Darling-Tadpole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$85

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-01 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 25% +$1

Other

12% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$12	25	10	+15	open	—	02-03 02:10
Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 02:34
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	05-05 08:45
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$6	35	0	+35	open	—	02-03 05:51
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	01-24 23:45
zachxbt investigation post over 14m views on day one	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-26 04:58
spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	2	$4	20	0	+20	open	—	03-03 05:38
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	01-26 00:19
will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 14	2	$2	35	0	+35	open	—	03-14 23:31
Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 01:16
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$2	35	0	+35	open	—	02-12 07:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	3	$2	70	0	+70	open	—	02-26 20:25
sol updown 4h 1774828800	2	$2	45	0	+45	open	—	03-30 02:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$1	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-13 23:26
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	06-01 05:37
sol updown 4h 1775880000	2	$1	15	0	+15	open	—	04-11 07:02
Pharos FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 02:48
Pharos FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 01:14
btc updown 4h 1772845200	2	$1	75	0	+75	open	—	03-07 04:50
bitcoin up or down on january 22	2	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	01-22 00:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 30	3	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	01-30 11:42
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	1	$1	13	0	+13	Yes	$-1	05-10 06:20
bitcoin up or down on february 1	1	$1	13	0	+13	open	—	02-01 05:18
will ethereum reach 3300 december 29 january 4	1	$1	27	0	+27	open	—	01-04 09:26
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-13 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 06:28
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 02:37
ethereum up or down on march 10	2	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	03-10 14:47
solana above 100 on february 15	3	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	02-14 23:18
xrp up or down on march 15 2026	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	03-15 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xea31aa…
06-01 05:37:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x7031ca…
05-19 06:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6e7a72…
05-16 02:37:21	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe4533a…
05-16 02:34:28	Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x63745c…
05-13 23:26:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x266ee0…
05-13 23:15:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x6d48df…
05-13 22:55:39	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xed0d94…
05-10 06:20:59	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8b1f15…
05-06 23:03:27	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xca361e…
05-06 23:02:55	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x51bfcc…
05-06 23:02:12	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x764ae6…
05-05 08:45:14	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xd90f7d…
05-02 16:28:56	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x0a5093…
05-02 13:50:16	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xb9b8b7…
04-27 02:48:46	Pharos FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x1918ea…
04-26 01:16:42	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x61b1ad…
04-26 01:15:26	Pharos FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x195f52…
04-26 01:14:50	Pharos FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe5f532…
04-26 00:38:04	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe72255…
04-26 00:38:04	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xdcfcf0…
04-26 00:38:04	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x0e7e84…
04-26 00:01:04	Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xb62a6f…
04-11 07:02:09	sol updown 4h 1775880000	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xe48eab…
04-11 07:00:47	sol updown 4h 1775880000	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x5938ff…
03-30 02:21:36	sol updown 4h 1774828800	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x833a45…
03-30 02:12:52	sol updown 4h 1774828800	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdcf148…
03-15 05:18:05	xrp up or down on march 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3aa0ca…
03-14 23:31:51	will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 14	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x959135…
03-14 23:04:19	will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 14	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xfd025d…
03-10 14:47:29	ethereum up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xc18a15…
03-10 14:45:29	ethereum up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xdfccb9…
03-07 04:50:59	btc updown 4h 1772845200	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x220e02…
03-07 04:36:03	btc updown 4h 1772845200	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6ba187…
03-03 07:35:43	Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x0879d0…
03-03 05:38:53	spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xea448f…
03-03 02:20:01	spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xe0fd9f…
02-26 20:25:00	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x6928c0…
02-26 19:58:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xad8f21…
02-26 04:58:56	zachxbt investigation post over 14m views on day one	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x71d94d…
02-26 04:47:26	zachxbt investigation post over 14m views on day one	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xaa9d9f…
02-25 12:25:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf02a58…
02-14 23:18:49	solana above 100 on february 15	Yes	BUY	194	0¢	$1	0x8f9dd0…
02-14 22:37:31	solana above 100 on february 15	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0f6324…
02-14 21:27:57	solana above 100 on february 15	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x140813…
02-12 07:25:09	Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x3f5534…
02-03 05:51:32	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd01bfa…
02-03 02:10:42	Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x706040…
02-01 09:32:06	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9eef59…
02-01 05:18:14	bitcoin up or down on february 1	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x02f458…
01-30 11:42:16	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 30	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xb6b550…
01-30 11:41:52	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x7937af…
01-30 11:41:52	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 30	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x4940b8…
01-30 07:27:20	Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xcd4ed2…
01-27 05:11:41	Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xbe1725…
01-26 00:19:40	Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x3cf401…
01-24 23:45:58	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdf9dad…
01-22 00:31:24	bitcoin up or down on january 22	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x560fb4…
01-22 00:31:08	bitcoin up or down on january 22	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x68641c…
01-04 09:26:37	will ethereum reach 3300 december 29 january 4	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xee8aef…