Cautious-Opportunist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,491

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-30 16:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 49% +$48

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774311300	4	$544	345	342	+3	open	—	03-24 00:29
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3pm et	5	$347	213	184	+30	open	—	03-19 19:38
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8pm et	5	$282	197	190	+8	open	—	03-23 00:27
eth updown 5m 1774263600	2	$255	144	144	+1	open	—	03-23 11:04
btc updown 5m 1774212300	3	$229	180	157	+23	open	—	03-22 20:47
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 11am et	12	$228	225	206	+19	open	—	03-18 15:23
btc updown 15m 1773935100	8	$218	215	211	+3	open	—	03-19 15:48
eth updown 5m 1774263000	2	$208	126	125	+1	open	—	03-23 10:51
eth updown 5m 1774261500	2	$166	113	112	+2	open	—	03-23 10:29
btc updown 5m 1774363800	1	$150	213	0	+213	open	—	03-24 14:50
btc updown 5m 1773272400	3	$148	75	75	+0	open	—	03-11 23:45
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 9am et	12	$142	121	129	-8	open	—	03-18 13:36
btc updown 15m 1773934200	10	$131	162	161	+1	open	—	03-19 15:41
eth updown 5m 1774263900	1	$131	141	0	+141	open	—	03-23 11:05
btc updown 15m 1773845100	10	$126	109	108	+1	open	—	03-18 14:58
btc updown 5m 1773268800	2	$125	79	78	+1	open	—	03-11 22:45
btc updown 15m 1774132200	2	$114	62	62	+0	open	—	03-21 22:36
btc updown 15m 1774130400	3	$114	88	70	+18	open	—	03-21 22:06
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 5pm et	11	$107	102	100	+1	open	—	03-18 21:31
btc updown 5m 1773313200	3	$106	315	314	+1	open	—	03-12 11:04
btc updown 5m 1774131300	2	$104	61	60	+1	open	—	03-21 22:20
btc updown 5m 1773844500	5	$103	96	77	+19	open	—	03-18 14:39
btc updown 5m 1773358500	1	$99	179	0	+179	open	—	03-12 23:39
btc updown 5m 1774310700	7	$98	72	71	+1	open	—	03-24 00:09
btc updown 5m 1773846300	5	$89	93	49	+44	open	—	03-18 15:07
btc updown 5m 1773935400	4	$89	105	104	+1	open	—	03-19 15:53
btc updown 5m 1773871800	6	$87	72	60	+12	open	—	03-18 22:14
btc updown 5m 1773273600	1	$86	530	0	+530	open	—	03-12 00:05
btc updown 15m 1774366200	5	$86	99	98	+1	open	—	03-24 15:44
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 6pm et	4	$85	55	55	+1	open	—	03-18 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 16:15:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x76bbfa…
05-30 16:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xde0a5f…
05-30 16:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x656b98…
05-30 16:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa9a948…
05-30 16:05:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdc5c8f…
05-30 16:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xab8803…
05-30 16:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x20ff0a…
05-30 16:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9479f1…
05-30 16:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x610b9c…
05-30 16:00:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3d3c6f…
05-30 15:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd43577…
05-30 15:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xac05cd…
05-30 15:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x45ac0b…
05-30 15:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc9ff02…
05-30 15:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa95dba…
05-30 15:52:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x05307b…
05-30 15:52:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x3a4057…
05-30 15:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x15a1a7…
05-30 15:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdbe301…
05-30 15:45:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9b071f…
05-30 15:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8a62dd…
05-30 15:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7f2282…
05-30 15:42:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xf3fc1b…
05-30 15:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9a0b93…
05-30 15:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8de5de…
05-29 10:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xab1243…
05-29 10:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf20785…
05-29 10:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x79ec02…
05-29 10:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x822f91…
05-29 10:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbc2b64…
05-29 10:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xebec18…
05-29 10:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd02c04…
05-29 10:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x410d39…
05-29 10:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5bb32c…
05-29 09:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x98cd00…
05-29 09:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$11	0x2f35fe…
05-29 09:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9c2075…
05-24 14:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc82245…
05-24 14:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0xf08c0a…
05-24 14:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xee8fb1…
05-24 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9ce59b…
05-24 14:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7c8087…
05-24 13:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0b81c0…
05-24 13:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x7917e2…
05-24 13:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x30a19a…
05-24 13:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x862973…
05-24 13:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x06b574…
05-24 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xac6009…
05-24 13:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xa0ac14…
05-24 13:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd0db92…
05-24 13:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x91520d…
05-24 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf5310c…
05-24 13:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xffca78…
05-24 13:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0147dc…
05-24 13:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$5	0x60e157…
05-24 13:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x18232b…
05-24 13:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x476f8e…
05-24 13:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x67c046…
05-24 13:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd847f6…
05-24 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x412f4b…
05-24 13:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xaad6b3…
05-24 13:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe2d55c…
05-24 13:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2ea543…
05-24 13:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xc62df2…
05-24 13:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x5a1ac0…
05-23 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1462bc…
05-23 21:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5b86b8…
05-23 21:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xc49931…
05-23 21:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x380558…
05-23 21:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5cc8dd…
05-23 21:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf0fdb1…
05-23 21:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x4d3dda…
05-23 21:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2fefa3…
05-23 21:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0x99be67…
05-23 21:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x849f73…
05-23 21:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x798a7a…
05-23 21:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x112499…
05-23 21:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x1e6ae8…
05-23 21:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x0afd9e…
05-23 21:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x7706d1…
05-23 21:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x63140d…
05-23 21:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x52ce3e…
05-23 21:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8dda60…
05-23 21:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb470f6…
05-23 21:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xdd6932…
05-23 12:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x53bb90…
05-23 12:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x5cf5e8…
05-23 12:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb7d54a…
05-23 12:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa57cf4…
05-23 11:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0xf5c973…
05-23 11:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xed3d29…
05-23 11:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x70923f…
05-23 11:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x3e0da3…
05-23 11:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xed780a…
05-23 11:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3e6e8c…
05-23 11:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xbc367c…
05-23 11:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x25e321…
05-23 11:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x94cccc…
05-23 11:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5ab538…
05-23 11:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4e8f5e…