Rusty-Siding-Thesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$53

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-08 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 9?	No		+14	$14	99¢	$14	+$0	05-08 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?	No		+12	$12	4¢	$0	$-11	05-07 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 13:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 9?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xad64d5…
05-07 12:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6ffa2d…
05-06 20:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9b4857…
05-06 09:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 6?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9628c7…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 6?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-06 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 9?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	05-08 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 7?	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	05-06 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-07 12:56