Basic-Hostess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$519

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-19 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-2

Politics

29% — —

Sports

16% 100% +$5

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	01-06 08:35
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	03-17 08:22
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	03-30 08:52
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	04-21 13:49
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	05-09 12:57
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$31	25	25	+0	open	—	04-21 13:49
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	02-05 13:49
israel closes its airspace by july 24	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	07-19 03:39
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	1	$22	29	0	+29	open	—	03-09 02:46
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	02-27 03:41
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$18	23	0	+23	Yes	+$5	03-25 01:22
will the pitt win best ensemble in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	1	$18	21	0	+21	open	—	02-27 03:42
will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	1	$18	24	0	+24	open	—	02-18 11:59
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	04-07 06:50
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	1	$16	22	0	+22	open	—	02-18 11:58
will israel strike gaza on february 20 2026	1	$16	24	0	+24	open	—	02-20 06:26
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	03-17 08:23
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-12 05:01
btc updown 5m 1782969600	2	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	07-02 05:20
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$2	250	0	+250	Yes	$-2	05-02 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 03:39:00	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x899ef4…
07-02 05:20:31	btc updown 5m 1782969600	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0f90bd…
07-02 05:20:31	btc updown 5m 1782969600	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0ebb3c…
05-09 12:57:52	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x913b32…
05-02 03:24:54	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x410f2f…
04-21 13:49:26	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	25	42¢	$10	0x3413d0…
04-21 13:49:12	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	27	42¢	$11	0xb3732a…
04-12 05:01:11	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa57e2a…
04-07 06:50:43	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x07c22d…
03-30 08:53:14	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x473130…
03-30 08:52:12	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x792061…
03-25 01:22:53	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0xfc2949…
03-25 01:22:05	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0xe8cb66…
03-17 08:23:57	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xbacfd9…
03-17 08:23:45	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x90197d…
03-17 08:22:45	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x5a8454…
03-09 02:47:13	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0xcbc489…
03-09 02:46:53	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	No	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0xa0f855…
02-27 03:42:16	will the pitt win best ensemble in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	BUY	21	89¢	$18	0xa6fbd4…
02-27 03:41:48	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x8a1c55…
02-20 06:26:12	will israel strike gaza on february 20 2026	No	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x9e2863…
02-18 11:59:26	will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	No	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x4e7dbd…
02-18 11:58:46	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xfbc8c0…
02-05 13:49:51	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x336a96…
01-06 08:35:45	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xea2391…