 21:06:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbebeb6…
06-21 21:06:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x44e427…
06-21 21:06:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x38e240…
06-21 21:06:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x129c07…
06-21 21:06:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc3cf03…
06-21 21:06:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbee432…
06-21 21:06:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb3f685…
06-21 21:06:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8bcd47…
06-21 21:06:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0xb382a0…
06-21 20:14:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	1,668	100¢	$1,665	0x24b927…
06-17 21:28:44	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	6,379	100¢	$6,373	0x7b5440…
06-17 21:28:22	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x088e82…
06-17 21:28:16	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe826e0…
06-17 21:28:13	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1a2bc1…
06-17 21:27:44	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8b9d8d…
06-17 21:27:16	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x78c7a7…
06-17 21:27:13	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	774	100¢	$774	0x5e0d13…
06-17 21:26:32	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	408	100¢	$407	0x9055bf…
06-04 03:38:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	8,128	100¢	$8,112	0xe2619a…
06-04 03:38:01	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	441	100¢	$440	0x4ce35b…
06-02 18:34:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,548	99¢	$8,480	0xa8abf2…
06-01 18:48:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8,483	100¢	$8,475	0x1cc678…
05-23 21:18:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8,475	100¢	$8,449	0x405a3a…
05-21 18:19:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8,449	100¢	$8,441	0xbede3c…
05-17 11:14:00	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	3,733	100¢	$3,729	0xba781d…
05-15 20:02:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,729	100¢	$3,725	0x4cf5d3…
05-14 17:26:59	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	3,641	100¢	$3,626	0x5b8afa…
05-14 14:49:03	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	3,719	98¢	$3,626	0xd0c509…
05-14 10:28:46	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x9344ee…
05-14 10:26:14	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	3,107	97¢	$3,023	0xf9322c…
05-14 05:47:50	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	684	97¢	$666	0xe82eb9…
05-11 05:59:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	3,703	100¢	$3,692	0xa33753…
05-10 22:08:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	368	99¢	$364	0x15224b…
05-10 22:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x9f8f1d…
05-10 22:04:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xbe556d…
05-10 22:03:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3c67b…
05-10 22:02:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	3,309	99¢	$3,276	0xa8dd48…
05-10 22:02:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	610	99¢	$604	0x0afd18…
05-06 22:15:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	8,337	100¢	$8,328	0x0bc6b0…
05-02 11:34:24	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,844	99¢	$4,800	0xa7a867…
05-02 07:47:36	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x353704…
05-02 07:33:16	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	556	99¢	$551	0x79a987…
05-02 07:28:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,333	99¢	$1,321	0x914e9a…
05-02 07:24:40	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x808cb2…
05-02 07:23:46	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x24d9a4…
05-02 07:22:06	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,300	99¢	$1,288	0xde5c93…
04-29 21:48:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	8,254	100¢	$8,237	0x5f515c…
04-25 02:23:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,237	100¢	$8,196	0xd67d7f…
04-21 18:50:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	8,196	100¢	$8,163	0xdf4428…
04-17 16:32:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	919	100¢	$918	0xd8f65c…
04-17 16:32:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	7,244	100¢	$7,237	0xd8e19f…
04-14 19:38:24	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,155	100¢	$8,147	0xe4f30d…
04-09 17:52:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	8,147	100¢	$8,139	0xde7af7…
04-06 04:14:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8,139	100¢	$8,114	0x57fbaa…
03-27 03:50:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1,299	99¢	$1,288	0xae0ffb…
03-26 06:38:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$96	0xac80ca…
03-26 06:23:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	666	99¢	$661	0x214e9d…
03-26 04:42:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xaa32ec…
03-26 04:42:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	563	99¢	$559	0xa611ab…
03-26 04:42:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	3,942	99¢	$3,911	0xf55671…
03-22 01:05:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,856	98¢	$2,799	0xecf676…
03-22 01:05:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd763b8…
03-22 01:03:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe76289…
03-22 01:01:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x14d977…
03-22 01:01:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0x2b3464…
03-22 01:00:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,311	98¢	$1,290	0x0be7ee…
03-22 00:59:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	506	98¢	$497	0x7e1b8c…
03-22 00:59:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	406	98¢	$399	0x886457…
03-22 00:58:57	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	410	98¢	$403	0x3c8f95…
03-22 00:58:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	406	98¢	$399	0x3669eb…
03-22 00:58:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	521	98¢	$512	0xc0128f…
03-19 05:31:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0x354114…
03-19 05:30:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,372	97¢	$1,335	0x5458cd…
03-18 06:21:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	683	100¢	$680	0x01a38c…
03-15 02:29:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,219	100¢	$7,198	0xaf7d05…
03-15 02:11:21	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	680	100¢	$678	0xf9da9a…
03-12 21:55:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	678	100¢	$677	0x8a6859…
03-08 16:06:19	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xe35368…
03-08 16:06:11	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	401	100¢	$399	0x7fc987…
03-08 16:06:07	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf735e…
03-05 21:22:31	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	2,175	100¢	$2,170	0xd154c0…
02-14 05:04:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,170	97¢	$2,107	0xba129d…