Muddy-Virtue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

580

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-07 09:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 45% $-8

Other

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2pm et	2	$21	14	13	+0	open	—	04-22 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	04-27 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	04-26 21:24
btc updown 5m 1776722100	2	$17	14	13	+1	open	—	04-20 21:59
btc updown 5m 1775140800	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-02 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-28 22:54
btc updown 5m 1776980100	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-23 21:40
btc updown 5m 1776776100	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-21 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 12:44
btc updown 5m 1775913000	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-11 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 21:10
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 7pm et	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-23 23:00
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-29 20:20
btc updown 5m 1776897600	3	$9	14	4	+10	open	—	04-22 22:44
btc updown 5m 1774279800	2	$9	7	6	+0	open	—	03-23 15:34
btc updown 5m 1774547100	4	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	03-26 17:47
btc updown 5m 1776892200	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 21:15
btc updown 5m 1776775800	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 09:04
btc updown 15m 1776806100	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 12:44
btc updown 5m 1776617700	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$8	12	2	+9	open	—	05-01 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 09:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3024ef…
05-07 09:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xa26c0d…
05-07 09:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x853a19…
05-07 09:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x33ca4b…
05-07 08:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x008b40…
05-07 08:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1f3d7d…
05-06 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8aed8d…
05-06 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3f0051…
05-06 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x205fe3…
05-06 16:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe18a1a…
05-06 16:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x223bcb…
05-06 16:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xab5e77…
05-06 16:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d3097…
05-06 13:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x842c0d…
05-06 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x7aaa9b…
05-06 13:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x526066…
05-06 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4cacc0…
05-06 13:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa267c1…
05-06 13:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2caea8…
05-06 13:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x164f5d…
05-06 08:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa2ad2c…
05-06 08:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x135548…
05-06 08:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x25fe0c…
05-06 08:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xe0e3e4…
05-06 08:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xab2463…
05-05 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3abb8f…
05-05 21:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6f5f02…
05-05 17:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcb736c…
05-05 17:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe222c7…
05-05 13:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x211155…
05-05 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb29e19…
05-05 11:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x801944…
05-05 11:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x951969…
05-05 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7ba476…
05-05 08:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x05d18d…
05-04 23:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4be86e…
05-04 23:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa4138d…
05-04 23:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8902e2…
05-04 23:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x15a8bc…
05-04 15:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x9898b2…
05-04 15:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8b0fc7…
05-04 13:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x663c08…
05-04 13:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0a5733…
05-04 12:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x94fbcb…
05-04 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7f4a9f…
05-04 12:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa34a5d…
05-04 12:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x895179…
05-04 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x25bad6…
05-04 08:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1da688…
05-04 07:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x8e975d…
05-04 07:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6110ce…
05-04 07:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xca690e…
05-03 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbfcd59…
05-03 21:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x91ff89…
05-03 21:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x15f7cf…
05-03 21:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xe402c0…
05-03 21:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8b0763…
05-03 21:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x40b515…
05-03 20:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbc7374…
05-03 20:30:38	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc8bf52…
05-03 20:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x766b35…
05-03 20:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x9210a7…
05-03 20:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5a58e7…
05-03 20:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x961c86…
05-03 20:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2a2de2…
05-03 20:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xadc5ee…
05-03 20:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcc1af7…
05-03 20:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9ae8e9…
05-03 12:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb8a85c…
05-03 12:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8782e8…
05-03 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xecfaed…
05-03 10:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf5e9b3…
05-03 10:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$9	0xe27155…
05-03 10:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9a2ab2…
05-03 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x93e6e2…
05-03 09:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1c9422…
05-03 09:02:16	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x99f73c…
05-02 12:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9884dc…
05-02 12:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6e1e18…
05-02 10:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf24fb7…
05-02 10:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x678e33…
05-02 10:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82ffb4…
05-02 09:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x43b223…
05-01 21:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8c0b7d…
05-01 21:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xe335c6…
05-01 21:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2a1420…
05-01 21:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x30c455…
05-01 21:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x464993…
05-01 21:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8fc929…
05-01 21:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x141474…
05-01 21:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x953f20…
05-01 13:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1b41d1…
05-01 13:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbffa2f…
05-01 13:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xab05a0…
05-01 13:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb57bde…
05-01 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x53853c…
05-01 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa1995d…
05-01 12:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x29d6f2…
05-01 12:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5cd460…
05-01 12:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x161558…