Frozen-Swordfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$424

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 07-07 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Tech

91% 50% $-138

Politics

7% 33% +$50

Other

2% 50% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$3.3K	3,722	0	+3,722	Yes	+$372	04-26 10:24
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	1	$510	655	0	+655	Yes	$-510	06-29 10:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$263	418	418	+0	Yes	+$63	05-08 18:31
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	1	$42	46	0	+46	Yes	+$4	04-21 20:12
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 16c	1	$41	42	0	+42	No	+$1	04-14 19:13
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 7 20260626172559968	1	$10	668	0	+668	No	$-10	07-07 22:18
will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	1	$10	101	0	+101	No	$-10	06-21 00:40
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	$-10	05-13 22:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$3	20	0	+20	No	$-3	05-03 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 22:18:44	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 7 20260626172559968	Yes	BUY	668	1¢	$10	0xf135fb…
06-29 10:04:58	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	655	78¢	$510	0x75e8ce…
06-21 00:40:35	will vance shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615195642306	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xda0f06…
05-13 22:04:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x712357…
05-08 18:31:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	418	39¢	$163	0x268377…
05-08 18:20:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	418	24¢	$100	0xeda520…
05-03 09:13:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x2874ab…
04-26 10:24:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,722	90¢	$3,349	0xaa5a0e…
04-21 20:12:34	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	Yes	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0x296a82…
04-14 19:13:14	highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 16c	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x652940…