Busy-Essence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$240

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-12 20:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 60% +$0

Other

29% — —

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$18	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	4	$15	33	12	+21	Down	$-3	05-05 15:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$15	77	77	+0	open	—	05-06 12:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$14	625	625	+0	open	—	04-29 10:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$12	24	24	+0	open	—	05-12 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	6	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 08:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on April 28?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	04-29 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-29 07:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$10	33	33	+0	open	—	04-29 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-28 18:58
Will King Charles say "Mother" or "Mama" during the joint meeting of Congress?	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	04-28 16:03
Will Powell say "Simulation" during April press conference?	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	05-03 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-29 11:11
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-28 16:02
Will Trump say "Biden" during astronaut greeting?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-29 17:12
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 29?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-29 10:09
Kash Patel out by May 31?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-29 04:47
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 28?	1	$5	43	0	+43	open	—	04-28 18:33
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-29 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-29 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-29 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-29 13:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-29 04:50
Will King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 16:03
Kash Patel out by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 04:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 20:08:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x836eb2…
05-07 20:18:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5f2b3f…
05-07 08:24:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xcb1dde…
05-06 12:30:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	77	6¢	$5	0xb75937…
05-06 11:25:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xce0e7c…
05-06 08:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xf838e0…
05-05 16:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x014c51…
05-05 16:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd05e8b…
05-05 16:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x05dc6a…
05-05 16:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x97922b…
05-05 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5ae7e7…
05-05 15:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xe28ac8…
05-05 15:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdb7cba…
05-05 15:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x7be29e…
05-05 15:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x492b4b…
05-05 15:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x04f34b…
05-05 15:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4a0248…
05-05 15:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xf434a5…
05-05 15:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9a85ac…
05-05 15:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xa5f776…
05-05 15:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5bdbbc…
05-05 15:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf303b2…
05-03 17:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x19e9be…
05-03 17:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb3b1b5…
05-03 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaf3d13…
04-29 19:55:30	Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x8d0fe2…
04-29 17:12:30	Will Trump say "Biden" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x06173f…
04-29 13:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x349c9c…
04-29 11:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa7b734…
04-29 11:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2701a9…
04-29 11:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6b0484…
04-29 11:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc25f10…
04-29 10:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa9b253…
04-29 10:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe8b845…
04-29 10:09:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x857e75…
04-29 10:06:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	625	1¢	$4	0x11de70…
04-29 10:06:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x2b6fca…
04-29 10:04:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x2d64ef…
04-29 10:04:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xf42721…
04-29 08:02:22	Will Powell say "Simulation" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb1b242…
04-29 07:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa1ee56…
04-29 07:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x37bc53…
04-29 04:50:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2183c1…
04-29 04:47:12	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe094c1…
04-29 04:47:02	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4576b0…
04-28 18:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x93ea2a…
04-28 18:33:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x7aa39a…
04-28 16:03:58	Will King Charles say "Mother" or "Mama" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa85ec0…
04-28 16:03:40	Will King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x51729c…
04-28 16:02:52	Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0056ae…
04-28 16:01:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0dcbba…
04-28 15:58:38	Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaadec7…
04-28 15:56:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x7be879…