Substantial-Mineral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

511

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-02 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 0% $-2

Politics

11% — —

Other

10% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 13 12pm et	6	$502	1,045	0	+1,045	open	—	01-13 17:11
bitcoin up or down january 12 4am et	19	$401	600	200	+400	open	—	01-12 09:55
bitcoin up or down january 13 9am et	28	$380	780	20	+761	open	—	01-13 14:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	11	$376	613	187	+426	open	—	03-04 08:21
bitcoin up or down january 13 2pm et	2	$356	742	0	+742	open	—	01-13 19:03
btc updown 15m 1768374000	3	$346	703	5	+698	open	—	01-14 07:01
bitcoin up or down january 13 3am et	14	$333	400	200	+200	open	—	01-13 08:43
bitcoin up or down january 12 1pm et	21	$327	700	100	+600	open	—	01-12 18:50
bitcoin up or down january 13 1am et	17	$292	300	100	+200	open	—	01-13 07:01
btc updown 15m 1768233600	13	$290	300	100	+200	open	—	01-12 16:15
bitcoin up or down january 13 2am et	7	$288	300	100	+200	open	—	01-13 08:06
btc updown 15m 1768316400	25	$225	468	137	+330	open	—	01-13 15:13
btc updown 15m 1768297500	8	$208	120	120	+0	open	—	01-13 09:57
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$202	104	104	+0	open	—	01-22 15:55
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	4	$200	400	0	+400	open	—	03-04 08:38
bitcoin up or down january 12 3am et	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	01-12 08:52
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	02-09 06:16
si hit 40 low jan 2026 159 697 786	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	01-25 07:14
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	02-12 06:32
bitcoin up or down january 12 10am et	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	01-12 16:01
bitcoin up or down january 13 4am et	6	$190	300	0	+300	open	—	01-13 09:59
bitcoin up or down january 12 12pm et	15	$190	400	0	+400	open	—	01-12 17:38
btc updown 15m 1768375800	3	$180	374	3	+372	open	—	01-14 07:33
btc updown 15m 1768320000	13	$160	367	0	+367	open	—	01-13 16:01
bitcoin up or down january 12 5am et	7	$153	150	150	+0	open	—	01-12 10:17
bitcoin up or down january 11 9am et	23	$144	200	0	+200	open	—	01-11 14:37
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	02-24 16:15
btc updown 15m 1768247100	19	$138	228	30	+198	open	—	01-12 20:00
bitcoin up or down january 13 8am et	7	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	01-13 13:46
btc updown 15m 1768314600	1	$120	0	120	-120	open	—	01-13 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 12:55:04	Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x999fa4…
05-27 12:46:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x1435af…
05-24 16:37:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x647bff…
05-12 09:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	43¢	$8	0x3d9924…
05-12 09:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xab77da…
05-06 16:13:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x27654c…
05-01 07:58:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5c6dca…
04-26 08:13:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaf4d31…
04-21 11:16:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xf09010…
04-17 06:07:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0ebe6d…
04-13 15:47:21	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x8790e9…
04-13 09:51:11	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7a27f8…
04-08 08:37:21	btc updown 15m 1775637000	Up	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x2c5751…
04-08 08:36:53	btc updown 15m 1775637000	Up	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x7fb694…
04-08 08:35:11	btc updown 15m 1775637000	Down	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xe71434…
04-08 08:35:11	btc updown 15m 1775637000	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x5d90d9…
04-08 08:35:11	btc updown 15m 1775637000	Down	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x59b369…
04-08 08:34:31	btc updown 15m 1775637000	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x82c181…
03-31 08:04:29	btc updown 15m 1774944000	Down	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xbf9df1…
03-31 08:03:49	btc updown 15m 1774944000	Down	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xc3cfae…
03-31 08:03:47	btc updown 15m 1774944000	Down	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x6ce4e4…
03-31 08:03:47	btc updown 15m 1774944000	Down	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x1c4e88…
03-31 08:03:47	btc updown 15m 1774944000	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x19442c…
03-31 06:50:15	btc updown 15m 1774939500	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x91fe64…
03-31 06:45:55	btc updown 15m 1774939500	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x4fd332…
03-31 06:10:13	btc updown 15m 1774936800	Up	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0xb97553…
03-31 06:09:47	btc updown 15m 1774936800	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x6846f7…
03-31 06:08:17	btc updown 15m 1774936800	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa276bd…
03-31 06:03:27	btc updown 15m 1774936800	Up	SELL	29	19¢	$5	0xc9be31…
03-31 05:48:21	btc updown 15m 1774935900	Down	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x0467b2…
03-31 05:46:53	btc updown 15m 1774935900	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd5e91c…
03-31 05:46:53	btc updown 15m 1774935900	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xb622bb…
03-31 05:46:53	btc updown 15m 1774935900	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9a2aa7…
03-31 05:46:53	btc updown 15m 1774935900	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6a7255…
03-31 05:46:53	btc updown 15m 1774935900	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x06646a…
03-30 14:17:57	btc updown 15m 1774880100	Up	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0xb9ce87…
03-30 14:17:25	btc updown 15m 1774880100	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x240cbf…
03-27 12:36:49	btc updown 15m 1774614600	Down	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0xde3f13…
