Revolving-Manufacturing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$765

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-24 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 59% $-3

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776018600	5	$28	50	31	+19	open	—	04-12 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$26	18	17	+0	open	—	04-26 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	05-26 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	5	$21	30	21	+9	open	—	04-26 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$21	16	15	+0	open	—	04-26 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-23 13:10
btc updown 5m 1776017700	4	$17	32	30	+2	open	—	04-12 18:18
btc updown 5m 1776019500	5	$17	15	15	+1	open	—	04-12 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	04-26 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$14	16	16	+1	open	—	04-26 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 11:54
btc updown 5m 1777038900	3	$13	19	9	+10	open	—	04-24 13:59
btc updown 15m 1781557200	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-15 21:12
btc updown 5m 1776018000	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	04-12 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-26 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	05-23 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$12	16	15	+1	open	—	04-26 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-26 09:32
btc updown 5m 1776018300	6	$10	15	10	+5	open	—	04-12 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$10	10	9	+0	open	—	04-25 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 12:06
btc updown 5m 1777037400	2	$9	8	7	+0	open	—	04-24 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$9	10	10	+0	Down	$-3	05-07 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-23 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	04-26 15:48
btc updown 5m 1776016500	6	$8	12	12	+1	open	—	04-12 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 20:01:58	btc updown 15m 1782331200	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd01d75…
06-22 17:48:04	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xed8ec5…
06-22 17:43:10	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xaae9e6…
06-22 17:32:31	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x8350c1…
06-22 15:28:58	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xbe3ae8…
06-17 22:16:07	btc updown 15m 1781734500	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x8045a9…
06-17 22:08:47	btc updown 15m 1781733600	Up	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x0f97c2…
06-17 22:01:32	btc updown 15m 1781733600	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6ba9cd…
06-17 21:41:17	btc updown 15m 1781731800	Down	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0xebb74f…
06-17 21:39:41	btc updown 15m 1781731800	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x51bc5f…
06-17 18:16:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x84bd47…
06-15 21:12:12	btc updown 15m 1781557200	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x56af6f…
06-15 21:08:13	btc updown 15m 1781557200	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x6e5f63…
06-15 21:03:18	btc updown 15m 1781557200	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe46030…
06-15 21:01:40	btc updown 15m 1781557200	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd32ace…
06-15 12:55:24	btc updown 5m 1781528100	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x18b767…
06-11 09:30:33	btc updown 15m 1781170200	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x00b106…
06-11 09:16:45	btc updown 15m 1781169300	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbe1c33…
05-27 09:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6a9bfd…
05-27 09:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1316cb…
05-27 09:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x34a8cb…
05-27 09:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb0d338…
05-26 15:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x2b1e6e…
05-26 15:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x39f9ae…
05-26 15:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xf67633…
05-26 15:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xfc06e7…
05-26 15:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xe07898…
05-26 15:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x4ccc95…
05-26 15:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x123215…
05-26 15:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xba7f81…
05-26 15:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xb55582…
05-26 15:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb70947…
05-26 15:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x12a8ce…
05-26 14:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbbc9ff…
05-26 14:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x288a95…
05-26 14:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x621261…
05-26 14:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x048bef…
05-26 14:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xaacfe6…
05-26 14:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xd6ce06…
05-26 14:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xa85e43…
05-26 14:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x1710f0…
05-26 14:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd835b6…
05-26 14:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xd7f696…
05-26 14:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6f39b2…
05-23 13:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xe54c13…
05-23 13:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x123e03…
05-23 13:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xba2074…
05-23 13:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbf1beb…
05-23 13:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x23de65…
05-23 13:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8af98b…
05-23 13:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xe0f36a…
05-23 13:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xab189c…
05-23 13:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2dd40e…
05-23 13:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6afd17…
05-23 13:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xd7ae0f…
05-23 13:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5db36b…
05-23 13:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x08fa64…
05-23 12:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa2a5ed…
05-23 12:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xa1e3c0…
05-23 12:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5c3ce4…
05-23 12:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xd7d263…
05-15 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xea59ff…
05-15 15:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x316ddf…
05-11 08:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x3d5abd…
05-11 08:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xc74937…
05-11 08:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3072fa…
05-11 08:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xd40559…
05-11 08:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9ca4d1…
05-11 08:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5c0c7d…
05-07 12:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf9836d…
05-07 12:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x4a3733…
05-07 12:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x424ef3…
05-07 12:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xb02bc8…
05-07 12:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9e86e7…
05-07 12:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x124ebe…
05-07 12:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x50fad6…
05-07 12:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xfb18f5…
05-07 12:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3fe87a…
05-07 12:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xca5d4f…
05-07 12:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe33cb8…
05-07 12:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x0b96bc…
05-07 12:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9b9264…
05-07 12:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x889e0b…
05-07 12:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x723425…
05-07 12:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x346754…
05-07 12:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x129c6d…
05-07 12:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2f4a1e…
05-07 12:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xf82014…
05-07 12:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7ee71a…
05-07 12:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xb82856…
05-07 12:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xa0afa5…
05-07 12:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xc4a2e7…
05-07 12:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1543fd…
05-07 11:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x151114…
05-07 11:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xe340ca…
05-07 11:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x50a26f…
05-07 11:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x1cd962…
05-07 11:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa4a224…
05-07 11:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc7b57e…
04-26 15:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x988367…