Radiant-Investment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$755

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-18 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

79% 100% +$61

Other

21% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$75	100	0	+100	open	—	04-25 20:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$65	80	0	+80	open	—	05-13 22:06
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$60	128	0	+128	open	—	07-07 22:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	+$40	05-09 10:10
Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$59	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 22:59
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$47	37	37	+0	open	—	02-14 21:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$45	79	0	+79	open	—	07-09 11:54
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	1	$45	96	0	+96	open	—	07-12 01:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$35	64	64	+0	Yes	+$21	05-08 18:54
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	1	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	03-03 01:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$30	63	0	+63	open	—	04-16 16:54
iran strike on israel by february 28	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	02-20 20:15
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$27	36	0	+36	open	—	02-16 08:29
iran strike on israel by march 31	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	02-20 20:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	1	$16	62	0	+62	open	—	05-29 23:30
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	1	$15	471	0	+471	open	—	02-16 08:52
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	1	$15	43	0	+43	open	—	07-01 10:37
will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	1	$15	79	0	+79	open	—	07-17 00:03
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$11	27	0	+27	open	—	03-08 22:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	04-30 23:20
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	07-15 17:17
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	07-18 03:44
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$10	39	0	+39	open	—	07-12 03:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$4	17	0	+17	open	—	04-18 21:50
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	1	$3	23	0	+23	open	—	07-15 21:31
Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	63	0	+63	No	$-2	05-07 19:54
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 00:50
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	04-28 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 03:44:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x230724…
07-17 00:03:10	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0xa2b8d6…
07-15 21:31:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x07da9d…
07-15 17:17:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf459bd…
07-12 03:04:02	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x02e99c…
07-12 01:42:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	96	47¢	$45	0xb8fb58…
07-09 11:54:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	79	57¢	$45	0x8b6cd5…
07-07 22:24:46	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0x7cd64a…
07-01 10:37:10	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x599946…
05-29 23:30:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0xaf84f8…
05-13 22:06:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0x420dac…
05-09 10:10:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3e5cce…
05-08 19:13:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd27b1d…
05-08 18:54:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	44¢	$28	0x30998c…
05-07 19:54:07	Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x6c8c83…
05-05 07:02:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0xd1d679…
05-01 22:59:22	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x1b2771…
05-01 17:16:02	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x53f71e…
04-30 23:20:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x12d09a…
04-28 13:02:40	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8c467b…
04-25 20:27:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x63fe2f…
04-22 00:50:44	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xcded9d…
04-18 21:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x390dcd…
04-16 16:54:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x49bec0…
03-08 22:09:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xbd8f8f…
03-03 01:25:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xf076bc…
02-20 20:15:50	iran strike on israel by march 31	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xef5ef5…
02-20 20:15:40	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xe881d7…
02-16 08:52:09	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	No	BUY	471	3¢	$15	0xb73ab9…
02-16 08:29:23	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0x9b9f41…
02-14 21:37:29	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x37f63f…
02-10 19:23:51	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xaeda8e…