Hasty-Payment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

397

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-11 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$14

Sports

15% 100% +$3

Other

14% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$873	479	479	+0	open	—	03-29 18:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	11	$808	416	416	+0	open	—	04-07 23:41
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$533	430	430	+0	open	—	04-13 22:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$527	532	0	+532	open	—	03-31 13:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$488	400	400	+0	open	—	04-17 12:58
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	3	$450	237	237	+0	open	—	03-30 10:14
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	10	$435	250	250	+0	open	—	04-12 17:32
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	23	$392	1,002	202	+800	open	—	04-01 12:56
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	4	$390	200	198	+2	open	—	04-22 02:01
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$377	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 11:48
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 09:31
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	11	$349	200	200	+0	open	—	03-17 11:14
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	8	$346	286	100	+186	open	—	04-27 02:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$345	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 14:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 20:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$321	241	241	+0	open	—	04-17 13:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	4	$300	311	0	+311	open	—	04-24 12:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$291	300	0	+300	open	—	05-11 17:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	6	$271	262	100	+162	open	—	04-19 23:48
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$269	150	150	+0	open	—	03-14 22:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$243	200	100	+100	open	—	05-28 14:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$229	286	50	+236	open	—	03-13 22:17
will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	5	$213	221	0	+221	open	—	03-22 08:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$201	200	127	+73	open	—	06-25 10:45
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-02 00:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$196	400	400	+0	open	—	05-14 14:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	1	$195	200	0	+200	open	—	04-19 00:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	1	$193	200	0	+200	open	—	05-19 11:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	3	$190	200	0	+200	open	—	04-27 14:50
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	06-18 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:24:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	108	84¢	$90	0xc42938…
08-11 13:54:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6c5f64…
08-11 12:14:00	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x84a947…
08-11 12:05:07	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xd8981d…
08-11 11:13:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xd7753a…
08-11 11:03:16	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x824fb1…
08-10 15:12:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xc1b324…
08-06 10:59:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb6ddb2…
08-06 01:35:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0x81077e…
08-06 01:35:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0x81077e…
08-05 23:02:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xf6f9da…
08-03 23:43:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x98d7a3…
08-03 05:49:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	32	70¢	$22	0xffe6cf…
08-03 05:29:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x841127…
08-03 05:23:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xe88f27…
08-03 02:00:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe7afa9…
07-25 13:42:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x7c5542…
07-25 12:25:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x5b527a…
07-25 11:30:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x7e3b49…
07-25 10:38:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x851f09…
07-25 10:37:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	39	73¢	$29	0x011443…
07-23 11:03:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x8a152a…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xed4510…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xe4371b…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdef8c0…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd5389c…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x92003f…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8d7768…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x889d04…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x6ff2c5…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x53ab6d…
07-23 11:03:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1d71fb…
07-23 11:03:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x19b007…
07-15 10:57:11	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd9ffdb…
07-15 10:56:26	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x905e74…
07-10 00:06:55	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xe63c38…
07-10 00:06:41	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd388f7…
07-10 00:06:19	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa6f984…
07-10 00:05:49	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xcd8bc0…
07-10 00:05:11	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xe51f9d…
07-09 23:56:10	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x7ed879…
07-09 23:55:40	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xc4b830…
07-09 23:43:25	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x82b17f…
07-09 23:42:58	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x8f9204…
07-09 23:42:32	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xe34e5a…
07-09 23:14:05	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x27518d…
07-09 23:13:20	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xb6a9ed…
07-09 23:09:05	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x0acc57…
07-09 23:08:34	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xab1808…
07-09 23:08:02	will eberechi eze score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x840fc1…
07-09 21:41:35	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xa0332c…
07-05 17:36:17	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6379a2…
07-05 13:58:01	will igor thiago score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x2a66b8…
07-04 15:17:08	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0xce3a84…
07-04 15:11:49	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xca5bde…
07-04 14:58:17	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x4b54b0…
07-04 14:53:56	will paraguay reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134481	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xe2fa49…
07-03 21:17:23	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	No	BUY	126	92¢	$117	0x6d075b…
07-02 04:31:50	will portugal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120775	Yes	SELL	82	71¢	$59	0xbeba9a…
06-30 10:43:53	will ivory coast reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120753	Yes	SELL	60	37¢	$22	0x49a599…
06-28 03:57:50	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	45	57¢	$26	0x2c94ac…
06-28 02:04:05	will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x88b60e…
06-27 01:55:28	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	120	7¢	$8	0x3c458d…
06-26 16:19:10	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2c6f20…
06-26 16:10:49	will uruguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120764	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xba52d1…
06-26 15:29:49	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x28abce…
06-26 15:12:17	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	SELL	87	38¢	$33	0x7240a3…
06-26 14:24:26	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x716402…
06-26 14:15:43	will uruguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120764	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x35561f…
06-26 12:50:47	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xe89e62…
06-26 12:03:14	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x161960…
06-26 11:39:05	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x50e765…
06-26 11:10:29	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x2a4015…
06-26 10:45:49	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x0b614e…
06-26 10:41:16	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xdcdbe8…
06-26 10:37:19	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x09592a…
06-26 10:36:26	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x3d463a…
06-26 10:24:32	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x0042f1…
06-26 10:20:31	will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x456d19…
06-26 09:37:08	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xcd0a0c…
06-26 09:20:49	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	140	6¢	$8	0xee1f22…
06-26 09:20:10	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	264	6¢	$15	0x94642c…
06-25 10:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x321828…
06-24 02:37:05	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x198eab…
06-24 01:36:22	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xfebb3d…
06-24 01:02:56	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x9a7878…
06-24 00:47:14	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xec5cb4…
06-24 00:46:14	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0xcab439…
06-23 10:17:16	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x834bfe…
06-23 10:13:38	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x5bc61d…
06-22 16:46:08	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x31ca50…
06-19 12:48:23	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x39e6cf…
06-18 12:58:19	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xbc9d93…
06-18 11:00:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x22d078…
06-18 00:34:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x36e396…
06-17 12:24:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x5a401a…
06-16 14:26:14	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0xd8f66b…
06-16 11:51:18	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf7debb…
06-16 11:25:16	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8c95f4…
06-16 11:07:42	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x99ce55…