Fixed-Junk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$118

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 23% $-42

Politics

12% 0% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	4	$29	97	12	+85	Down	$-17	05-09 19:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$14	14,000	0	+14,000	Yes	$-14	05-09 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	05-09 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$7	109	0	+109	Up	$-7	05-09 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-09 20:34
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$5	33	0	+33	Up	$-5	05-09 19:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	Down	$-5	05-09 20:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-09 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-09 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$4	12	0	+12	Down	$-4	05-12 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-09 20:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Up	$-3	05-12 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$3	13	0	+13	Up	$-3	05-12 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-12 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-12 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	Up	$-2	05-12 19:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-12 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-12 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$4	05-12 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	Down	$-2	05-12 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	$-2	05-09 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-12 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x043c1f…
05-12 19:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x1b77b1…
05-12 19:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x77253d…
05-12 19:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x03abe4…
05-12 19:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x327b3d…
05-12 19:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9857f4…
05-12 19:11:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1e1a93…
05-12 16:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x7678b7…
05-12 16:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x56f62d…
05-12 16:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x750800…
05-12 16:38:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x15e85b…
05-09 20:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7e008d…
05-09 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xcd94cf…
05-09 20:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8761e1…
05-09 20:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5e7589…
05-09 19:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3475b9…
05-09 19:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xef76bc…
05-09 19:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x89841e…
05-09 19:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3afa38…
05-09 19:38:56	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb1a9bf…
05-09 19:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0xdd286e…
05-09 19:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x5b9cc2…
05-09 19:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7a22dc…
05-09 19:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6772e2…
05-09 19:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x887ebc…
05-09 18:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x75bdb6…
05-09 15:28:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0x7db34e…
05-09 15:11:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0xf17658…