Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
47
Trades
3,829
lifetime
Volume
$18.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$135
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-23 00:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
53% 48% $-14
Politics
35%
Sports
9%
Crypto
3% 0% $-5
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -48 $-22 50¢ $-24 $-2 07-12 17:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes -116 $-14 14¢ $-16 $-2 07-12 17:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -15 $-13 94¢ $-14 $-1 06-11 02:29
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 +$0 07-12 17:35
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 93¢ $-9 $-0 07-12 17:35
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 07-12 17:35
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-10 90¢ $-9 +$1 07-12 22:21
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes -10 $-5 50¢ $-5 +$0 07-12 17:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 +$0 07-12 17:35
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 07-12 17:35
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 +$0 07-12 17:35
Trump out as President before 2027? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 07-12 17:35
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 07-12 17:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +4 $-4 88¢ $3 +$7 07-12 17:35
Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026? Yes +5 $4 66¢ $3 $-0 07-22 02:20
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 07-10 20:37
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -2 $-2 98¢ $-2 $-0 07-12 17:35
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +5 $3 36¢ $2 $-1 07-11 03:04
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +14 $1 11¢ $2 +$1 07-08 13:36
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $7 12¢ $0 $-7 07-12 17:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -12 $0 $-0 $-1 07-12 17:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 07-12 17:35