Short-Term-Duplexer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-11 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$6

Crypto

34% 33% $-2

Politics

13% — —

Sports

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes		+1,000	$1	0¢	$1	+$0	06-11 20:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$6	12	0	+12	Yes	+$6	04-21 20:21
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	1	$5	125	0	+125	open	—	04-16 15:57
wti up or down on april 15 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-15 18:36
btc updown 5m 1776449700	2	$4	27	0	+27	open	—	04-17 18:17
btc updown 5m 1776882300	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-22 18:27
btc updown 5m 1776882000	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-22 18:24
will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	1	$2	28	0	+28	open	—	04-19 14:14
2026 rbc heritage winner scottie scheffler win	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	04-15 19:01
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-20 21:10
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 19:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 17:52
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 19:21
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-16 19:26
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-09 17:58
will bitcoin dip to 75k on april 18	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 15:08
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-18 14:55
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$1	250	232	+18	open	—	04-20 21:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-11 20:20
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	143	0	+143	open	—	04-15 13:43
btc updown 5m 1776882600	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-22 18:30
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	167	0	+167	open	—	04-23 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 19:27
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-21 20:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-02 18:54
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-02 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-05 19:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-18 19:46
israel closes its airspace by june 11	1	$1	77	0	+77	open	—	06-11 20:15
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-15 10:28
will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-20 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 20:27:33	btc updown 5m 1781209500	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7986fe…
06-11 20:20:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd610bb…
06-11 20:15:06	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x1b8a2e…
05-09 17:58:40	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x56327a…
05-05 19:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb18621…
05-05 19:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3e0ed4…
05-05 19:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xca1eee…
05-02 19:58:10	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7839e7…
05-02 19:24:52	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd96568…
05-02 19:12:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbbd32f…
05-02 18:54:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x804372…
04-23 20:35:26	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x8dbd90…
04-23 20:34:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4cb153…
04-22 18:30:56	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x63823f…
04-22 18:27:38	btc updown 5m 1776882300	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x784727…
04-22 18:24:40	btc updown 5m 1776882000	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x2cd194…
04-22 18:18:58	btc updown 5m 1776881700	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x04adc5…
04-21 20:21:08	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x642a3f…
04-21 20:17:28	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9aab69…
04-20 21:26:44	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	232	0¢	$0	0x73fade…
04-20 21:19:22	will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdd0089…
04-20 21:10:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x929716…
04-20 20:58:48	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee8ff4…
04-19 14:16:38	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5e7347…
04-19 14:14:48	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x203228…
04-18 19:46:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xecd3f8…
04-18 15:08:48	will bitcoin dip to 75k on april 18	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x04b76c…
04-18 14:55:14	Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x68cd05…
04-17 18:17:30	btc updown 5m 1776449700	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe52f1a…
04-17 18:17:12	btc updown 5m 1776449700	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xce81b5…
04-17 17:52:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x53ee29…
04-16 19:26:14	highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4a9e9e…
04-16 19:21:38	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd8b572…
04-16 19:15:52	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdeff2a…
04-16 15:57:00	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9b2e74…
04-16 15:38:54	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x29f45e…
04-15 19:01:06	2026 rbc heritage winner scottie scheffler win	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf93685…
04-15 18:36:26	wti up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2eb6a6…
04-15 13:43:20	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x234467…
04-15 10:28:06	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4e8805…
04-15 10:22:52	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc613fe…
04-15 10:05:38	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc53afe…