Frizzy-Nickel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-04 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

37% 100% +$0

Other

35% 100% +$0

Crypto

28% 50% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$1.2K	625	625	+0	open	—	03-30 08:44
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$1.1K	650	520	+130	open	—	04-02 13:48
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$1.1K	545	545	+0	open	—	03-21 12:23
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.0K	872	872	+0	open	—	04-07 14:55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$960	482	482	+0	open	—	05-15 13:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$710	500	500	+0	open	—	03-05 16:37
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	1	$591	624	0	+624	open	—	03-22 22:59
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 21 2026 151	1	$543	591	0	+591	open	—	03-21 12:26
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$480	482	0	+482	open	—	04-11 05:22
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$398	386	386	+0	open	—	05-14 17:22
solana above 30 on april 10	1	$306	306	0	+306	open	—	04-08 16:43
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$291	406	0	+406	open	—	05-15 13:34
bitcoin above 56k on april 10	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-08 16:42
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on April 25?	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-23 15:35
ethereum above 1600 on march 3	1	$133	134	0	+134	open	—	03-03 04:43
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 21	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	04-19 14:30
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$109	464	0	+464	open	—	05-14 15:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-22 13:41
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-26 03:15
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 15	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-14 12:09
ethereum above 2600 on april 13	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	04-12 09:03
will ethereum reach 2500 february 23 march 1	1	$81	81	0	+81	open	—	02-25 04:27
will ethereum reach 2500 june 1 7 2026	1	$73	73	0	+73	open	—	06-04 15:37
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 11?	1	$68	68	0	+68	No	+$0	05-08 06:24
will bitcoin reach 78k february 23 march 1	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	02-25 04:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-27 15:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-11 05:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-27 15:38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 15:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-03 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 15:38:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xbb0271…
06-04 15:37:21	will ethereum reach 2500 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xac3aac…
05-15 13:34:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	274	72¢	$197	0xb2e7b1…
05-15 13:32:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xb88391…
05-15 13:31:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	133	71¢	$94	0xdd9590…
05-14 17:22:45	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	343	24¢	$82	0xadf8c7…
05-14 15:50:06	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	43	37¢	$16	0x020197…
05-14 15:33:47	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	233	17¢	$40	0x020285…
05-14 15:30:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x1ec529…
05-14 12:59:54	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	231	30¢	$69	0x0406e3…
05-13 17:19:20	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	386	78¢	$300	0xd7b576…
05-13 17:18:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0x9057cf…
05-11 05:13:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x67e03f…
05-08 06:24:09	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 11?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x123b91…
05-08 06:08:36	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x05335d…
05-03 15:35:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	482	100¢	$480	0xf3670e…
05-03 15:30:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfada4f…
04-27 15:40:24	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xce266c…
04-27 15:38:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xe82e27…
04-27 15:38:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4d3ce8…
04-27 15:36:58	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9cf998…
04-26 03:15:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x73700f…
04-26 03:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc25d2d…
04-25 03:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xb7a590…
04-23 15:35:04	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xdb3fe0…
04-22 13:41:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xfba1b9…
04-19 14:30:36	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 21	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x62694c…
04-17 10:53:16	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b9a8b…
04-15 15:48:20	highest temperature in singapore on april 17 2026 26c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe41e40…
04-14 12:09:43	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 15	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa5539d…
04-12 09:03:07	ethereum above 2600 on april 13	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xffeeee…
04-11 05:22:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	482	100¢	$480	0x93b295…
04-11 05:20:07	highest temperature in chicago on april 12 2026 26 27f	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x118b7b…
04-08 16:43:11	solana above 30 on april 10	Yes	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0xd2840f…
04-08 16:42:15	bitcoin above 56k on april 10	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa8550f…
04-07 14:55:51	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	872	57¢	$500	0x451b95…
04-03 09:52:45	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	384	58¢	$223	0x161a2b…
04-02 23:22:17	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	58¢	$19	0x6398ac…
04-02 15:07:43	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xef6b54…
04-02 15:06:45	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	58¢	$173	0x70105b…
04-02 14:53:15	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd070e0…
04-02 14:35:29	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xf860c4…
04-02 13:49:29	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	58¢	$36	0xdae20c…
04-02 13:48:43	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	520	97¢	$506	0x8e5b0d…
03-30 08:44:58	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	650	96¢	$623	0x7a63eb…
03-30 08:44:30	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	625	100¢	$623	0x54e572…
03-29 06:58:50	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	625	100¢	$624	0x0c42fb…
03-22 22:59:27	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	Yes	BUY	624	95¢	$591	0x8180e9…
03-21 12:26:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 21 2026 151	Yes	BUY	591	92¢	$543	0x1368dd…
03-21 12:23:35	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	545	100¢	$543	0x075e86…
03-15 23:00:53	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	545	99¢	$542	0x994214…
03-05 16:39:29	solana above 90 on march 5	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xd0ec14…
03-05 16:37:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	500	82¢	$410	0x90e2bd…
03-03 04:43:53	ethereum above 1600 on march 3	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x751ceb…
03-03 04:42:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xe750ac…
02-25 04:27:30	will ethereum reach 2500 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	81	99¢	$81	0x487470…
02-25 04:26:18	will bitcoin reach 78k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9e7734…