Cautious-Opportunist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,533

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 08-03 22:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 49% +$48

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774311300	4	$544	345	342	+3	open	—	03-24 00:29
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3pm et	5	$347	213	184	+30	open	—	03-19 19:38
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8pm et	5	$282	197	190	+8	open	—	03-23 00:27
eth updown 5m 1774263600	2	$255	144	144	+1	open	—	03-23 11:04
btc updown 5m 1774212300	3	$229	180	157	+23	open	—	03-22 20:47
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 11am et	12	$228	225	206	+19	open	—	03-18 15:23
btc updown 15m 1773935100	8	$218	215	211	+3	open	—	03-19 15:48
eth updown 5m 1774263000	2	$208	126	125	+1	open	—	03-23 10:51
eth updown 5m 1774261500	2	$166	113	112	+2	open	—	03-23 10:29
btc updown 5m 1774363800	1	$150	213	0	+213	open	—	03-24 14:50
btc updown 5m 1773272400	3	$148	75	75	+0	open	—	03-11 23:45
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 9am et	12	$142	121	129	-8	open	—	03-18 13:36
btc updown 15m 1773934200	10	$131	162	161	+1	open	—	03-19 15:41
eth updown 5m 1774263900	1	$131	141	0	+141	open	—	03-23 11:05
btc updown 15m 1773845100	10	$126	109	108	+1	open	—	03-18 14:58
btc updown 5m 1773268800	2	$125	79	78	+1	open	—	03-11 22:45
btc updown 15m 1774132200	2	$114	62	62	+0	open	—	03-21 22:36
btc updown 15m 1774130400	3	$114	88	70	+18	open	—	03-21 22:06
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 5pm et	11	$107	102	100	+1	open	—	03-18 21:31
btc updown 5m 1773313200	3	$106	315	314	+1	open	—	03-12 11:04
btc updown 5m 1774131300	2	$104	61	60	+1	open	—	03-21 22:20
btc updown 5m 1773844500	5	$103	96	77	+19	open	—	03-18 14:39
btc updown 5m 1773358500	1	$99	179	0	+179	open	—	03-12 23:39
btc updown 5m 1774310700	7	$98	72	71	+1	open	—	03-24 00:09
btc updown 5m 1773846300	5	$89	93	49	+44	open	—	03-18 15:07
btc updown 5m 1773935400	4	$89	105	104	+1	open	—	03-19 15:53
btc updown 5m 1773871800	6	$87	72	60	+12	open	—	03-18 22:14
btc updown 5m 1773273600	1	$86	530	0	+530	open	—	03-12 00:05
btc updown 15m 1774366200	5	$86	99	98	+1	open	—	03-24 15:44
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 6pm et	4	$85	55	55	+1	open	—	03-18 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 22:49:02	bitcoin up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x4c5050…
08-03 22:43:00	btc updown 5m 1785796800	Down	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x87a080…
08-03 22:42:26	btc updown 5m 1785796800	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xab81c0…
08-03 22:42:18	btc updown 5m 1785796800	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0002ae…
08-03 22:39:24	btc updown 5m 1785796500	Down	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xd33c6e…
08-03 22:37:53	btc updown 5m 1785796500	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcb375a…
08-03 22:37:26	btc updown 5m 1785796500	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x73b6ba…
08-03 22:37:18	btc updown 5m 1785796500	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf56ca4…
08-03 22:36:57	btc updown 5m 1785796500	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7be517…
08-03 22:36:47	btc updown 5m 1785796500	Down	SELL	16	47¢	$7	0x5a5b76…
08-03 22:35:57	btc updown 5m 1785796500	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2befb0…
08-03 22:35:29	btc updown 5m 1785796500	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x54fd38…
08-03 22:34:26	btc updown 5m 1785796200	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd67b02…
08-03 22:31:05	btc updown 5m 1785796200	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x37d158…
08-03 22:30:42	btc updown 5m 1785796200	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xa36cb1…
08-03 22:30:30	btc updown 5m 1785796200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf3743e…
08-03 22:30:21	btc updown 5m 1785796200	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa57531…
08-03 22:29:18	btc updown 5m 1785795900	Down	SELL	16	89¢	$15	0xaa27ae…
08-03 22:27:39	btc updown 5m 1785795900	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc27d19…
08-03 22:25:23	btc updown 5m 1785795900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9cd082…
08-03 22:20:24	btc updown 5m 1785795600	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xdfed4f…
08-03 22:15:27	btc updown 5m 1785795300	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5b5db1…
08-03 22:10:54	btc updown 5m 1785795000	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x842bf2…
08-03 22:10:30	btc updown 5m 1785795000	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0ee0a1…
08-03 22:10:03	btc updown 5m 1785794700	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x04d5a1…
08-03 22:07:33	btc updown 5m 1785794700	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdd71f7…
08-03 22:06:29	btc updown 5m 1785794700	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x251e06…
08-03 22:05:38	btc updown 5m 1785794700	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3424b9…
08-03 22:02:39	btc updown 5m 1785794400	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0xda6187…
08-03 22:00:32	btc updown 5m 1785794400	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdd0040…
