Forked-Historian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,406

lifetime

Volume

$26.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-11 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$15

Politics

32% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	20	$2.6K	1,626	1,000	+626	open	—	03-26 00:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	11	$2.4K	1,400	1,100	+300	open	—	08-06 00:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	62	$2.0K	1,252	1,243	+10	open	—	05-30 08:27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	43	$1.3K	1,473	1,629	-156	open	—	02-06 01:13
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	18	$1.3K	1,170	1,170	+0	open	—	07-20 10:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.3K	1,067	267	+800	open	—	05-31 23:08
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	73	$1.2K	1,217	1,217	+0	open	—	07-27 23:17
Kash Patel out by April 30?	42	$1.1K	3,928	2,455	+1,473	open	—	04-27 00:42
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	24	$1.1K	1,590	1,470	+120	open	—	08-11 21:20
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	2	$907	500	500	+0	open	—	02-19 10:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	35	$812	770	494	+276	open	—	05-25 23:03
howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	7	$736	500	300	+200	open	—	02-22 23:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	11	$689	700	0	+700	open	—	07-23 16:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	35	$434	1,132	1,232	-100	open	—	01-09 18:59
will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	6	$400	271	271	+0	open	—	08-04 23:28
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	6	$384	300	250	+50	open	—	03-09 11:57
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	01-08 13:25
will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	5	$300	160	160	+0	open	—	07-28 19:43
will don lemon be criminally charged	3	$288	200	200	-0	open	—	01-22 17:57
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	14	$269	194	194	+0	open	—	08-11 19:55
will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	5	$251	301	301	+0	open	—	07-24 13:20
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	14	$250	317	86	+231	open	—	08-01 02:49
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	19	$247	291	291	+0	open	—	07-20 10:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	31	$247	416	416	+0	open	—	06-11 01:00
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$241	228	137	+91	open	—	02-06 20:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	49	$229	1,118	1,158	-40	open	—	04-17 19:41
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	19	$206	200	241	-41	open	—	01-04 15:40
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	7	$204	100	362	-262	open	—	07-04 16:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	18	$201	170	160	+10	open	—	03-30 15:34
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	13	$198	110	110	+0	open	—	03-26 22:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 21:20:42	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3a2184…
08-11 20:01:15	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xa03d0a…
08-11 19:55:30	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x454b48…
08-11 19:40:28	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xc5062b…
08-11 19:27:03	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbcc1b9…
08-11 16:22:42	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xfbf999…
08-11 14:58:46	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x12b266…
08-11 14:10:33	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	78	46¢	$36	0xda24e3…
08-11 13:50:31	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x5cde81…
08-11 13:22:36	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xb60f7d…
08-11 13:13:04	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0xfe5ccd…
08-11 13:09:07	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x255791…
08-11 13:09:03	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	28	68¢	$19	0x37a83b…
08-11 12:42:18	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xc70d30…
08-11 11:39:54	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	80	7¢	$6	0xac4f19…
08-11 11:38:51	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x1f9730…
08-10 19:38:55	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	57	66¢	$38	0x0fe69e…
08-10 19:37:03	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0x5d5fe9…
08-10 19:01:13	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x17b9c4…
08-10 18:51:28	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x7bdc28…
08-10 18:23:58	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9ea466…
08-10 16:26:12	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5be9bd…
08-10 02:46:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xad912f…
08-09 21:06:16	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xcf52cb…
08-09 15:58:43	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5b8402…
08-06 00:58:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	190	96¢	$182	0xbed357…
08-05 17:28:47	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5eb6fb…
08-05 00:01:27	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x71866d…
08-04 23:28:57	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	28	76¢	$21	0xb5d92c…
08-04 23:22:35	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x158468…
08-04 23:14:45	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0e581d…
08-04 23:02:00	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	89	76¢	$68	0x081e1f…
08-04 17:12:39	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	154	75¢	$116	0x9b0974…
08-04 16:42:00	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x2c7376…
08-04 15:45:38	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x5ac9fd…
08-04 15:44:21	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x9413e3…
08-04 13:55:30	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	71	72¢	$51	0xdd4eac…
08-04 13:43:23	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x214e6b…
08-04 13:25:20	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$6	0xc76e71…
08-03 19:01:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xe8545e…
08-03 18:58:45	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc3308c…
08-03 18:57:53	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe6c240…
08-03 18:39:35	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0xf5649d…
08-03 13:40:32	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x42529e…
08-03 04:45:06	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0xb9de84…
08-03 04:23:24	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa352d1…
08-02 21:55:36	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x191214…
08-02 17:16:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x4fbcd5…
08-02 14:05:12	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xcb252d…
08-02 14:01:53	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3fb02c…
08-02 03:33:23	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3d4a9e…
08-02 02:15:53	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x53730b…
08-02 02:11:53	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x8fac0b…
08-01 22:50:39	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x342752…
08-01 22:01:11	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x3ce061…
08-01 22:00:36	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0d805c…
08-01 21:59:23	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x48240b…
08-01 19:46:36	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xffe4bd…
08-01 17:21:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd86b13…
08-01 14:55:51	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xe1a3f5…
08-01 14:35:05	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xc11fe7…
08-01 04:00:06	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x00637d…
08-01 02:49:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x06d5ab…
07-31 06:47:08	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xeb5131…
07-31 01:06:09	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe1fe48…
07-31 01:00:26	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x155c0e…
07-30 21:05:56	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x4b2e97…
07-30 14:41:51	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xebf7ae…
07-28 23:13:14	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x1a0173…
07-28 23:05:11	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x6da12e…
07-28 22:59:23	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xac9222…
07-28 20:52:53	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x2121d7…
07-28 19:43:22	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x5186fb…
07-28 18:48:40	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xa0834f…
07-28 16:59:28	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x79db9a…
07-28 15:43:17	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xe991bd…
07-28 13:49:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x767401…
07-28 13:03:44	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x076948…
07-27 23:17:24	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	147	29¢	$43	0x767a39…
07-27 20:02:13	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x6ee02d…
07-27 18:53:04	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x25dfd9…
07-27 18:41:12	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x4cd5d9…
07-27 16:51:46	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	41	42¢	$17	0x13b5e2…
07-27 16:50:48	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x4b2123…
07-27 16:33:13	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xc2e28f…
07-27 15:35:36	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x94cc47…
07-27 15:17:36	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x6226f3…
07-27 15:03:04	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x81c43c…
07-27 14:43:21	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x361ff9…
07-26 21:30:31	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x3d29ba…
07-26 16:50:06	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xd534f8…
07-26 16:46:00	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x2854f1…
07-26 16:32:01	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0xadbd83…
07-26 16:31:37	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0x882c2d…
07-26 16:30:54	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x5aed8a…
07-26 16:29:54	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0xf2ed8f…
07-26 16:25:01	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0x27411e…
07-26 16:24:30	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0x1600ea…
07-26 16:13:31	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x0c70fa…
07-26 16:12:18	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0xbceab3…