Mad-Flag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-22 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-1

Sports

23% — —

Crypto

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$472	237	237	+0	open	—	04-06 23:24
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$380	191	191	+0	open	—	04-02 16:18
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$356	178	178	+0	No	$-0	04-06 18:37
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	4	$352	176	176	+0	open	—	03-15 09:16
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$340	170	170	+0	No	$-0	04-14 16:27
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$334	167	167	+0	No	$-0	04-01 01:28
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$328	164	164	+0	open	—	03-29 05:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	04-05 08:54
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	04-17 01:41
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$188	94	94	+0	open	—	03-13 05:50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$188	94	94	+0	open	—	03-30 11:00
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$186	93	93	+0	open	—	03-16 23:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	2	$186	93	93	+0	open	—	04-22 06:48
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	04-17 15:33
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	03-30 02:30
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$154	77	77	+0	No	$-0	04-12 12:28
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-19 15:20
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	03-04 14:26
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$104	52	52	+0	open	—	02-13 09:04
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	02-27 13:17
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	03-01 04:17
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	03-01 22:56
nba lac mem 2026 03 07	1	$36	51	0	+51	open	—	03-07 15:03
nba was orl 2026 03 03	1	$34	38	0	+38	open	—	03-03 14:48
nba ind por 2026 03 08	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	03-09 00:07
nba det cle 2026 03 03	1	$15	35	0	+35	open	—	03-03 14:50
nba sas tor 2026 02 25	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	02-25 14:32
nba uta phi 2026 03 04	1	$10	41	0	+41	open	—	03-04 21:35
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-05 13:09
nba sac hou 2026 02 25	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	02-25 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 06:48:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x9dd2c6…
04-22 02:03:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x461c49…
04-17 15:33:44	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x0c1fe3…
04-17 12:26:42	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd76a36…
04-17 01:41:20	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x87f619…
04-16 22:03:16	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xbed4d4…
04-14 16:27:21	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xd8f11c…
04-14 13:47:47	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x5da3bb…
04-12 12:28:01	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x0a14fb…
04-12 10:37:43	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x1ed6a8…
04-10 15:24:07	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x58efbd…
04-10 10:45:33	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x3e6ce1…
04-06 23:24:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xa7c0ec…
04-06 18:37:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xe52540…
04-06 18:37:13	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xc0d434…
04-06 14:52:01	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xd440e2…
04-05 08:54:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xec059c…
04-05 07:04:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x23708a…
04-04 07:15:49	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x7f8b57…
04-04 00:26:49	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x378301…
04-04 00:26:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xddf015…
04-03 23:25:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x74a8d8…
04-02 16:18:09	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xa30e4b…
04-02 06:34:01	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x85567a…
04-01 15:09:15	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x17607f…
04-01 10:48:45	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x432486…
04-01 01:28:49	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xce1129…
03-31 21:12:53	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x4f10e6…
03-31 07:47:27	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x603327…
03-30 11:00:30	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xd7cccc…
03-30 06:47:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x5aef60…
03-30 02:30:52	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x0018bd…
03-29 22:20:18	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xed6077…
03-29 05:22:02	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x33a2b6…
03-29 00:16:12	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x5d8da0…
03-28 20:01:08	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xbcd52e…
03-28 14:56:01	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xb51b7b…
03-28 11:18:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x67908d…
03-28 07:09:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9ff19e…
03-19 15:20:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x08bd5d…
03-19 09:02:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xa11ce8…
03-16 23:31:41	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x0c0d65…
03-16 17:03:37	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x38b431…
03-15 09:16:07	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x200617…
03-15 02:56:53	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x3eeedf…
03-13 19:42:17	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x5c12cc…
03-13 12:18:27	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x91d568…
03-13 05:50:13	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xa9a774…
03-12 16:32:53	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x6a019c…
03-11 20:00:09	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x7d6036…
03-11 13:44:27	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x6ac833…
03-09 00:07:53	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xc8624f…
03-07 15:03:15	nba lac mem 2026 03 07	Clippers	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0x089c5f…
03-07 15:02:43	nba bkn det 2026 03 07	Nets	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x8f1411…
03-05 13:09:23	Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcad04c…
03-04 21:35:37	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	Jazz	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xa0898e…
03-04 14:26:59	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x2e823c…
03-04 07:24:55	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x5a138c…
03-03 14:50:05	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0x5c4de1…
03-03 14:49:21	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x03da26…
03-03 14:48:51	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x52a0f8…
03-01 22:56:27	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xddd5d3…
03-01 16:18:39	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x68a1c8…
03-01 04:17:21	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xfea940…
02-28 03:55:01	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x17d01f…
02-27 13:17:15	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6b08c3…
02-27 06:41:38	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x47b70f…
02-25 14:33:10	nba sac hou 2026 02 25	Rockets	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x65c9fc…
02-25 14:32:44	nba cle mil 2026 02 25	Cavaliers	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xdbcfc7…
02-25 14:32:16	nba sas tor 2026 02 25	Spurs	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3d333f…
02-21 08:33:40	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa5b016…
02-13 09:04:31	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xb7886c…
02-13 01:40:43	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x798a19…
02-09 11:39:21	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2274fc…