08-03 21:55:26	btc updown 5m 1785794100	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x844845…
08-03 21:54:27	btc updown 5m 1785793800	Down	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x5c9d4f…
08-03 21:50:36	btc updown 5m 1785793800	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf93660…
08-03 21:49:39	btc updown 5m 1785793500	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcc80a3…
08-03 21:49:26	btc updown 5m 1785793500	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xb16eb1…
08-03 21:48:51	btc updown 5m 1785793500	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xed26d6…
08-03 21:47:42	btc updown 5m 1785793500	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0d2620…
08-03 14:04:33	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x69774e…
08-03 14:00:20	btc updown 5m 1785765600	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcf6983…
08-03 13:57:51	btc updown 5m 1785765300	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x33c799…
08-03 13:56:33	btc updown 5m 1785765300	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8833a2…
08-03 13:53:09	btc updown 5m 1785765000	Down	BUY	123	4¢	$5	0x3c6a1f…
05-30 16:15:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x76bbfa…
05-30 16:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xde0a5f…
05-30 16:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x656b98…
05-30 16:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa9a948…
05-30 16:05:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdc5c8f…
05-30 16:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xab8803…
05-30 16:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x20ff0a…
05-30 16:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9479f1…
05-30 16:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x610b9c…
05-30 16:00:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3d3c6f…
05-30 15:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd43577…
05-30 15:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xac05cd…
05-30 15:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x45ac0b…
05-30 15:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc9ff02…
05-30 15:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa95dba…
05-30 15:52:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x05307b…
05-30 15:52:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x3a4057…
05-30 15:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x15a1a7…
05-30 15:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdbe301…
05-30 15:45:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9b071f…
05-30 15:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8a62dd…
05-30 15:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7f2282…
05-30 15:42:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xf3fc1b…
05-30 15:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9a0b93…
05-30 15:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8de5de…
05-29 10:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xab1243…
05-29 10:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf20785…
05-29 10:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x79ec02…
05-29 10:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x822f91…
05-29 10:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbc2b64…
05-29 10:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xebec18…
05-29 10:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd02c04…
05-29 10:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x410d39…
05-29 10:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5bb32c…
05-29 09:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x98cd00…
05-29 09:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$11	0x2f35fe…
05-29 09:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9c2075…
05-24 14:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc82245…
05-24 14:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0xf08c0a…
05-24 14:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xee8fb1…
05-24 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9ce59b…
05-24 14:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7c8087…
05-24 13:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0b81c0…
05-24 13:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x7917e2…
05-24 13:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x30a19a…
05-24 13:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x862973…
05-24 13:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x06b574…
05-24 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xac6009…
05-24 13:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xa0ac14…
05-24 13:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd0db92…
05-24 13:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x91520d…
05-24 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf5310c…
05-24 13:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xffca78…
05-24 13:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0147dc…
05-24 13:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$5	0x60e157…
05-24 13:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x18232b…
05-24 13:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x476f8e…
05-24 13:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x67c046…