Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
47
Trades
2,878
lifetime
Volume
$16.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$120
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-02 06:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
53% 48% $-14
Politics
36%
Sports
9%
Crypto
2% 0% $-5
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -15 $-13 94¢ $-14 $-1 06-11 02:29
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +15 $10 69¢ $10 +$0 06-27 18:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-24 15:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-30 19:20
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-27 04:02
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 06-30 12:42
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-29 02:46
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $1 72¢ $7 +$6 06-30 15:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-23 17:44
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 06-28 03:28
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-09 20:54
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-27 19:23
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:45
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 06-10 10:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 07-01 10:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +15 $2 18¢ $3 +$1 06-22 12:26
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $9 28¢ $3 $-6 06-30 15:04
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 06-23 08:47
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:25
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +10 $3 $0 $-2 06-28 20:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +73 $8 $0 $-8 06-20 13:46
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $-4 96¢ $0 +$4 07-01 01:02