Marvelous-Step — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$936

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-27 23:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

98% 0% $-0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$27.0K	13,555	13,555	+0	open	—	01-06 02:35
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	04-23 05:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	04-18 12:43
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$141	71	71	+0	No	$-0	04-24 11:10
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$138	69	69	+0	No	$-0	04-22 10:02
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$97	98	0	+98	open	—	02-14 08:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$95	98	0	+98	open	—	01-06 19:15
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	03-07 06:58
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-19 03:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-03 04:00
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-08 06:22
will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-18 07:35
nhl las dal 2026 03 22	1	$22	38	0	+38	open	—	03-22 06:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	05-27 23:05
nba min orl 2026 04 08	1	$12	18	0	+18	open	—	04-08 03:39
nba ind chi 2026 04 01	1	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	04-01 06:51
ufc jos60 rob21 2026 04 04	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	04-03 00:50
nba por den 2026 04 06	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-06 06:19
nba por sas 2026 04 08	1	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	04-08 06:22
nhl nsh lak 2026 04 06	1	$9	19	0	+19	open	—	04-06 07:20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	05-21 04:34
nhl pit tb 2026 04 02	1	$7	17	0	+17	open	—	04-02 09:24
nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 04:47
nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-07 07:31
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-27 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 07:35:28	will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x416ca1…
05-27 23:05:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x97d7d3…
05-21 04:34:53	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xd3c6ad…
05-19 03:17:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x89de09…
05-05 06:30:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcbb6ac…
05-03 04:00:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6958b6…
04-24 11:10:14	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x01b461…
04-24 10:03:40	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xecd7b2…
04-23 05:02:14	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0x9fc453…
04-23 03:26:34	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x261531…
04-22 10:02:54	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x5b55d5…
04-22 08:57:14	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xf1ad3e…
04-18 12:43:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x5c2bcb…
04-18 11:57:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x3436cf…
04-08 06:22:49	nba por sas 2026 04 08	Spurs	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x48fb82…
04-08 04:47:29	nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	Sabres	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xb89ab0…
04-08 03:39:47	nba min orl 2026 04 08	Magic	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x203982…
04-07 07:31:51	nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	Blue Jackets	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x3508c6…
04-06 07:20:31	nhl nsh lak 2026 04 06	Predators	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xcdd602…
04-06 06:19:37	nba por den 2026 04 06	Nuggets	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb6fc7d…
04-03 00:50:41	ufc jos60 rob21 2026 04 04	Jose Delano	BUY	14	74¢	$11	0x666f07…
04-02 09:24:45	nhl pit tb 2026 04 02	Penguins	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x9b9c3a…
04-01 06:51:07	nba ind chi 2026 04 01	Bulls	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x9c095f…
03-22 06:58:47	nhl las dal 2026 03 22	Stars	BUY	38	59¢	$22	0xdc2cb8…
03-08 06:22:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x4b3812…
03-07 06:58:19	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7b0d6e…
02-27 14:24:05	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb6489…
02-14 08:54:37	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0xd0a18d…
01-06 19:15:21	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0xa29826…
01-06 02:35:09	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	13,555	100¢	$13,501	0x74dea9…
01-06 02:33:53	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13,555	100¢	$13,515	0x1b686a…