Pungent-Fate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$570

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-06 09:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% $-13

Sports

5% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$50	90	0	+90	Up	+$40	05-09 20:57
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	06-06 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$30	105	0	+105	open	—	05-16 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	05-16 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Down	$-25	05-09 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$25	41	0	+41	Up	+$16	05-09 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	Down	$-25	05-09 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$25	74	0	+74	Down	$-25	05-09 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	05-15 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	$-25	05-09 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$17	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	05-06 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$14	30	0	+30	Down	+$16	05-06 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$14	21	9	+12	Up	$-5	05-06 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$11	15	0	+15	Up	+$4	05-06 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	Up	$-10	05-06 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	05-08 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$10	65	0	+65	Up	$-10	05-06 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-10	05-06 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$8	18	0	+18	Down	$-8	05-07 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$6	13	0	+13	Up	+$7	05-06 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-06 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	+$11	05-07 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-06 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$8	05-06 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	$-5	05-08 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-16 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-06 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-06 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-07 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 09:42:34	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x8ef123…
05-19 18:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x379199…
05-16 21:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x9e26fe…
05-16 21:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0d0d9e…
05-16 21:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf021b4…
05-16 08:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcdd637…
05-16 08:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa82503…
05-16 08:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x247a55…
05-15 23:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x704bce…
05-10 23:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcf997c…
05-09 21:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xc54b13…
05-09 21:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x051052…
05-09 21:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xaeb2fb…
05-09 21:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x10703e…
05-09 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xfb5d16…
05-09 20:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x78b178…
05-09 20:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xb96b95…
05-09 20:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb5c05e…
05-09 08:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x247115…
05-08 22:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x991110…
05-08 22:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8d762b…
05-08 22:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x32b5a3…
05-08 22:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x35af6c…
05-08 06:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1f06fa…
05-08 06:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x338f3b…
05-08 06:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa365c8…
05-08 06:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8ef632…
05-08 06:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x10645d…
05-07 08:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7332a5…
05-07 08:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x890b34…
05-07 08:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9ebfce…
05-07 04:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcd4b09…
05-06 23:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0906f2…
05-06 14:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfd0c91…
05-06 14:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3a51c1…
05-06 14:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbdd5bb…
05-06 11:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2538e5…
05-06 10:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xaae4bf…
05-06 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x205064…
05-06 10:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x594b17…
05-06 10:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x622807…
05-06 10:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe9929c…
05-06 10:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xd13efb…
05-06 10:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4882af…
05-06 10:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe66ec3…
05-06 10:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb01e99…
05-06 10:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0xad957e…
05-06 10:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaebf50…
05-06 10:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xefe1c0…
05-06 10:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x25d9b7…
05-06 10:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xc42093…
05-06 10:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x745f99…
05-06 09:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x37aaf7…
05-06 09:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5c94ef…
05-06 09:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf89096…
05-06 09:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcf8433…
05-06 09:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x294421…
05-06 09:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc724df…
05-06 08:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb271b2…
05-06 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x85d19c…
05-06 08:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x52346e…
05-06 08:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x6b4dec…
05-06 08:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x904701…
05-06 08:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x812d86…
05-06 08:31:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdd5617…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	53	$53.6K	2,073	05-19 18:45
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	52	$46.1K	6,152	05-19 18:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	52	$13.8K	4,027	05-19 18:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	52	$12.4K	3,718	05-19 18:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	52	$11.5K	2,092	05-19 18:44
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	52	$10.7K	506	05-19 18:44
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	52	$10.3K	1,843	05-19 18:43
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	52	$9.31K	1,759	05-19 18:44