Conscious-Underweight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$781

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 04-29 07:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-0

Crypto

23% — —

Sports

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	04-29 07:43
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	$-0	04-01 04:37
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	03-18 21:38
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$46	23	23	+0	No	$-0	04-01 17:07
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-07 14:15
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 18:23
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-26 00:03
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	03-26 12:09
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	03-24 10:27
nba mil phx 2026 03 21	1	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	03-21 23:00
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-06 06:56
nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	1	$18	38	0	+38	open	—	03-23 18:07
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-15 18:32
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	$-0	04-05 15:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-03 10:43
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-12 23:27
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-14 10:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-05 19:46
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-12 04:17
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-17 15:21
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-05 15:23
nba dal tor 2026 03 08	1	$11	52	0	+52	open	—	03-08 20:29
will ethereum reach 2500 march 9 15	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-14 18:56
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 15:46
nba orl lal 2026 02 24	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	02-24 22:17
nba tor uta 2026 03 23	1	$7	43	0	+43	open	—	03-23 18:06
nba cle uta 2026 03 30	1	$4	50	0	+50	open	—	03-30 23:48
nba mem atl 2026 03 23	1	$4	32	0	+32	open	—	03-23 18:06
nba hou mem 2026 03 27	1	$4	32	0	+32	open	—	03-27 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 07:43:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xe9ae95…
04-22 18:20:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x97a3c8…
04-17 15:21:52	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe57c0f…
04-17 09:04:12	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x03f3ca…
04-15 18:32:36	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdb14ba…
04-15 13:06:26	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x835cce…
04-14 10:43:09	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2369f3…
04-14 03:42:21	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3e999…
04-12 23:27:11	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x735dc7…
04-12 17:21:25	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbeccf1…
04-12 04:17:09	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb0efa5…
04-12 02:17:53	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x144587…
04-07 14:15:05	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7ee03b…
04-07 07:00:09	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd66f1c…
04-06 18:23:37	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x39597a…
04-06 12:27:23	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2b2d1e…
04-06 10:19:53	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2128c3…
04-06 06:56:33	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3fbfe9…
04-06 06:56:17	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x93154c…
04-06 03:53:21	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41e2fb…
04-05 19:46:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfb37c6…
04-05 15:52:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x99fca2…
04-05 15:51:51	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4c461f…
04-05 12:53:51	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x474f18…
04-03 10:43:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0a7820…
04-03 07:29:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ea4f1…
04-01 17:07:47	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x65efbc…
04-01 13:04:35	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb12dcc…
04-01 04:37:57	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdb7f10…
04-01 00:34:13	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2338b6…
03-30 23:48:31	nba cle uta 2026 03 30	Jazz	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x7518f9…
03-30 14:48:47	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x74ea7d…
03-30 10:44:46	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7a3d28…
03-27 22:29:49	nba hou mem 2026 03 27	Grizzlies	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0xf1c098…
03-26 12:09:59	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe10322…
03-26 06:44:17	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2c2394…
03-26 00:03:21	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4059a7…
03-25 13:41:13	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x05712c…
03-25 08:26:53	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xadc59f…
03-25 03:09:53	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdc3824…
03-24 15:46:21	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4c3e33…
03-24 10:27:05	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb11002…
03-24 04:59:57	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x184b13…
03-23 18:07:13	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Mavericks	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xdaca40…
03-23 18:06:45	nba mem atl 2026 03 23	Grizzlies	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0xfebe15…
03-23 18:06:13	nba tor uta 2026 03 23	Jazz	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0xd5cd5a…
03-23 16:22:23	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xd2614d…
03-23 11:08:19	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x139f79…
03-23 05:52:03	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x4e18f6…
03-21 23:00:07	nba mil phx 2026 03 21	Suns	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0x86835e…
03-18 21:38:37	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x78a873…
03-17 07:07:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x656383…
03-14 18:56:07	will ethereum reach 2500 march 9 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf7f3de…
03-08 20:29:51	nba dal tor 2026 03 08	Mavericks	BUY	52	22¢	$11	0x0c13c5…
03-05 15:23:27	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb24834…
02-24 22:17:58	nba orl lal 2026 02 24	Lakers	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x348870…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	22	$1.24K	2,076	04-27 02:25
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	18	$52.1K	694	03-31 03:11
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	17	$491.3K	22,914	04-21 23:40
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	16	$2.49M	30,967	04-28 09:31
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	16	$435.1K	26,863	04-08 23:14
Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797	16	$285.3K	877	04-27 08:21
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	16	$193.5K	2,916	04-26 11:22
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	16	$46.9K	1,222	04-28 00:37