Forked-Historian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$44

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,114

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$238

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$15

Politics

40% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+200	$184	97¢	$194	+$10	07-01 21:40
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes		-100	$-78	44¢	$-44	+$34	06-30 14:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	20	$2.6K	1,626	1,000	+626	open	—	03-26 00:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	62	$2.0K	1,252	1,243	+10	open	—	05-30 08:27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	43	$1.3K	1,473	1,629	-156	open	—	02-06 01:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.3K	1,067	267	+800	open	—	05-31 23:08
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-01 21:40
Kash Patel out by April 30?	42	$1.1K	3,928	2,455	+1,473	open	—	04-27 00:42
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	2	$907	500	500	+0	open	—	02-19 10:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	35	$812	770	494	+276	open	—	05-25 23:03
howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	7	$736	500	300	+200	open	—	02-22 23:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	35	$434	1,132	1,232	-100	open	—	01-09 18:59
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	6	$384	300	250	+50	open	—	03-09 11:57
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	01-08 13:25
will don lemon be criminally charged	3	$288	200	200	-0	open	—	01-22 17:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	31	$247	416	416	+0	open	—	06-11 01:00
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$241	228	137	+91	open	—	02-06 20:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	49	$229	1,118	1,158	-40	open	—	04-17 19:41
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	19	$206	200	241	-41	open	—	01-04 15:40
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	18	$201	170	160	+10	open	—	03-30 15:34
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	13	$198	110	110	+0	open	—	03-26 22:47
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	06-05 11:40
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	9	$186	2,263	0	+2,263	open	—	03-30 13:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	5	$184	201	0	+201	open	—	05-29 22:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	21	$157	164	159	+5	open	—	06-16 20:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	26	$146	198	238	-40	open	—	06-12 15:53
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	5	$134	100	200	-100	open	—	06-30 14:56
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	5	$133	375	375	+0	open	—	04-06 23:27
will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	5	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	01-23 18:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	15	$117	151	151	+0	open	—	01-13 18:23
us strike on nigeria by january 31 2026	7	$116	166	34	+131	open	—	01-07 16:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	17	$108	126	110	+16	open	—	05-25 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 21:40:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	400	97¢	$386	0x562eb9…
07-01 00:51:59	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xf2f923…
06-30 14:56:07	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x957703…
06-30 05:01:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x0a62ba…
06-30 01:52:56	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x6ce938…
06-29 10:16:01	will wti reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x9e4578…
06-25 15:53:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x3e1eab…
06-25 12:55:58	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x5245d9…
06-24 15:19:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x3a9b06…
06-23 02:41:20	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xf0092d…
06-22 23:54:38	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	28¢	$22	0x1ce470…
06-22 22:54:34	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x701324…
06-22 14:33:13	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x2878c5…
06-22 14:19:04	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x3748c6…
06-22 14:14:19	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x854702…
06-22 04:25:56	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe36550…
06-22 03:46:34	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$1	0x66d007…
06-22 02:39:05	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xd564d7…
06-22 02:00:11	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xc38e3b…
06-22 01:56:50	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x518334…
06-21 23:04:17	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xa5025d…
06-21 23:03:32	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x7bc238…
06-21 22:58:34	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xc7aaee…
06-21 22:58:34	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x356b8c…
06-21 21:48:16	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x258a06…
06-21 20:47:16	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x0c4b77…
06-21 20:46:58	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xaf0606…
06-21 07:41:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$383	0x8b1f6f…
06-21 05:54:47	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0xc39408…
06-20 13:49:19	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x38dd97…
06-20 13:30:44	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xbeb7b8…
06-20 13:09:53	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x1c4c85…
06-20 06:49:38	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x1ab675…
06-19 13:15:35	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa1de41…
06-19 13:04:04	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x171026…
06-19 13:03:44	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x31c53f…
06-18 18:05:14	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x77919b…
06-18 18:04:28	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x3bbf80…
06-18 13:49:47	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7ad2b7…
06-18 13:46:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x71a627…
06-18 13:04:26	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x37f45a…
06-18 12:26:32	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xe254ce…
06-17 23:58:34	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x062b77…
06-17 15:30:19	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa75fce…
06-16 20:54:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x642a56…
06-16 15:58:41	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xe821cc…
06-16 14:04:22	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x599f42…
06-16 13:00:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc351c0…
06-16 12:43:33	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd43aac…
06-16 05:00:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x6a5e52…
06-16 04:16:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x8530c5…
06-15 16:31:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x1a7f16…
06-15 14:06:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7ad227…
06-14 22:07:33	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x21c83f…
06-14 22:07:28	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xef46a2…
06-14 22:07:04	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x857a99…
06-14 22:06:58	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xbcee10…
06-14 22:06:58	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x1f1335…
06-14 21:54:10	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xa3633e…
06-14 17:31:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x6cbf03…
06-14 16:57:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x1bf408…
06-14 13:01:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x38ccf1…
06-14 12:35:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x231225…
06-14 12:35:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5f9a77…
06-14 11:55:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5f22f6…
06-12 15:53:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa1a589…
06-12 15:03:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xab23ef…
06-12 13:47:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x7662bb…
06-12 13:42:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x4c1fa6…
06-12 13:42:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa54113…
06-12 13:19:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf16bc5…
06-12 13:17:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xfa4869…
06-12 13:12:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf1a7c5…
06-11 19:30:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x10286b…
06-11 19:26:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x26b079…
06-11 15:48:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbb0644…
06-11 14:39:15	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	29	29¢	$9	0xc303a5…
06-11 14:28:36	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x6a65bb…
06-11 13:45:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x1e1387…
06-11 03:42:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xaababa…
06-11 03:15:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xf3bd5e…
06-11 01:50:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x55d8bf…
06-11 01:00:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xbc04bd…
06-11 00:01:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0xe39937…
06-11 00:01:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xad8b32…
06-10 23:53:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0xe461c5…
06-10 22:17:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x2b0f38…
06-10 22:11:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xc87a41…
06-10 21:37:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x657821…
06-10 21:35:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0x4ee201…
06-10 21:33:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x6d4b87…
06-10 21:25:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x3dfdfd…
06-10 21:18:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xea20f8…
06-10 21:14:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x64c300…
06-10 21:13:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x007154…
06-10 21:10:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x015bd9…
06-10 21:04:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x57af33…
06-10 21:03:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0xa6690b…
06-10 20:58:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	43¢	$19	0x7d1f50…
06-10 20:54:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	44	73¢	$32	0xd60c5e…