Welcome-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

183

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$292

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-12 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% $-8

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-09 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-09 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-09 04:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 16:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-06 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-09 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-09 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-09 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-09 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-09 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-09 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-09 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-09 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-11 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-08 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-09 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-09 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-09 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-11 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-08 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-12 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-09 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-09 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-0	05-09 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-09 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-10 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 14:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x63b292…
05-12 14:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xae0a51…
05-12 14:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x30605d…
05-12 14:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xde67d0…
05-12 14:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3cfaf8…
05-12 14:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xed45f4…
05-12 13:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x970ae4…
05-12 13:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x66b829…
05-12 13:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xd58a43…
05-12 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xddd1d5…
05-12 13:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd574f8…
05-12 12:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x256f31…
05-12 12:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6337a0…
05-12 12:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf33d95…
05-12 12:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf29c87…
05-12 12:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc84f36…
05-12 06:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x918acb…
05-12 02:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x373634…
05-12 02:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2e0153…
05-11 16:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x77420a…
05-11 16:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf05e7b…
05-11 15:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdf451d…
05-11 15:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe1492d…
05-11 15:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7d57c7…
05-11 15:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4971f8…
05-11 14:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf37f93…
05-11 14:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7d424f…
05-11 14:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb21db0…
05-11 14:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x973655…
05-11 13:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x935dda…
05-11 13:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe8a090…
05-11 13:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x151811…
05-11 12:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8152a7…
05-11 12:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x727885…
05-11 12:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8dbd9a…
05-11 12:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0c5a7b…
05-11 11:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1b3902…
05-11 11:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc975dd…
05-11 11:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf05056…
05-11 11:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x54fcb9…
05-11 10:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x65e101…
05-11 09:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd0c573…
05-11 06:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0e9ff5…
05-11 06:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x659c67…
05-11 05:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x567967…
05-11 05:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd5331e…
05-11 05:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaf5e83…
05-11 05:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x326622…
05-10 17:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe9b9f5…
05-10 17:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcd4165…
05-10 16:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf3dbee…
05-10 16:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8452f…
05-10 16:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3f3221…
05-10 16:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc6a9f1…
05-10 16:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x502dd5…
05-10 15:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcfff7c…
05-10 14:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x070a18…
05-10 14:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x09adcc…
05-10 14:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x77647b…
05-10 14:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd673d2…
05-10 13:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa815f1…
05-10 13:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x441604…
05-09 17:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0b07e2…
05-09 17:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x843591…
05-09 17:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1c0b96…
05-09 17:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x738688…
05-09 17:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0934af…
05-09 17:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x37e9aa…
05-09 16:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9aad22…
05-09 16:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe04d3e…
05-09 16:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa05c64…
05-09 16:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1dcf7b…
05-09 16:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x70c905…
05-09 16:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x30c9f8…
05-09 15:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5ace4d…
05-09 15:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x149797…
05-09 15:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9e550d…
05-09 14:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbf3929…
05-09 14:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcec6f7…
05-09 14:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xebf04c…
05-09 14:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb8b69a…
05-09 14:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1b0427…
05-09 13:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf9bdef…
05-09 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4faa4f…
05-09 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbdaafd…
05-09 13:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf89d0b…
05-09 12:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xeb5a38…
05-09 12:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd7db0c…
05-09 12:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x251921…
05-09 12:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7f8098…
05-09 12:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x67bd80…
05-09 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7e38bd…
05-09 12:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4dfdd1…
05-09 12:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x75a2b1…
05-09 12:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7c8d0b…
05-09 11:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xecc4a1…
05-09 11:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x067271…
05-09 11:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x12dfc9…
05-09 11:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x298b76…
05-09 09:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x38f6b0…