Staid-Shoehorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$558

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 08-09 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 71% +$0

Other

33% 100% +$8

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$212	115	103	+13	Up	$-8	05-05 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$80	102	0	+102	Up	+$5	05-05 17:44
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$55	59	0	+59	Up	+$4	05-06 04:55
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-05 18:07
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 6?	1	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	05-05 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$24	24	14	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 17:54
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 6?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-05 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 18:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	08-09 09:11
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by september 30 20260709004922353	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	08-09 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-05 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-05 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 09:12:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by september 30 20260709004922353	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2f7897…
08-09 09:11:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd8360e…
05-06 04:55:46	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x4c5061…
05-05 18:15:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcc91f9…
05-05 18:09:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6bce5f…
05-05 18:07:18	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x102049…
05-05 18:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0xbbc8f3…
05-05 18:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb29396…
05-05 18:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfbc4dd…
05-05 17:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc2670c…
05-05 17:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1fd0d2…
05-05 17:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	69¢	$9	0x7ae29c…
05-05 17:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2290e4…
05-05 17:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xa3056f…
05-05 17:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8c11b6…
05-05 17:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x356605…
05-05 17:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5fac2a…
05-05 17:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x45ff63…
05-05 17:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xc09566…
05-05 17:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfb2c46…
05-05 17:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1b20a3…