Grown-Ziggurat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$372

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-20 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 35% $-76

Politics

11% 0% $-296

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$571	500	500	+0	open	—	05-20 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	6	$494	367	367	+0	open	—	05-20 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$307	337	309	+28	open	—	05-20 20:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$296	171,666	0	+171,666	Yes	$-296	05-09 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$169	195	51	+145	open	—	05-20 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	Down	+$2	05-10 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Down	+$3	05-09 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	8	$78	488	488	+0	open	—	05-20 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$67	51	50	+0	open	—	05-20 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$63	67	67	+0	open	—	05-20 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$43	46	34	+11	open	—	05-20 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$40	258	0	+258	open	—	05-20 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$33	56	56	+0	open	—	05-20 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$32	50	18	+32	open	—	05-20 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$27	50	50	+0	open	—	05-20 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$26	30	30	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$23	33	33	+0	open	—	05-20 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$20	84	0	+84	open	—	05-20 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$20	67	0	+67	Down	$-20	05-11 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$16	26	19	+7	Down	$-4	05-10 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$15	21	0	+21	Up	+$6	05-10 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 16:38
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$13	4,213	0	+4,213	open	—	01-28 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Up	$-10	05-11 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	83	0	+83	Up	$-10	05-10 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$10	53	0	+53	Up	$-10	05-10 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-20 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	05-20 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	05-20 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 21:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	500	54¢	$272	0xf5b739…
05-20 21:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	60¢	$299	0x72a435…
05-20 21:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	33	40¢	$13	0x438f10…
05-20 21:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x0bdf9d…
05-20 21:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0xcc94b6…
05-20 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x8753aa…
05-20 21:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xecb281…
05-20 21:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xdcffc1…
05-20 21:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xdd64a2…
05-20 21:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0xc2b50a…
05-20 21:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x4ca1f3…
05-20 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0xdb867d…
05-20 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x70e99a…
05-20 21:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x64bd8d…
05-20 21:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	367	98¢	$359	0x62983e…
05-20 21:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd4a817…
05-20 21:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x5fcf8c…
05-20 21:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9f310f…
05-20 21:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x190656…
05-20 21:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x5e39b0…
05-20 20:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb51dbc…
05-20 20:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x5bd84f…
05-20 20:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x7b7d40…
05-20 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	68	58¢	$39	0x4ecab2…
05-20 20:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x2922d5…
05-20 20:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	241	61¢	$148	0x3657b0…
05-20 20:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	241	42¢	$100	0x7ed97a…
05-20 20:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	156	1¢	$2	0xcd4549…
05-20 20:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	172	1¢	$2	0x40e2ac…
05-20 20:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x5c3f3c…
05-20 20:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	143	8¢	$11	0xe0c3dc…
05-20 20:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	144	14¢	$20	0x79dbf6…
05-20 20:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0xc16529…
05-20 20:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xf85c5b…
05-20 20:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x041ff4…
05-20 20:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xcf3459…
05-20 19:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x038a25…
05-20 19:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x3a09ac…
05-20 19:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0x426c39…
05-20 19:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x094bfa…
05-20 19:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x19d6fd…
05-20 19:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x371bd4…
05-20 19:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3b22f2…
05-20 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7b2ea8…
05-20 19:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x26c135…
05-20 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x793dbd…
05-20 19:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x908ee2…
05-20 19:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0xeb948a…
05-20 19:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x637389…
05-20 19:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x495e00…
05-20 19:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc3d3ea…
05-20 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0xc125f0…
05-20 19:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb8a7f5…
05-20 19:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcb3b60…
05-20 19:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0x3fa28b…
05-20 19:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb1fcf2…
05-20 19:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x342433…
05-20 19:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x7de80d…
05-20 19:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3cd692…
05-20 19:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	33	47¢	$16	0xf09497…
05-20 19:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xbe006d…
05-20 19:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0xfa0a3e…
05-20 19:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7e9ed1…
05-11 12:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x9ad0ea…
05-11 12:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8e95dd…
05-11 12:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x015579…
05-11 09:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x18f5e4…
05-10 18:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xec7f92…
05-10 18:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc020e1…
05-10 18:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd1cecf…
05-10 18:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x727919…
05-10 18:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x1175c6…
05-10 18:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x723dfd…
05-10 17:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb2a8cb…
05-10 17:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1ee7c8…
05-10 16:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xefe776…
05-10 16:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xe35aea…
05-10 16:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5a8545…
05-10 16:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5f7927…
05-10 16:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xdf7133…
05-10 16:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdca99c…
05-10 16:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$7	0xe5f9eb…
05-10 16:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf79a80…
05-10 16:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x094755…
05-10 16:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4c7ff6…
05-10 16:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc6e125…
05-10 16:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xe2fe37…
05-10 16:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x07c2fe…
05-10 13:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x19c775…
05-10 12:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x208e7a…
05-10 12:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xf04c8b…
05-10 12:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xebc779…
05-10 12:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc72997…
05-10 12:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe5258a…
05-10 12:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x92dff6…
05-10 12:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x57803e…
05-10 12:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf512b0…
05-10 12:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x692640…
05-09 20:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7733e8…
05-09 20:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6893df…