Thorough-Stopwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$380

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-19 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 21% $-68

Other

27% — —

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say jesus this week march 8	4	$56	55,980	+55,980	open	—	03-11 19:25
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$30	6,000	+6,000	open	—	03-11 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$25	1,068	+1,068	Up	$-25	05-13 11:40
btc updown 5m 1774627800	1	$21	871	+871	open	—	03-27 16:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$15	2,340	+2,340	open	—	04-14 18:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$15	2,169	+2,169	open	—	04-14 18:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$11	2,750	+2,750	open	—	04-14 18:26
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	5,000	+5,000	open	—	03-14 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$10	260	+260	Down	+$0	05-13 11:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	714	+714	open	—	04-14 18:27
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	5,000	+5,000	open	—	03-14 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$10	112	+112	Up	+$2	05-13 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-03 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$10	72	+72	Up	$-10	05-13 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$10	94	+94	Up	$-10	05-13 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$10	56	+56	Up	$-10	05-13 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$10	93	+93	Up	+$12	05-13 12:14
btc updown 15m 1774636200	2	$9	58	+58	open	—	03-27 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$5	62	+62	open	—	04-30 08:58
btc updown 5m 1774636200	1	$5	500	+500	open	—	03-27 18:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	25	+25	Up	$-5	05-13 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$5	125	+125	Down	$-5	05-13 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	20	+20	open	—	05-19 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$5	125	+125	open	—	05-19 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	100	+100	open	—	05-19 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$5	116	+116	Up	$-5	05-11 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$5	100	+100	Up	$-5	05-13 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$5	62	+62	open	—	04-30 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	100	+100	Down	$-5	05-11 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	100	+100	open	—	05-19 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 17:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x37eff3…
05-19 17:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x90c19d…
05-19 17:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x05105d…
05-19 17:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5e6f6a…
05-18 14:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xefd7fe…
05-15 09:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xac4b0e…
05-13 17:12:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9118ea…
05-13 16:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa69869…
05-13 16:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x507805…
05-13 16:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdb9888…
05-13 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x360ad6…
05-13 16:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa3e24d…
05-13 16:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x91e7ee…
05-13 16:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0f2d20…
05-13 16:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xacadb7…
05-13 16:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0ae0d7…
05-13 16:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc11ad7…
05-13 12:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9f39ba…
05-13 12:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2d4a55…
05-13 11:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb0a740…
05-13 11:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf0f2f…
05-13 11:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9a167c…
05-13 11:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc425d1…
05-13 11:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x877652…
05-13 11:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x227a96…
05-13 11:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xde766c…
05-11 10:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf6f893…
05-11 10:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x4022d3…
05-03 14:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x29292b…
05-03 14:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd7c3b6…
04-30 09:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x28508e…
04-30 09:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x88f596…
04-30 08:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xeb0541…
04-14 18:27:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x2de8a6…
04-14 18:27:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x73f628…
04-14 18:27:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x35983b…
04-14 18:26:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x9adbe6…
04-13 14:13:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	503	1¢	$5	0x90115c…
04-13 14:12:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	673	1¢	$5	0x08f090…
04-13 14:11:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x59a025…
03-27 18:43:29	btc updown 15m 1774636200	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xdcbcea…
03-27 18:39:11	btc updown 5m 1774636500	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xeeceaf…
03-27 18:38:31	eth updown 15m 1774636200	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7fc577…
03-27 18:38:07	btc updown 15m 1774636200	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd1f5cf…
03-27 18:34:43	btc updown 5m 1774636200	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4b9161…
03-27 16:13:45	btc updown 5m 1774627800	Down	BUY	871	2¢	$21	0x7e5615…
03-14 09:06:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x77f651…
03-14 09:04:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x0507c4…
03-14 09:03:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x32a724…
03-11 19:25:11	will trump say jesus this week march 8	No	BUY	40,980	0¢	$41	0xf96a07…
03-11 19:05:43	will trump say jesus this week march 8	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xa50585…
03-11 19:05:29	will trump say jesus this week march 8	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x6e36e8…
03-11 19:05:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x7983df…
03-11 19:02:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0x34c2e0…
03-11 18:12:55	will trump say jesus this week march 8	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0xd393a2…