Unacceptable-Almanac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$697

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-02 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-10

Crypto

27% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	4	$211	2,147	1,130	+1,017	open	—	04-29 06:53
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$151	81	81	+0	open	—	05-19 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	05-22 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$35	43	0	+43	open	—	05-22 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$35	37	0	+37	open	—	05-22 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-19 20:04
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	07-02 17:24
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	06-19 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-29 20:14
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$12	602	0	+602	open	—	05-19 20:02
will jd vance visit pakistan by april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 06:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 11:35
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-09 10:43
will elon musk testify against altman	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 06:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-22 05:17
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-17 07:18
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	04-22 06:10
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$5	83	0	+83	Yes	$-5	04-26 20:16
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	04-22 05:21
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$5	33	0	+33	open	—	05-02 12:40
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	05-09 10:43
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	04-22 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-25 17:43
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-22 05:19
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	1	$5	9	0	+9	Michael	$-5	04-24 20:16
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 20:20
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-18 20:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-25 17:43
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 12:46
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-29 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 17:24:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd8fd82…
06-21 07:57:47	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x9075e8…
06-19 14:47:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x0ef2b5…
06-18 20:42:08	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x229475…
05-25 17:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x31e836…
05-25 17:43:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8517fe…
05-22 14:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x87eafe…
05-22 14:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x660656…
05-22 14:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x36a070…
05-22 14:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x271981…
05-22 14:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x812798…
05-22 14:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x2345fb…
05-22 14:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x894bf6…
05-22 14:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0784d6…
05-19 20:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x66146d…
05-19 20:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf690e9…
05-19 20:02:12	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x61b511…
05-19 20:00:59	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x1b37d0…
05-19 19:56:26	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xda120e…
05-19 11:35:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x837c56…
05-17 07:18:00	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x025872…
05-14 12:51:16	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x28612f…
05-14 12:46:03	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x79a9a1…
05-09 10:43:30	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa992e3…
05-09 10:43:12	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x28457f…
05-02 12:40:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0035c7…
04-29 20:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd2de26…
04-29 20:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc401e5…
04-29 17:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x65746e…
04-29 06:53:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1,012	10¢	$100	0xb59676…
04-29 06:52:24	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	1,130	9¢	$101	0xa1da04…
04-28 21:05:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1,028	0¢	$5	0x308624…
04-28 06:13:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x9fa82b…
04-28 06:09:38	will elon musk testify against altman	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xebba9e…
04-26 20:20:24	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf2460a…
04-26 20:16:44	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xca1749…
04-25 06:00:42	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 24	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x77bdcd…
04-24 20:16:56	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe8bf45…
04-24 06:46:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x81a224…
04-22 18:44:00	btc updown 5m 1776883200	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb820f8…
04-22 18:40:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3c9943…
04-22 06:10:08	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf39383…
04-22 06:09:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7edb0b…
04-22 05:22:02	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 24	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf5e096…
04-22 05:21:14	ChatGPT Outage by May 1?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x70fd08…
04-22 05:19:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdc8f19…
04-22 05:17:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x409106…