Obvious-Supply — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$5.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-20 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-0

Sports

41% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	6	$410	206	206	+0	open	—	04-05 11:40
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$302	151	151	+0	No	$-0	04-04 04:08
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$294	147	147	+0	open	—	03-31 07:22
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	03-04 17:20
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$264	132	132	+0	open	—	03-22 03:43
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$252	126	126	+0	open	—	04-20 18:37
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$252	126	126	+0	open	—	04-17 15:32
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	03-04 09:19
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	02-11 22:49
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	03-16 07:03
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	02-13 04:44
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	03-12 06:28
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	03-27 12:05
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	03-16 19:04
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	03-30 01:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	03-19 19:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	03-26 23:54
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	03-19 01:43
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	03-20 14:56
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	04-17 05:31
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	02-12 11:14
will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-26 05:27
will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	03-22 15:50
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	04-06 10:41
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	03-30 04:18
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	04-05 01:03
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	02-25 08:46
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$112	56	56	+0	No	$-0	03-29 12:24
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	02-28 10:51
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	3	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	02-26 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-20 18:37:14	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x23410d…
04-20 10:42:00	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x09e54a…
04-17 15:32:58	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x1bba38…
04-17 07:13:36	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x07a502…
04-17 05:31:18	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x476cc1…
04-16 22:10:00	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x36493a…
04-12 00:29:49	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xc254fa…
04-11 20:41:03	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xe7d627…
04-06 10:41:47	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xed57b9…
04-06 08:20:19	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x3af833…
04-05 11:40:31	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x87d4e2…
04-05 06:51:59	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xb6006b…
04-05 01:03:39	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xf4b754…
04-04 22:19:05	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x3b3d56…
04-04 04:08:35	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x8c8f02…
04-03 23:04:03	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3dab2d…
04-02 10:37:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x680fec…
04-02 03:34:15	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xb1fbf8…
03-31 11:58:21	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8bf5f6…
03-31 07:23:01	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd07bb9…
03-31 07:22:43	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x646d3e…
03-31 05:29:51	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xde274e…
03-30 17:45:19	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a084b…
03-30 04:18:02	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xbf7ed6…
03-30 01:00:48	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xb4e145…
03-30 01:00:26	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x570a8e…
03-29 20:49:22	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x6fb0cd…
03-29 12:24:22	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xf25853…
03-29 08:12:20	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x906661…
03-28 18:57:48	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x85cfe0…
03-28 10:26:43	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x9209a3…
03-27 12:05:41	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x8f1592…
03-27 06:00:41	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x8f4238…
03-26 23:54:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x71ea0e…
03-26 17:45:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x74a94b…
03-26 05:27:37	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x66c223…
03-25 23:17:07	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x34b198…
03-25 04:50:13	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x72cb50…
03-24 22:40:25	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x6709d6…
03-24 16:30:53	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x40aced…
03-24 10:21:25	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x415a82…
03-22 15:50:13	will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xce93a8…
03-22 09:47:49	will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x39a82a…
03-22 03:43:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xc68c6f…
03-21 21:26:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xdeaa60…
03-20 21:12:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xbc3754…
03-20 14:56:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x010527…
03-20 14:56:23	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xd0dd18…
03-20 08:49:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xf761b9…
03-19 19:57:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x3d539a…
03-19 13:54:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2c0941…
03-19 01:43:07	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xefcc5e…
03-18 19:38:17	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x101e49…
03-16 19:04:59	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xcc0750…
03-16 13:00:47	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x2082f9…
03-16 07:03:27	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x050f60…
03-16 01:04:31	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x2e62e8…
03-12 06:28:31	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x0daa9a…
03-12 00:38:59	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x900e29…
03-10 21:13:09	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Hawks	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0x6947aa…
03-10 21:12:17	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x79712e…
03-07 10:59:43	nba bkn det 2026 03 07	Nets	BUY	46	12¢	$5	0xdd562a…
03-05 16:50:13	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Heat	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0x76cbed…
03-05 16:49:39	nba chi phx 2026 03 05	Suns	BUY	52	83¢	$43	0x7f517f…
03-05 01:05:09	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x4d0a36…
03-04 17:20:57	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x84ff79…
03-04 17:20:39	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x232efa…
03-04 09:20:01	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc39219…
03-04 09:19:41	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x31db46…
03-04 00:11:05	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Grizzlies	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x11386f…
03-04 00:10:41	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe3d7ad…
03-03 15:46:07	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Bulls	BUY	31	21¢	$6	0xee384e…
03-03 15:45:33	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x0e0fcb…
03-03 15:45:03	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xa61528…
03-01 19:48:35	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x310937…
03-01 13:21:31	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9a4f6e…
03-01 01:39:15	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x61addc…
02-28 10:53:01	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x011204…
02-28 10:52:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfb193…
02-28 10:52:07	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6f91b7…
02-28 10:51:47	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x2bf0a5…
02-27 23:51:41	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xdc6f06…
02-26 23:19:46	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xaa3c42…
02-26 22:48:40	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3f360d…
02-26 12:01:18	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7a20f4…
02-26 12:01:02	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xac5f34…
02-25 21:15:12	nba cle mil 2026 02 25	Cavaliers	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xbfa961…
02-25 21:14:46	nba sas tor 2026 02 25	Spurs	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb4e413…
02-25 21:14:16	nba bos den 2026 02 25	Nuggets	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x64d7a9…
02-25 08:46:18	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xd0ba80…
02-25 02:35:20	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0646c4…
02-15 23:31:01	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb983a7…
02-15 23:30:55	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x979c0c…
02-15 00:20:51	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x5276a4…
02-14 13:25:05	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x99e4af…
02-13 04:45:21	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x9ccdb5…
02-13 04:44:57	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x6db268…
02-13 01:22:47	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x911b1e…
02-12 11:14:23	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xbd7e43…
02-11 22:50:03	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x125175…