03-27 12:35:45	btc updown 15m 1774614600	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xd8ad51…
03-27 12:07:11	btc updown 15m 1774612800	Down	SELL	49	58¢	$29	0x6bcbd9…
03-27 12:06:47	btc updown 15m 1774612800	Down	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xfdfa9b…
03-27 11:08:03	btc updown 15m 1774609200	Down	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x7e59d9…
03-27 11:08:01	btc updown 15m 1774609200	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x709c88…
03-27 11:08:01	btc updown 15m 1774609200	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x351771…
03-27 11:07:35	btc updown 15m 1774609200	Down	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x4115cb…
03-27 11:07:33	btc updown 15m 1774609200	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x88f573…
03-23 17:21:05	btc updown 15m 1774286100	Up	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x3659bc…
03-23 17:19:43	btc updown 15m 1774286100	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x936c1f…
03-23 17:19:43	btc updown 15m 1774286100	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x91acf8…
03-23 17:19:43	btc updown 15m 1774286100	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x56cc7e…
03-23 17:19:43	btc updown 15m 1774286100	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x0a02ce…
03-23 17:10:01	btc updown 15m 1774285200	Down	SELL	49	31¢	$15	0x2eb343…
03-23 17:09:15	btc updown 15m 1774285200	Down	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x7645c2…
03-23 16:49:41	btc updown 15m 1774284300	Down	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0x704cf4…
03-23 16:48:21	btc updown 15m 1774284300	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x865b5e…
03-23 16:48:19	btc updown 15m 1774284300	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x0a8ae3…
03-23 16:46:43	btc updown 15m 1774284300	Down	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xdff6a5…
03-19 10:35:03	btc updown 15m 1773916200	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x7798bb…
03-19 10:35:01	btc updown 15m 1773916200	Up	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0xa6972d…
03-19 10:33:03	btc updown 15m 1773916200	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x68bc7c…
03-16 09:44:57	btc updown 5m 1773654000	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x40c486…
03-16 09:44:13	btc updown 5m 1773654000	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xaa9d0a…
03-16 09:39:57	btc updown 5m 1773653700	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x2c1022…
03-16 09:39:41	btc updown 5m 1773653700	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa7861a…
03-16 09:39:03	btc updown 15m 1773653400	Down	SELL	20	68¢	$13	0xce0d19…
03-16 09:38:07	btc updown 15m 1773653400	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xbe828f…
03-12 13:18:19	btc updown 15m 1773321300	Up	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x5e2843…
03-12 13:18:03	btc updown 15m 1773321300	Up	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x68b7f2…
03-09 14:34:17	btc updown 15m 1773066600	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xee6ce9…
03-09 14:32:35	btc updown 15m 1773066600	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x8ab38d…
03-06 14:03:53	btc updown 15m 1772805600	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x16f8a6…
03-06 14:03:05	btc updown 15m 1772805600	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x66460d…
03-06 14:01:11	btc updown 15m 1772805600	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd94050…
03-06 14:00:43	btc updown 15m 1772805600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9e24d0…
03-06 14:00:43	btc updown 15m 1772805600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x88fd35…
03-06 14:00:27	btc updown 15m 1772805600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x372f47…
03-06 14:00:23	btc updown 15m 1772805600	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x4bc0ae…
03-06 13:53:55	btc updown 15m 1772804700	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x465295…
03-06 13:52:49	btc updown 15m 1772804700	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6a7f5f…
03-06 13:52:47	btc updown 15m 1772804700	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$0	0xd37bb1…
03-06 13:52:47	btc updown 15m 1772804700	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x01d08a…
03-06 13:49:27	btc updown 15m 1772804700	Up	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0x2e9c9e…
03-06 13:46:09	btc updown 15m 1772804700	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf141e7…
03-06 13:45:57	btc updown 15m 1772804700	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x980ce5…
03-06 13:45:43	btc updown 15m 1772804700	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x477cf4…
03-04 14:17:37	btc updown 15m 1772633700	Down	SELL	38	44¢	$17	0x61e06d…
03-04 14:17:03	btc updown 15m 1772633700	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x1dc82b…
03-04 14:08:11	btc updown 15m 1772632800	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x11b90b…
03-04 14:07:59	btc updown 15m 1772632800	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x09b61b…
03-04 14:07:23	btc updown 15m 1772632800	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x715c09…
03-04 14:04:23	btc updown 15m 1772632800	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd9874c…
03-04 14:04:23	btc updown 15m 1772632800	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x2e1dee…
03-04 14:04:23	btc updown 15m 1772632800	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x038fe2…
03-04 13:52:07	btc updown 15m 1772631900	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xec33cb…
03-04 13:51:43	btc updown 15m 1772631900	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x81fd72…
03-04 13:36:05	btc updown 15m 1772631000	Up	SELL	34	34¢	$12	0xca0c28…
03-04 13:35:55	btc updown 15m 1772631000	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7f4bef…
03-04 13:05:17	btc updown 15m 1772629200	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x37057f…
03-04 13:04:15	btc updown 15m 1772629200	Up	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xdae01f…
03-04 13:04:15	btc updown 15m 1772629200	Up	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xc3f503…