Forked-Historian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,003

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$312

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$15

Politics

43% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+200	$187	95¢	$189	+$2	05-29 00:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	+84	$54	62¢	$53	$-1	06-09 14:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	+170	$54	24¢	$40	$-14	06-09 19:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	+60	$12	30¢	$18	+$6	06-09 13:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	+70	$17	12¢	$8	$-9	06-09 16:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	-176	$-21	2¢	$-4	+$17	06-03 13:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	+25	$1	2¢	$1	$-1	06-03 14:28
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	+10	$5	0¢	$0	$-5	06-05 14:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	20	$2.6K	1,626	1,000	+626	open	—	03-26 00:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	62	$2.0K	1,252	1,243	+10	open	—	05-30 08:27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	43	$1.3K	1,473	1,629	-156	open	—	02-06 01:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.3K	1,067	267	+800	open	—	05-31 23:08
Kash Patel out by April 30?	42	$1.1K	3,928	2,455	+1,473	open	—	04-27 00:42
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	2	$907	500	500	+0	open	—	02-19 10:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	35	$812	770	494	+276	open	—	05-25 23:03
howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	7	$736	500	300	+200	open	—	02-22 23:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	35	$434	1,132	1,232	-100	open	—	01-09 18:59
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	6	$384	300	250	+50	open	—	03-09 11:57
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	01-08 13:25
will don lemon be criminally charged	3	$288	200	200	-0	open	—	01-22 17:57
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$241	228	137	+91	open	—	02-06 20:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	49	$229	1,118	1,158	-40	open	—	04-17 19:41
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	19	$206	200	241	-41	open	—	01-04 15:40
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	18	$201	170	160	+10	open	—	03-30 15:34
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	13	$198	110	110	+0	open	—	03-26 22:47
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	06-05 11:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$187	200	0	+200	open	—	05-29 00:00
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	9	$186	2,263	0	+2,263	open	—	03-30 13:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	5	$184	201	0	+201	open	—	05-29 22:10
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	5	$133	375	375	+0	open	—	04-06 23:27
will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	5	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	01-23 18:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	15	$117	151	151	+0	open	—	01-13 18:23
us strike on nigeria by january 31 2026	7	$116	166	34	+131	open	—	01-07 16:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	14	$112	246	76	+170	open	—	06-09 19:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	17	$108	126	110	+16	open	—	05-25 16:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	12	$108	69	69	+0	open	—	04-19 23:42
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	28	$106	1,829	1,829	+0	open	—	01-12 06:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	15	$94	252	182	+70	open	—	06-09 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:19:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0xbde8a0…
06-09 17:41:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x32dea5…
06-09 17:38:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x43c453…
06-09 16:54:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xd3340b…
06-09 16:42:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xa9fcc1…
06-09 14:35:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x22bec9…
06-09 13:48:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xa54985…
06-09 03:05:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0xeefd91…
06-09 00:48:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0x51e893…
06-08 14:02:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x2a23f2…
06-08 03:00:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x5f2f54…
06-07 21:41:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	52	27¢	$14	0x6bd345…
06-07 21:40:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	35	49¢	$17	0xd39a28…
06-07 16:30:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xbf6b84…
06-07 16:26:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$6	0x4a1a98…
06-07 15:59:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x2a5663…
06-07 15:55:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xc2e6bf…
06-05 22:41:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x55cf7d…
06-05 15:45:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xf79f15…
06-05 15:24:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xa80110…
06-05 14:00:55	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x20e92d…
06-05 11:40:49	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x42ef7e…
06-05 05:06:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0xb08226…
06-05 04:29:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xcf3a93…
06-04 23:50:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xc462fd…
06-04 14:30:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x309465…
06-03 23:50:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	49	47¢	$23	0x9a47d2…
06-03 23:38:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x888413…
06-03 14:28:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x83da5d…
06-03 14:04:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	35	48¢	$17	0x6df5d3…
06-03 13:59:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0xe0e1d0…
06-03 13:55:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x1ec234…
06-03 13:38:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xb245aa…
06-03 13:38:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xcada9a…
06-03 13:15:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x2fa4c4…
06-03 12:13:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x8ba3ff…
06-03 12:06:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0x6867bb…
06-03 11:41:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xec1d6a…
06-03 11:27:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$8	0x5b5bfc…
06-03 11:08:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	150	5¢	$7	0x564d28…
06-03 00:01:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xa8f991…
06-03 00:01:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd9c528…
06-03 00:01:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xdaf950…
06-03 00:00:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x310fc4…
06-03 00:00:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x9981de…
06-03 00:00:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x70ffef…
06-02 23:19:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xce44b5…
06-02 23:19:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x02a412…
06-02 23:18:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x17fba9…
06-02 23:02:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x72b8c5…
06-02 23:02:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	127	25¢	$32	0x56c29c…
06-02 22:59:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x94d80d…
06-02 22:55:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xfef381…
05-31 23:08:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	700	99¢	$695	0x986d89…
05-31 15:56:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x376d0f…
05-31 15:50:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x9436c1…
05-31 15:49:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xe9f57b…
05-31 15:33:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdb2919…
05-31 15:17:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x1848d7…
05-31 15:17:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0x73e331…
05-31 15:16:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xe5fb1d…
05-31 15:16:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	261	95¢	$247	0x3a5a7f…
05-31 00:03:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xab3a4c…
05-30 20:34:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x5bb977…
05-30 17:38:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x697e32…
05-30 15:14:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x643f8f…
05-30 15:13:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	299	3¢	$9	0xe4f094…
05-30 15:12:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x252330…
05-30 08:27:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xbc34cc…
05-30 08:25:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	763	100¢	$763	0xd07baa…
05-30 02:40:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xd23c65…
05-30 01:50:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x23bc7e…
05-29 22:25:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$794	0x65fea2…
05-29 22:10:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0fbcf1…
05-29 22:09:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x5db7b6…
05-29 15:14:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x5cc942…
05-29 09:12:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xffc964…
05-29 01:11:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x961b67…
05-29 01:11:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x076ed7…
05-29 01:11:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x2e0efd…
05-29 00:21:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xd820ef…
05-29 00:00:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x3f0269…
05-29 00:00:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$14	0x4b83f1…
05-28 23:23:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	91	94¢	$85	0x03e065…
05-28 23:20:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x65b1ed…
05-28 23:05:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0x08e0cf…
05-28 21:36:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x9a4ace…
05-28 21:26:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x20e973…
05-28 21:22:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x33fc3b…
05-28 21:09:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x78241a…
05-28 20:32:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xe27019…
05-28 20:18:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x9eb449…
05-28 03:36:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xf87884…
05-28 02:15:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa07730…
05-26 11:34:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x0667ba…
05-26 01:57:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd80c3e…
05-26 00:29:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x3629cd…
05-26 00:20:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x0d35c7…
05-26 00:14:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x36855f…
05-26 00:11:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xaa5003…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	113	$22.9M	35,926	06-09 22:38
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	99	$1.04M	17,485	06-09 17:18
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	84	$13.8K	2,214	06-09 16:44
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	76	$119.1K	994	06-08 20:34
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	66	$247.1K	18,548	06-01 04:51
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	66	$166.6K	21,145	06-09 17:40
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	61	$251.0K	27,293	06-09 19:19
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	61	$76.9K	1,698	06-09 22:27