Defiant-Crown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$396

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-08 06:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 55% $-4

Other

37% 50% +$7

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	2	$33	26	25	+1	open	—	04-29 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$28	24	17	+7	Up	+$5	05-05 13:43
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$25	85	85	+0	open	—	04-24 22:39
btc updown 5m 1777024200	4	$23	21	21	+1	open	—	04-24 09:53
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	03-17 14:19
will clavicular get frame mogged by gorlock the destroyer on stream during mog world order	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	03-13 08:58
btc updown 5m 1775724900	2	$20	17	16	+1	open	—	04-09 08:55
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$15	68	0	+68	open	—	04-14 15:52
will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	1	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	03-04 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 09:07
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	2	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	05-11 06:24
btc updown 5m 1776943800	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-23 11:33
btc updown 5m 1776183300	2	$11	9	8	+0	open	—	04-14 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 09:04
btc updown 5m 1777034700	2	$11	10	9	+0	open	—	04-24 12:45
btc updown 5m 1775724600	2	$11	9	8	+0	open	—	04-09 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 11:01
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	04-15 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$8	0	8	-8	Up	$-0	05-12 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$6	13	0	+13	Up	$-6	05-09 11:44
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	1	$5	0	8	-8	open	—	06-08 06:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 11:08
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	1	$5	254	0	+254	open	—	04-30 11:39
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	+$8	05-06 14:34
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 11:45
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	04-23 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 06:41:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x299ca5…
05-12 08:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x03f61d…
05-12 08:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1a09d4…
05-12 08:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xfef4af…
05-11 10:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbd114e…
05-11 06:24:51	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x4daf89…
05-10 08:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x7982bd…
05-10 08:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x14b005…
05-09 11:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0417fc…
05-09 11:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x644858…
05-09 11:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x5bb1de…
05-09 09:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x82b5eb…
05-09 09:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd37c40…
05-09 09:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xe95ddb…
05-09 08:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7ff4aa…
05-07 13:06:03	Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x143675…
05-07 08:27:51	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xefe121…
05-07 08:22:10	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb53c76…
05-07 08:21:49	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x21ddd7…
05-06 14:34:00	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2a38ea…
05-05 13:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xacc610…
05-05 13:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xb61ca5…
05-05 13:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3ac9f0…
05-05 13:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xd23f19…
05-05 13:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7b325e…
05-05 13:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$9	0xd37fd9…
05-05 13:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x04b18f…
05-05 11:08:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1703d1…
05-05 11:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x0420d5…
05-05 11:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xef00eb…
04-30 11:45:38	Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa38dea…
04-30 11:44:00	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x479674…
04-30 11:39:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	254	2¢	$5	0xbbc2b8…
04-29 14:36:14	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x69cc5e…
04-24 22:39:42	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0xa0c171…
04-24 12:45:52	btc updown 5m 1777034700	Up	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x1be135…
04-24 12:42:26	btc updown 5m 1777034700	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe2d7ab…
04-24 09:53:44	btc updown 5m 1777024200	Up	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xf6f109…
04-24 09:51:04	btc updown 5m 1777024200	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7b73cf…
04-24 09:50:30	btc updown 5m 1777024200	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x8b23fe…
04-24 09:48:06	btc updown 5m 1777024200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x112145…
04-23 11:33:36	btc updown 5m 1776943800	Down	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x651037…
04-23 11:32:02	btc updown 5m 1776943800	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc20b03…
04-23 08:31:24	Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7f07f3…
04-23 08:21:46	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x902fc9…
04-20 19:31:22	btc updown 5m 1776713400	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb6d68a…
04-20 19:30:38	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xccf740…
04-18 09:30:52	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xa7a73e…
04-15 06:20:46	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x695340…
04-14 16:16:03	btc updown 5m 1776183300	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x7a3ff1…
04-14 16:15:25	btc updown 5m 1776183300	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbfe56f…
04-14 15:52:25	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x80b86c…
04-09 08:55:27	btc updown 5m 1775724900	Up	SELL	16	58¢	$10	0x0a735d…
04-09 08:55:15	btc updown 5m 1775724900	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1c7208…
04-09 08:51:17	btc updown 5m 1775724600	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0xa05972…
04-09 08:50:25	btc updown 5m 1775724600	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5df7ee…
03-17 14:19:01	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x321f00…
03-13 08:58:09	will clavicular get frame mogged by gorlock the destroyer on stream during mog world order	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x5164dc…
03-04 11:05:55	will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xae74d5…