Similar-Neonate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

152

Trades

629

lifetime

Volume

$5.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-01 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$184	391	0	+391	open	—	04-27 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$165	94	94	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$156	322	322	+0	Up	$-104	05-12 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$151	220	220	+0	open	—	05-28 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$149	223	80	+143	open	—	04-27 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$142	284	76	+208	Down	+$88	05-12 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$134	289	0	+289	Up	$-134	05-12 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$127	212	0	+212	Down	+$85	05-11 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$124	307	0	+307	Down	+$183	05-12 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$120	267	0	+267	open	—	04-27 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$87	634	0	+634	open	—	05-18 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$81	137	0	+137	Up	+$56	05-12 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$74	47	47	+0	Up	+$19	05-06 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$72	129	0	+129	Down	+$57	05-12 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$67	233	0	+233	Down	+$41	05-06 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$66	118	0	+118	open	—	05-28 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$65	117	0	+117	Down	$-65	05-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$63	126	0	+126	Up	$-63	05-08 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$63	127	0	+127	open	—	05-30 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$63	124	0	+124	open	—	05-31 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$63	122	0	+122	open	—	05-21 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$59	59	25	+34	Up	+$13	05-06 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$58	96	0	+96	Up	$-58	05-12 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$57	88	0	+88	open	—	05-18 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$57	124	0	+124	Up	$-57	05-11 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$53	95	0	+95	open	—	05-18 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$51	95	0	+95	Up	+$44	05-06 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$50	73	0	+73	Down	$-50	05-11 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$45	77	0	+77	open	—	06-01 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$45	74	0	+74	Up	+$29	05-06 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 07:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	77	59¢	$45	0x2dca26…
06-01 06:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd6ef17…
06-01 06:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x010f4c…
06-01 06:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd47933…
06-01 06:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x832c0f…
06-01 06:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x416e5f…
06-01 06:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8c992d…
06-01 06:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8166c2…
06-01 05:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x834968…
06-01 05:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x4d6cf2…
06-01 05:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x21ee61…
06-01 05:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xde843f…
06-01 05:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d81cc…
06-01 04:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x05731a…
06-01 04:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5d72c5…
06-01 04:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9d596b…
06-01 04:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x1619b0…
06-01 03:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf74382…
06-01 03:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8f9382…
06-01 03:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x19e94f…
06-01 03:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x528498…
06-01 03:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7e65ce…
06-01 02:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xda6015…
06-01 02:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x853ba5…
06-01 01:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc5f436…
06-01 01:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x036d0d…
06-01 01:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x467156…
06-01 01:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x943fbb…
05-31 12:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x84717a…
05-31 12:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x033cec…
05-31 12:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf127a6…
05-31 11:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6a6c27…
05-31 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x22e815…
05-31 11:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda71ad…
05-31 11:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b5a92…
05-31 11:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc0e3cf…
05-31 11:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x316496…
05-31 10:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5c739a…
05-31 10:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfcdf87…
05-31 10:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc7c3f1…
05-31 10:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfe38b5…
05-31 10:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0d2aab…
05-31 10:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	124	51¢	$63	0xced81f…
05-31 09:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	62	50¢	$31	0x5fe0c7…
05-31 09:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xdc5eda…
05-31 09:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xe2acaf…
05-31 09:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9462cf…
05-31 09:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x825337…
05-31 09:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcd1d3e…
05-31 08:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9bb1cc…
05-31 08:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3980d7…
05-31 08:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x81d0e8…
05-31 05:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x953155…
05-31 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x47cf81…
05-31 05:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xb8bfda…
05-31 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfd5a48…
05-31 05:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5c80f9…
05-31 05:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe12363…
05-31 04:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf79361…
05-31 04:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x724093…
05-31 04:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7414ff…
05-31 04:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa24e38…
05-31 04:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x863bbb…
05-31 03:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xea0dc6…
05-31 03:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x70b37f…
05-31 03:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3b9f16…
05-31 02:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x3f9dfe…
05-31 02:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x439b9b…
05-31 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xff435f…
05-31 01:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xede6ab…
05-31 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd52dfa…
05-31 01:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2feff8…
05-31 01:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3c8888…
05-31 01:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa8bdd9…
05-31 01:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x87bef5…
05-31 00:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x52c5dd…
05-31 00:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4caaa7…
05-31 00:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x754d5c…
05-30 23:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf844eb…
05-30 23:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5c67c6…
05-30 23:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	127	50¢	$63	0x57c3e7…
05-30 22:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x694098…
05-30 22:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x23fe79…
05-30 22:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3ecc40…
05-30 22:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x173d92…
05-30 22:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xc1e614…
05-30 22:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x0e1b4b…
05-30 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc5804f…
05-30 21:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8f52bf…
05-30 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcc2402…
05-30 21:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc5f174…
05-30 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x55aa31…
05-30 20:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7b8670…
05-30 20:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ead0d…
05-30 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcc1c71…
05-30 20:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3dcfe6…
05-30 20:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbe3e43…
05-30 20:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xab6858…
05-30 20:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd42469…
05-30 20:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x553439…