Royal-Cufflink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$887

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

343

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-13 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 57% +$887

Politics

8% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	6	$828	751	551	+200	Up	+$208	05-05 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$703	440	440	+0	Down	+$103	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	8	$596	368	368	+0	Up	+$96	05-06 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	7	$596	378	378	+0	Up	+$134	05-05 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$557	565	565	+0	Up	+$197	05-05 13:44
Iran leadership change by March 13?	11	$498	3,914	3,914	+0	open	—	03-13 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$407	212	212	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	8	$386	296	148	+148	Down	+$34	05-05 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	10	$373	224	224	+0	Up	+$51	05-06 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	10	$364	239	239	+0	Down	+$24	05-06 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$337	216	216	+0	Up	+$77	05-05 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	8	$320	225	225	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$313	219	219	+0	Down	+$121	05-06 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$303	210	210	+0	Up	+$101	05-05 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$300	507	0	+507	Up	$-300	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$297	425	0	+425	Down	+$128	05-05 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$290	454	0	+454	Up	+$164	05-05 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$235	126	126	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 10:53
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$226	341	341	+0	open	—	03-09 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$221	268	0	+268	Down	+$3	05-05 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$220	445	0	+445	Down	$-220	05-05 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$215	296	4	+292	Down	+$80	05-05 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	9	$192	280	119	+161	Up	$-8	05-06 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$140	478	0	+478	Up	+$338	05-05 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$119	142	30	+112	Down	+$9	05-06 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$118	259	129	+129	Down	$-82	05-06 13:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$105	232	5	+227	open	—	04-29 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$104	1,329	0	+1,329	Up	$-104	05-05 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	9	$92	97	97	+0	Up	$-9	05-06 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$68	136	68	+68	Down	$-63	05-06 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfb4112…
05-13 09:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7fe3f8…
05-13 09:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfa33c1…
05-13 09:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8ab8a5…
05-13 09:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x472ad0…
05-13 09:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x71c020…
05-13 09:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x833108…
05-13 09:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeef0c6…
05-13 09:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0xf9983c…
05-13 09:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb74b97…
05-13 09:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8748b3…
05-13 09:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2b6e2b…
05-13 09:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf48dd0…
05-07 08:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xc173b9…
05-07 08:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb96734…
05-07 08:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd6ea99…
05-07 08:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6af98f…
05-07 08:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x50cdf1…
05-07 08:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7f9856…
05-07 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfcef2e…
05-07 08:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x813668…
05-07 08:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0xc8a54a…
05-07 08:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdd172c…
05-07 08:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x9cad5a…
05-07 08:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x359542…
05-07 06:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x74dee9…
05-07 06:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x68c131…
05-07 06:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x548bb3…
05-07 06:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xab866e…
05-07 06:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7a0141…
05-07 06:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	212	98¢	$207	0x12a82c…
05-07 06:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x100f52…
05-07 06:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xdc88fe…
05-06 13:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x76cdb0…
05-06 13:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x9281e9…
05-06 13:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xba3ded…
05-06 13:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2c0ade…
05-06 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x887726…
05-06 13:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x1c83d4…
05-06 13:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	129	14¢	$18	0x08699c…
05-06 13:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x119e02…
05-06 12:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	295	3¢	$10	0x39ddde…
05-06 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x7794ea…
05-06 12:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9dfadc…
05-06 12:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc1ace4…
05-06 12:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1da02e…
05-06 12:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	219	99¢	$217	0x96c2a3…
05-06 12:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x86955c…
05-06 12:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	127	44¢	$56	0x5ba5ce…
05-06 12:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf9c2ab…
05-06 12:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x95f5c7…
05-06 12:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1c8dc8…
05-06 12:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x3d899f…
05-06 12:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xfe73d3…
05-06 12:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7dbed2…
05-06 12:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	119	78¢	$92	0x3ce6f9…
05-06 12:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x32f2ef…
05-06 12:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x878cd9…
05-06 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x0cdfb5…
05-06 12:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xcbe76c…
05-06 12:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd326b9…
05-06 12:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x6a0203…
05-06 12:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xeab36c…
05-06 12:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5a8f3f…
05-06 12:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0xe8e735…
05-06 12:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa3e66b…
05-06 12:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	34	20¢	$7	0x461d91…
05-06 12:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x6f3dc8…
05-06 12:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6d1b17…
05-06 12:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe3fa0e…
05-06 12:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x0d516d…
05-06 12:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3e87d9…
05-06 12:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x744dcc…
05-06 12:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x422a80…
05-06 12:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x8c355c…
05-06 12:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$11	0x8e58d5…
05-06 11:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x55efeb…
05-06 11:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x86966a…
05-06 11:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x5fd977…
05-06 11:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x688f46…
05-06 11:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7e09f8…
05-06 11:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0xba52a2…
05-06 11:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	112	90¢	$101	0xab174a…
05-06 11:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x315a27…
05-06 11:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2c7fbd…
05-06 11:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4c8740…
05-06 11:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x168a51…
05-06 11:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd7c3f3…
05-06 11:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4fd089…
05-06 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6f41e3…
05-06 11:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	218	85¢	$185	0xbf54fa…
05-06 11:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xadf073…
05-06 11:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x36b1c2…
05-06 11:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa2bab6…
05-06 11:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x76c9de…
05-06 11:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x93cad1…
05-06 11:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x937c0e…
05-06 11:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x37d7dc…
05-06 11:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x4714d2…
05-06 11:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9e610b…